Dogs stay in the last 4 in on warren Nolan. Charlotte drops to last 4 out.
Printable View
Dogs stay in the last 4 in on warren Nolan. Charlotte drops to last 4 out.
They are 75. When are they going to drop Charlotte from projections?Quote:
Originally Posted by rlirette
When the LGBTQ decides to protest college baseball games because of the transgender bathroom issue in Charlotte.Quote:
Originally Posted by PawDawg
Yeah seriously I agree with you. The Charlotte over Tech argument needs to go away on those college baseball sites. Tech has a much better resume.Quote:
Originally Posted by PawDawg
Big blown opportunity tonight. Gotta win out the regular season to take the pressure off of getting a few wins in Biloxi. Need two straight sweeps.
It's a good thing the team has a couple of days to put these last two sub standard performance losses behind them. We definitely need to get our minds right for a weekend sweep (knock on wood). They can do it... Go Dawgs!
WarrenNolan already did this week. 3 C-USA teams in the latest projection...USM, Tech, ODU.Quote:
Originally Posted by PawDawg
Tech RPI up to #37 as of this post after tonight's loss.
Emotional over reaction here. The loss last night will not hurt our RPI any more than the loss on Sunday. At best we could be 35ish right now. We still have plenty of time to bring it up.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dawg06
We are at 39 this morning.Quote:
Originally Posted by FriscoDawg
Yeah I agree with you PawDawg.
A series win over Marshall and a sweep of MTSU I think gets us in regardless of what happens in Biloxi. Last night's game didn't affect that.
There are 31 auto-bids leaving 33 at-large bids. Some of the auto-bids are in the top 33...maybe half most years, something like that. So, generally speaking, if your RPI is in the Top 50 you should have a pretty good chance of selection. But the committee has its own fudge factors so as to show favoritism/bias against schools/teams/conferences. Don't assume you will get in....just because you should.
I still think we need to win 2 in Biloxi. 2 and out hurts our RPI and looks bad to the committee. 1-2 would be a maybe IMO.Quote:
Originally Posted by rlirette
I don't expect us to sweep Middle.
Teams in the 40s get left out, but it's usually due to factors like quality wins. Do you have examples of past bias when a deserving team was left out?Quote:
Originally Posted by dawg80
"Life Lessons from dawg80"Quote:
Originally Posted by dawg80
I think the players shouldn't make that assumption but I will go ahead making the assumption that the 3rd best team in the 6th toughest conference will be in. Sorry.
Just saying that would guarantee us a spot if we do what I said. I don't expect to us to beat middle 3 times in a row with our pitching staff.Quote:
Originally Posted by PawDawg
We should at least win one in the tourney bc we have an all American pitching for us.
Not an emotional reaction at all. Go back and read what I posted last week. I said we needed to win 8-9 of our last 10 for me to feel good about our at-large chances heading into the C-USA Tourney. We've already lost 2 of 4. You are only focused on what the RPI on WarrenNolan says each day and assume Top 45 earns an automatic at-large bid. A win last night would've bumped us up to ~31. That is a very big blown opportunity. This loss wasn't good for our resume at all even though it had little effect on our RPI. Now another one of our good midweek results is now a split... just like Arkansas and McNeese. And it gave a rival team with a good baseball reputation on the wrong side of the bubble a big boost. The FIU loss on Sunday wasn't as big a deal because we already won the series. We can't claim a split vs. ULL as a series win. At this point our only Top 100 series wins are Old Dominion (clinging to Top 50 at the moment), FIU (RPI 77), UTA (RPI 81), and Rice (who is 5 games below .500), and then we have a single midweek win over Mississippi State. That resume just isn't that impressive, definitely not as good as last year's resume. Our 2 remaining series are against 100+ RPI teams that won't help our RPI or resume at all.Quote:
Originally Posted by PawDawg
Okay, I didn't realize it was common for low to mid 30 teams to be left out because they lacked enough quality wins.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dawg06
How we get to "low to mid 30" without sweeping these last two series?Quote:
Originally Posted by PawDawg
The same way we did last year, by winning games in the tournament. We should be almost exactly where we were last year going in after the Rice series.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dawg06
Losing one this weekend will likely put us in the low 40s.
Losing only one next weekend will keep us there.
This is fun right? Having a team now that has the chance of getting into the tournament with an at large bid so we can even be having these conversations. Loving it.
I understand your anxiety completely Dawg06, but I think as long as we can stay better than fau and charlotte we will be okay. Side note: a real wrench will be thrown into that plan if rice wins the cusa tourney... yikes!
Tech is last 4 in on baseball america
I think last night was a tough assignment after a long trip on the weekend, which ended in disappointment. Tired players who were down a little bit mentally. And we were playing a very motivated team in front of a large, rabid (some of them need to be tested) crowd.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dawg06
d1baseball.com has us as a 3-seed @ TCU https://d1baseball.com/postseason/fi...ection-may-10/
baseball america 3 seed at MS State http://www.baseballamerica.com/colle...6oBD6e0UFBB.97
Louisiana Tech
Remaining: 3 home, 4 road, 0 neutral
Current RPI: 40
ROWP: 0.502
Top 45:
1 home wins, 4 road wins
2 home wins, 2 road wins
3 home wins, 1 road wins
Top 32:
3 home wins, 3 road wins
Top 16:
No way to reach the threshold.
Top 8:
No way to reach the threshold.
Obviously this is before the ULL game
YesQuote:
Originally Posted by PawDawg
What I thought, you got nothing.:laugh:Quote:
Originally Posted by dawg80
Nope. It's updated every morning. The RPI Needs Report is assuming Tech's "postponed" game with ULM still gets played.Quote:
Originally Posted by rlirette
Today (5/11) RPI at 39 (+1) on Warren Nolan. FIU 77, UNCC 76, Rice 57, FAU 55, ODU at 42, USM 17
Well that's dumb. Well, in any case, I thought that was an interesting scenario list. Interesting that we can get to top 32 at all.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dawg06
Yes = affirmativeQuote:
Originally Posted by PawDawg
Quote:
Originally Posted by dawg80
I think he means as you have ZERO examples to provide, you have nothing ;)Quote:
Originally Posted by PawDawg
We are at 40 going in tonight. Marshall is at 101.
I've got examples...the teams and the years. But, he's so made up his mind that there are NEVER, absolutely NEVER, any teams left out in favor of less-deserving teams, that it is pointless to provide said examples. He'll just find some excuse to try to explain it away.Quote:
Originally Posted by Bearpaw
It is comforting to know the baseball committee is 100% flawless. Too bad the basketball committee ain't.
You got nothing.Quote:
Originally Posted by dawg80
38 after the win tonite...
Make that 37 thanks to #Pac12afterdark.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dwayne From Minden
Marshall went to 104 after being 101 yesterday.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dawg06
What caused our move up and their move down? I had figured a flat line for us and a move up for them.
Biafra, Lehigh and Ohio...Quote:
Originally Posted by PawDawg
Niagra
If we win today, we could edge up to 36
RPI rankings are relative. Whether we are 37 or 38 depends on what the teams around us do.Quote:
Originally Posted by PawDawg
However, our RPI rating is not relative. It comes out to number like 0.5646. Our win counted as 0.7 wins for our 25%-weighted winning percentage component. Then Marshall's record not including Tech (25-23) is averaged into the 50%-weighted opponent winning percentage component. Then Marshall's opponent winning percentage is averaged into our 25%-weighted OOWP component.
Warren Nolan "Impact Games"
http://warrennolan.com/baseball/2017...Louisiana-Tech
A win today is +11 Points, a loss is -47
RPI Ladder
RPI
Team
RPI Pts
Needed
28Florida State114
29Vanderbilt108
30Saint John's70
31Indiana56
32Texas A&M45
33Southeastern Louisiana40
34Cal State Fullerton29
35Michigan17
36Connecticut9
37Louisiana Tech-
38Ole Miss-11
39Old Dominion-26
40Tennessee-37
41Binghamton-42
42New Mexico-42
43Auburn-43
44McNeese State-51
45South Alabama-52
46North Carolina State-57
Here's what could move us up
USF over UConn
Purdue over Michigan
UCSB over Cal State Fullerton
UCA over SLU (DH)
You are making a joke, right? The acronym for this organization seems to get longer every time I see it. What does the TQ mean? I think I can decipher the first 3.Quote:
Originally Posted by parisdog
I was able to see part of the @ Lafayette game. The relief guy that came in with bases loaded and 0 outs was throwing BBs. Got to give the Cajuns credit. Their PBP guy was good. I don't think it was their radio announcer (Jay Walker), who slams Tech incessantly. This guy sounded professional.Quote:
Originally Posted by PawDawg
LesbianQuote:
Originally Posted by stodgdog
Gay
Bisexual
Transgender
Questioning their own sexuality (I think)
LesbianQuote:
Originally Posted by stodgdog
Gay
Bisexual
Transgender
Questioning their own sexuality (I think)
Q stands for queer. This forum should probably stick to baseball though right?Quote:
Originally Posted by RGTech98
...and we did go to 36Quote:
Originally Posted by Dwayne From Minden
We can only move up today with a win AND help from teams ahead of us losing.
A loss today would send us down to ~43... which means this is a must-sweep.
Go Dawgs!
Man, baseball was such a simple game at one time.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dawg06
I assume an example of their definition of transgender (is that even a real word?) would be Bruce Jenner? Like Transformers, but one couldn't go back. Do I have this nonsense correct?Quote:
Originally Posted by RGTech98
Apparently it does happen.Quote:
Originally Posted by dawg80
Been visiting my cyber stalker on the Cajun board to see how they were doing in baseball and ran across this post: "We wouldn't be a bubble team if we hadn't played St. Peters
That's not true. A few years ago South Alabama had a rpi of 38 and did not get a bid."
I thought we should have gotten an at large bid at least one year in basketball during the years Mike White was our coach but I don't know how we stood in the RPI thing or understand how it works.
For the moment at least, we have moved up to #34 RPI after the win over Marshall today.
They got nothing. Everyone is wrong. Pawdawg says the committee is 100% flawless and never makes a mistake.Quote:
Originally Posted by stodgdog
No, I never said that.Quote:
Originally Posted by dawg80
Today (5/15) RPI at 34 (+5) on Warren Nolan. UTSA 90, UNCC 84, FIU 73, FAU 72, Rice 60, ODU at 41, USM 16
What does RPI stand for? (an old fart wants to know)
Rating Percentage IndexQuote:
Originally Posted by Amos Moses
All possible tourney participants at sub 100 rpis heading into final weekend if everything holds to chalk -Quote:
Originally Posted by Bearpaw
This is good cause it gives us a chance to increase our rpi even more in Biloxi
Tech's non-conference RPI is 14!
Bummer, it was top-10 before we split with ULLQuote:
Originally Posted by Tech77
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tech77
I don't think the committee really looks at non-conference RPI, but they do consider non-conference SOS. Our non-conference SOS is 111 right now. They want to see teams that challenged themselves by playing tough non-conference schedules and not a bunch of cupcakes.Quote:
Originally Posted by Bearpaw
Climber to 33 this morning -
ODU @ 39
Southern @ 15
Tuesday's bracket projection from Warren Nolan has 3 C-USA teams in. They have us as a 3-seed at Oklahoma, USM as a 2-seed at LSU, and ODU as a 2-seed at Kentucky.
They didn't research that one much.Quote:
Originally Posted by techdawg28
I see no significant advantage being a 2 seed instead of a 3 seed. Do any of ya'll?
Nope. We'd be in the same bracket playing the same teams.Quote:
Originally Posted by DJDAWG
I don't know how the tourney works, but I think the higher seed is the home team until the elimination game on Saturday.
That's the only advantage. Better seed is the "home team." But that would only apply to the 2v3 matchup. Would be the same against anyone else either way.Quote:
Originally Posted by sportdawg
Still at 33Quote:
Originally Posted by Dwayne From Minden
ODU down to 45
USM at 14
So, what's MTSU's RPI? I know it's bad, so how will it ultimately affect LA Tech's RPI? Assuming we sweep 'em, where will Tech's RPI likely end up?Quote:
Originally Posted by PawDawg
Middle TN is at 116 http://warrennolan.com/baseball/2017/rpi-liveQuote:
Originally Posted by HogDawg
I'm guessing as long as win the series, we will stay under 40. If we sweep, could move in the high 20's. That is pure speculation on my part by just watching how teams have moved the last 3-4 weeks. It's a lot of fun watching all of this. The last 2 years its been fun being a top 40 program to follow. Need the W tonight. MT is a very good hitting ball club, but so are we. As most of the time, it will come down to pitching.
117 -Quote:
Originally Posted by HogDawg
If we take 2 of 3 we are projected to stay at 33...
Sweep - we may climb to 32 depending on what our opponents do
Really need to be fans of Miss St and ODU this weekend
Just click on this tab and warrennolan tells you - takes the guess work out of itQuote:
Originally Posted by Rooster
http://warrennolan.com/baseball/2017/predictedrpi
And here is how today's game can effect our rpi -
http://warrennolan.com/baseball/2017...Louisiana-Tech
Dawgs dropped from 33 down to 40 after tonight's loss. It will probably fluctuate a little as more results go final later tonight.
Today (5/19) RPI at 37 (-3) on Warren Nolan. UTSA 95, FIU 76, UNCC 75, FAU 62, Rice 61, ODU at 45, USM 12; playing MTSU 112
We knew losing one game was going cause a negative movement.
Most of us were not "demanding" a sweep, but hoping for a series win. Lose another one now and we will probably need to make noise in Biloxi.
Win today and tomorrow and we are fine..
Lose one of those and it gets iffy and may require more than a single win in the tourney
We need 4 wins to assure a bid. Two more this weekend, and at least 2 in the CUSA tourney. Of course that can vary a little depending on what the other bubble teams do down the stretch.
Let's just win the thing in Biloxi and let USM and ODU get in via at-large bids.
In isolation, a win today would move us up to 36, and a loss would drop us to 39. Of course, that will fluctuate relative to what everybody else does tonight.
Dawgs up to 35 rn ;)
RPI is now #33, but our rating is closer to #41 than #32.
What the heck does that mean?Quote:
Originally Posted by Dawg06
We fall more with a loss than we gain with a win, which is the case with a top 50 rpi
Luckily we are closing with a decent RPI team in MT even though they didn't qualify for the tourney it still helps our RPI if we win and doesn't kill us too bad with a single loss...
The Cajuns have taken two from the juco and yet they have continued to slide in the rpi
RPI is calculated as a percentage. Then everyone's percentage is ranked. We are .0043 from moving up 1 spot to 32. But we are only .0042 from dropping down all the way to 41. Basically the spacing between each rank is not equal. There's a gap in front of us and a bunch of teams jumbled right on our tails.Quote:
Originally Posted by Amos Moses
Thanks for the explanation! We just need to kick ass from this point on!!Quote:
Originally Posted by Dawg06
Ya think Burroughs wishes he added a couple good midweek games down the stretch to replace our cancelled games? :icon_mad:Quote:
Originally Posted by SicemDawgz
https://i.ytimg.com/vi/9bEJz-HlK8Q/hqdefault.jpgQuote:
Originally Posted by Dawg06
Our RPI is down 6 sports to #39 in the immediate aftermath, essentially tied with #40 UConn.
Warren Nolan projects us to finish 36 and a 3 seed -- still. ... Maybe we're a little too grim.
exactly where you said we would be with a loss right?Quote:
Originally Posted by Dawg06
That looks like what I posted for yesterday's game.Quote:
Originally Posted by PawDawg
It's now 38. Basically 38-40 have the same RPI.
We would've held at 33 if we had won today.
Two and done in Biloxi would make for a long nervous wait until Selection Monday. So would a 1-2 record.
I think Tech would be safe (barely) with 2-2 in Biloxi. Anything better than 2-2 and we can starting asking where, not if.
Today (5/22RPI at 38 (-1) on Warren Nolan. UTSA 102, FIU 76, UNCC 67, Rice 60, FAU 56, ODU at 45, USM 10;
#5 Tech (38) faces #4 UNCC (67)
#6 Rice (60) faces #3 FAU (56)
#7 FIU (76) faces #2 ODU (45)
#8 UTSA (102) faces #1 USM (10)
I hope we throw Nate in game 2. It will be an important game anyway. If we win it, we will probably play Southern Miss and need Nate to win. If we lose game 1, I would want Nate throwing in our elimination game.
If we lose game 1 we are toast anyway. Gotta win game 1.Quote:
Originally Posted by Rooster
Gotta win game one -
In double elimination, it's so hard to fight out of the losers bracket