Re: Reality Check's Weekly Sagarin Predictor Thread...
Quote:
Originally Posted by
RealityCheck
But the championship game is not at a neutral site...
Yes I am aware of that.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
RealityCheck
Tech would be favored over Middle Tennessee regardless of game site...by 14.79 in Ruston and by 7.65 in Murfreesboro.
I misread the ratings…MtSu is 62.98…not 72.98, as I thought.
Re: Reality Check's Weekly Sagarin Predictor Thread...
Reality, thanks forall the time you take to put this info together for everyone to consume here!
Includeing the conference standing as the season goes on could be information to add to the equations here as well...
You have to salute Marshalland the impressive season to this point and what having them winning out might do for the conference over the long haul but,
it sure would be nice for the Bulldogs to make a run and Marshall drop one for the chance to host the championship game here in Ruston!
Re: Reality Check's Weekly Sagarin Predictor Thread...
Quote:
Originally Posted by
BlindDog
Reality, thanks forall the time you take to put this info together for everyone to consume here!
Includeing the conference standing as the season goes on could be information to add to the equations here as well...
You have to salute Marshalland the impressive season to this point and what having them winning out might do for the conference over the long haul but,
it sure would be nice for the Bulldogs to make a run and Marshall drop one for the chance to host the championship game here in Ruston!
Easy enough. I will add a second post every week that shows the current and projected conference and overall records.
| CONFERENCE USA EAST |
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| Middle Tennessee |
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| Florida International |
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| Marshall |
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| UAB |
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| Florida Atlantic |
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| Old Dominion |
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| Western Kentucky |
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| CONFERENCE USA WEST |
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| Louisiana Tech |
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| Rice |
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| North Texas |
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| Texas-El Paso |
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| Texas-San Antonio |
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| Southern Mississippi |
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Re: Reality Check's Weekly Sagarin Predictor Thread...
Quote:
Originally Posted by
RealityCheck
Easy enough. I will add a second post every week that shows the current and projected conference and overall records.
| CONFERENCE USA EAST |
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| Middle Tennessee |
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| Florida International |
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| Marshall |
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| UAB |
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| Florida Atlantic |
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| Old Dominion |
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| Western Kentucky |
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| CONFERENCE USA WEST |
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| Louisiana Tech |
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| Rice |
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| North Texas |
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| Texas-El Paso |
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| Texas-San Antonio |
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| Southern Mississippi |
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i really like this post-- of course we have to avoid another " what the hell happen game " . Nice to have layoff to get healthy and another one after next 4 games. Probably why Coach let Dixon carry ball 20 times in a runaway game ---
Re: Reality Check's Weekly Sagarin Predictor Thread...
Awesome stuff Reality!
I know we all appreciate your effort here my friend!
Re: Reality Check's Weekly Sagarin Predictor Thread...
Quote:
Originally Posted by
RealityCheck
Louisiana Tech projected to finish 9-3, 8-0 C-USA West 1st place (same as in Week 6 projection)
L 16-48 at Oklahoma (projected L by 36.34)
W 48-20 at ULL (projected L by 9.91)
W 42-21 at North Texas (projected L by 8.43)
L 27-30 vs NSU (projected W by 18.76)
L 17-45 at Auburn (projected L by 28.05)
W 55-3 vs UTEP (projected W by 11.48)
-------------PROJECTIONS-------------------
W by 14.98 vs UTSA (up from W by 4.34)
W by 18.30 at USM (up from W by 7.97)
W by 12.59 vs WKU (up from W by 4.72)
W by 8.79 at UAB (up from W by 5.32)
W by 16.46 at ODU (up from W by 4.16)
W by 13.53 vs Rice (up from W by 4.78)
Other Week 6 C-USA Actual/Projected Results
FIU won at FAU 38-10 (FIU projected L by 3.81)
Middle Tennessee won vs USM 37-31 (MT projected W by 14.00)
Marshall won at ODU 56-14 (MU projected W by 9.26)
UAB won at Western Kentucky 42-39 (UAB projected L by 11.22)
UTSA lost vs New Mexico 9-21 (UTSA projected W by 12.18)
Rice won vs Hawai’i 28-14 (Rice projected W by 5.45)
North Texas lost 24-49 at Indiana (NT projected L by 5.36)
Other Week 7 C-USA Projected Results
North Texas projected W by 1.51 at UAB
UTSA projected W by 6.31 vs FIU
UTEP projected W by 5.15 vs ODU
Marshall projected W by 15.17 vs Middle Tennessee
Rice projected W by 3.79 at Army
Open dates—FAU, Louisiana Tech, USM, WKU
It will be intersting to see if anything changes. I can see uAB spread hoing down
Re: Reality Check's Weekly Sagarin Predictor Thread...
Quote:
Originally Posted by
sportdawg
It will be intersting to see if anything changes. I can see uAB spread hoing down
UAB spread dropped from 8.79 to 3.78...only projected spread under double digits.
Re: Reality Check's Weekly Sagarin Predictor Thread...
Sagarin Predictor Ratings Week 7 recap and Week 8 projections
Week 7 Sagarin Predictor FBS straight-up record—36-18 (.667), 2013 Week 7—37-14 (.725)
FBS Season to date—343-95 (.783), 2013 after Week 7—335-87 (.794)
Homefield advantage is at 3.55 in the Week 8 Predictor ratings, down from 3.57 in Week 7.
79 teams are projected bowl-eligible at 6-6 or better (76 bowl bids to fill) going into Week 8, up from 76 before Week 7. 6 teams are bowl-eligible through Week 7.
AAC—6, ACC—10, Big 12—6, Big Ten—10, C-USA—7, Indy—3, MAC—6, MWC—7 Pac 12—9, $EC—11, SBC—4
Only Marshall and Ole Miss are projected undefeated before conference championship games going into Week 8.
9 teams are projected 11-1 going into championship Saturday—Baylor, Florida State, Colorado State, East Carolina, Georgia, Michigan State, Oklahoma, Oregon, and TCU.
Louisiana Tech projected to finish 9-3, 8-0 C-USA West 1st place (same as in Week 7 projection)
L 16-48 at Oklahoma (projected L by 36.34)
W 48-20 at ULL (projected L by 9.91)
W 42-21 at North Texas (projected L by 8.43)
L 27-30 vs NSU (projected W by 18.76)
L 17-45 at Auburn (projected L by 30.02)
W 55-3 vs UTEP (projected W by 11.48)
-------------PROJECTIONS-------------------
W by 14.99 vs UTSA (up from W by 14.98)
W by 17.62 at USM (down from W by 18.30)
W by 11.08 vs WKU (down from W by 12.59)
W by 3.78 at UAB (down from W by 8.79)
W by 16.49 at ODU (up from W by 16.46)
W by 11.51 vs Rice (down from W by 13.53)
Other Week 7 C-USA Actual/Projected ResultsUAB won 56-21 vs North Texas (projected L by 1.51)
UTSA won 16-13 vs FIU (projected W by 6.31)
UTEP won 42-35 vs ODU (projected W by 5.15)
Marshall won 49-24 vs Middle Tennessee (projected W by 15.17)
Rice won 41-21 at Army (projected W by 3.79)
Other Week 8 C-USA Projected Results
Marshall projected W by 11.08 at FIU
UAB projected W by 0.83 at Middle Tennessee
North Texas projected W by 13.72 vs USM
Western Kentucky projected W by 7.22 at FAU
Open dates—Rice, ODU, UTEP
Re: Reality Check's Weekly Sagarin Predictor Thread...
Current and projected C-USA and overall records.
| CONFERENCE USA EAST |
C-USA |
OVERALL |
CONF PROJ |
OVERALL PROJ |
| Marshall |
2-0 |
6-0 |
8-0 |
12-0 |
| Middle Tennessee |
3-1 |
4-3 |
5-3 |
6-6 |
| UAB |
2-1 |
4-2 |
5-3 |
7-5 |
| Florida International |
2-1 |
3-4 |
4-4 |
5-7 |
| Florida Atlantic |
1-1 |
2-4 |
2-6 |
3-9 |
| Old Dominion |
1-3 |
3-4 |
1-7 |
3-9 |
| Western Kentucky |
0-2 |
2-3 |
4-4 |
7-5 |
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| CONFERENCE USA WEST |
C-USA |
OVERALL |
CONF PROJ |
OVERALL PROJ |
| Louisiana Tech |
2-0 |
3-3 |
8-0 |
9-3 |
| Rice |
1-1 |
3-3 |
5-3 |
7-5 |
| UTEP |
1-1 |
3-3 |
2-6 |
4-8 |
| UTSA |
1-1 |
2-4 |
4-4 |
5-7 |
| North Texas |
0-2 |
2-4 |
4-4 |
6-6 |
| Southern Mississippi |
0-2 |
2-4 |
0-8 |
2-10 |
Re: Reality Check's Weekly Sagarin Predictor Thread...
Quote:
Originally Posted by
RealityCheck
Current and projected C-USA and overall records.
| CONFERENCE USA EAST |
C-USA |
OVERALL |
CONF PROJ |
OVERALL PROJ |
| Marshall |
2-0 |
6-0 |
8-0 |
12-0 |
| Middle Tennessee |
3-1 |
4-3 |
5-3 |
6-6 |
| UAB |
2-1 |
4-2 |
5-3 |
7-5 |
| Florida International |
2-1 |
3-4 |
4-4 |
5-7 |
| Florida Atlantic |
1-1 |
2-4 |
2-6 |
3-9 |
| Old Dominion |
1-3 |
3-4 |
1-7 |
3-9 |
| Western Kentucky |
0-2 |
2-3 |
4-4 |
7-5 |
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| CONFERENCE USA WEST |
C-USA |
OVERALL |
CONF PROJ |
OVERALL PROJ |
| Louisiana Tech |
2-0 |
3-3 |
8-0 |
9-3 |
| Rice |
1-1 |
3-3 |
5-3 |
7-5 |
| UTEP |
1-1 |
3-3 |
2-6 |
4-8 |
| UTSA |
1-1 |
2-4 |
4-4 |
5-7 |
| North Texas |
0-2 |
2-4 |
4-4 |
6-6 |
| Southern Mississippi |
0-2 |
2-4 |
0-8 |
2-10 |
. Thanks for info-- should have come here first. Been on CUSA page looking for this info---you do awesome job
Re: Reality Check's Weekly Sagarin Predictor Thread...
8-0? 9-3? From this to the ears of the football gods. Make it happen.
Alas, dem football gods are so dang fickled!
Re: Reality Check's Weekly Sagarin Predictor Thread...
Quote:
Originally Posted by
dawg80
8-0? 9-3? From this to the ears of the football gods. Make it happen.
Alas, dem football gods are so dang fickled!
HA! The football gods PUNISH predicting stuff like this. If we don't win out I'm blaming Mr. Sagarin and RealityCheck. :icon_wink:
Last year it was my fault when I went with a much too early Fiesta Bowl prediction.
Re: Reality Check's Weekly Sagarin Predictor Thread...
Quote:
Originally Posted by
RougeDawg
HA! The football gods PUNISH predicting stuff like this. If we don't win out I'm blaming Mr. Sagarin and RealityCheck. :icon_wink:
Last year it was my fault when I went with a much too early Fiesta Bowl prediction.
That's why they are called projections and not predictions.:icon_wink:
I predict that the sun will rise in the east tomorrow. I won't predict what two groups of 18-23 year-olds will do on any given Saturday.
Re: Reality Check's Weekly Sagarin Predictor Thread...
Quote:
Originally Posted by
sportdawg
. I can see uAB spread hoing down
labg
Re: Reality Check's Weekly Sagarin Predictor Thread...
Sagarin Predictor Ratings Week 8 recap and Week 9 projections
Week 8 Sagarin Predictor FBS straight-up record—37-16 (.698), 2013 Week 8—38-10 (.792)
FBS Season to date—380-111 (.774), 2013 after Week 8—373-97 (.794)
Homefield advantage is at 3.39 in the Week 9 Predictor ratings, down from 3.55 in Week 8.
77 teams are projected to be bowl-eligible at 6-6 or better (76 bowl bids to fill) going into Week 9, down from 79 before Week 8. 16 teams are bowl-eligible through Week 8.
AAC—6, ACC—10, Big 12—6, Big Ten—10, C-USA—6, Indy—3, MAC—6, MWC—7 Pac 12—9, $EC—11, SBC—3
Only Marshall and Ole Miss are projected undefeated before conference championship games going into Week 9. 9 teams are projected to be 11-1 going into championship Saturday—Alabama, Colorado State, East Carolina, Florida State, Georgia, Michigan State, Nebraska, Oregon, and TCU.
Louisiana Tech projected to finish 9-3, 8-0 C-USA West 1st place (same as in Week 8 projection)
L 16-48 at Oklahoma (projected L by 36.34)
W 48-20 at ULL (projected L by 9.91)
W 42-21 at North Texas (projected L by 8.43)
L 27-30 vs NSU (projected W by 18.76)
L 17-45 at Auburn (projected L by 30.02)
W 55-3 vs UTEP (projected W by 11.48)
W 27-20 vs UTSA (projected W by 14.99)
-------------PROJECTIONS-------------------
W by 13.78 at USM (down from W by 17.62)
W by 12.02 vs WKU (up from W by 11.08)
W by 5.49 at UAB (up from W by 3.78)
W by 15.58 at ODU (down from W by 16.49)
W by 11.01 vs Rice (down from W by 11.51)
Other Week 8 C-USA Actual/Projected ResultsMarshall won 45-13 at FIU (projected W by 11.08)
Middle Tennessee won 34-22 vs UAB (projected L by 0.83)
USM won 30-20 at North Texas (projected L by 13.72)
FAU won 45-38 vs Western Kentucky (projected L by 7.22)
Other Week 9 C-USA Projected Results
WKU projected W by 13.73 vs ODU
UTSA projected W by 10.72 vs UTEP
Marshall projected W by 23.64 vs FAU
UAB projected L by 22.38 at Arkansas
Rice projected W by 9.78 vs North Texas
Open date—FIU
