Louisiana is trending the wrong way. Good thing we have one of those (D) guvnors, eh!
Printable View
Louisiana is trending the wrong way. Good thing we have one of those (D) guvnors, eh!
More test = trending?Quote:
Originally Posted by dawg80
More hospitalizations maybe, but not cases.
Did somebody say this was going away?
Trump should have had a vaccine by now! He should have also had one for the common cold by now.
Is everyone masking up and socially distancing in Louisiana?
Taiwan still has things under control.
I have two sets of small multiples below for 2 month time frames ...
Top: State trends in cases / deaths from mid-Mar to mid-May
Bottom: State trends in cases / deaths from early May - today
A few obs ...
1) Increases in deaths are delayed by a few weeks, which is obvious with the first spike in Louisiana
2) Cases are not reported by test date ... this is frustrating to use
3) A deaths spike should follow the ones in the bottom visual within the week IF they cases-deaths spike trend from earlier follows BUT I would have expected to see some increase by now
4) Increases in hospitalizations give me some confidence that a subsequent deaths spike will happen
5) I have read we are treating it better than before and more cases are young persons. It is possible, dare I say likely, that the spike in deaths will not be nearly as high as back in Mar-Apr
https://scontent.fbtr1-1.fna.fbcdn.n...57&oe=5F230206
I would be interested to know how seriously those 60 and older are taking staying at home and not getting out. The folks I know at highest risk are still not going into public. It may be that, given the relative youth of new cases, that older generations are simply being smarter about their risks. If this death trend stays like this I don't think anyone can see that as bad news.
The cases and deaths trend for the US as a whole from 3/1 forward ...
https://scontent.fbtr1-1.fna.fbcdn.n...0a&oe=5F23352E
This "death trend" is still made up of the sick and elderly. If we protect those people the outcome is obvious. We protect them by isolating them, not those who are healthy.Quote:
Originally Posted by weunice
You can’t isolate them. Was tried everywhere and failed.
I also expect their to be a death spike and agree it is likely that it will not exactly be proportional because we have gotten better at treating COVID and the demographics aren’t quite the same. However, all bets are off if we exceed hospital capacities.
Thursday - 7,382 hospitalized in TX.Quote:
Originally Posted by Guisslapp
Masks now mandatory in Texas.
Wonder what the excuse is for not doing it sooner.Quote:
Originally Posted by johnnylightnin
Not sure. I was in Frisco today and went into several businesses that required masks (signs posted on the doors). Here’s the thing though, still not many masks. Then, you’ve got low level employees trying to police the policy...recipe for disaster.Quote:
Originally Posted by Guisslapp
If there is a death spike it will continue to be the elderly and those already sick. I know you are hoping for a spike among the young and healthy, but it’s not going to happen. Sorry, you’ll just have to be satisfied with the disproportionate killing of black babies
If you’re talking to me, you’re bearing false witness.Quote:
Originally Posted by PawDawg
Iwas talking to anybody who claims to care about blacksQuote:
Originally Posted by johnnylightnin
Brazen.Quote:
Originally Posted by PawDawg