Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2018
I'm back!
|
Last Yr |
This Wk |
Sag Rk |
79 |
88 |
Sag Rat |
|
64.13 |
Pred W-L |
|
9-3 |
Pred W-L |
|
0.750 |
Home Adv |
|
2.36 |
OOC Rk |
|
136 |
Conf Rk |
|
122 |
Conf Opp Rk |
|
103 |
The SMU win was pretty good for us as it brought us up +30 spots, back to where we began the 2017 season.
H/A |
Rk |
Team |
Sag |
Fav |
W/L |
+/- |
Act |
Quality |
W% |
@ |
140 |
USA |
52.83 |
8.94 |
W |
|
|
|
0.72 |
|
199 |
SU |
39.76 |
26.73 |
W |
|
|
|
1.00 |
@ |
24 |
LSU |
81.64 |
-19.87 |
L |
|
|
|
0.00 |
@ |
98 |
UNT |
61.69 |
0.08 |
W |
|
|
|
0.50 |
|
106 |
UAB |
59.66 |
6.83 |
W |
|
|
|
0.67 |
@ |
134 |
UTSA |
54.15 |
7.62 |
W |
|
|
|
0.69 |
|
173 |
UTEP |
45.50 |
20.99 |
W |
|
|
|
1.00 |
@ |
77 |
FAU |
67.29 |
-5.52 |
L |
|
|
|
0.36 |
@ |
12 |
MSU |
86.01 |
-24.24 |
L |
|
|
|
0.00 |
|
160 |
Rice |
48.20 |
18.29 |
W |
|
|
|
0.96 |
@ |
120 |
USM |
57.24 |
4.53 |
W |
|
|
|
0.61 |
|
121 |
WKU |
57.02 |
9.47 |
W |
|
|
|
0.74 |
Once again, our terrible conference ensures that anything less than 9 wins will be a disappointment. I am curious to see how the UNT and FAU lines move as the season progresses. These will likely be our only chances to beat Top 100 teams (UAB might sneak in by the time we play them). Remember that early-season Sagarin ratings are a mix of stuff including previous seasons. If we've truly shaken off the rust, that'll be reflected in rankings from about Week 3 (I think).
Rk |
C-USA |
77 |
Florida Atlantic |
85 |
Marshall |
88 |
Louisiana Tech |
98 |
North Texas |
102 |
Middle Tennessee |
106 |
UAB |
120 |
Southern Miss |
121 |
Western Kentucky |
130 |
Fla. International |
134 |
UTSA |
138 |
Old Dominion |
160 |
Rice |
173 |
UTEP |
175 |
Charlotte |
Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2018
No surprises here. The predictor looks exactly as I have been predicting, ON PAPER. Now the question is, can Skip Holtz's team execute.
Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2018
9-3 in the regular season, with those three road losses, would be....acceptable. No, I don't like "accepting" anything less than 14-0! but, the reality is it's pert near impossible to go unbeaten, UCF not withstanding. It happens rarely. So! you hope your team is the best it can be...and doesn't leave any Ws sitting on the table….like we did 4 times last year.
GO DAWGS!
(getting excited....football is about to start!)
Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2018
Quote:
Originally Posted by
dawg80
9-3 in the regular season, with those three road losses, would be....acceptable. No, I don't like "accepting" anything less than 14-0! but, the reality is it's pert near impossible to go unbeaten, UCF not withstanding. It happens rarely. So! you hope your team is the best it can be...and doesn't leave any Ws sitting on the table….like we did 4 times last year.
GO DAWGS!
(getting excited....football is about to start!)
I know it might be a little pretentious to say, but I really do think, with this schedule and conference, anything less than 9-3 should cause us to seriously reconsider Skip's contract.
Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2018
Am I the only one who thinks MSU is going to be down this year? New coaches always seem to have hiccups.
Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2018
I do and them trying to improve Nick at this point could be a disaster! Plus the team is being fed a ton of " rat poison ".
Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2018
Quote:
Originally Posted by
johnnylightnin
Am I the only one who thinks MSU is going to be down this year? New coaches always seem to have hiccups.
That's not the question. The question is whether that matters at all.
Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2018
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Blue Dawg
That's not the question. The question is whether that matters at all.
https://media.giphy.com/media/uPnKU86sFa2fm/giphy.gif
That's deep bro ...
Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2018
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Champ967
TWSS...
Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2018
Quote:
Originally Posted by
johnnylightnin
Am I the only one who thinks MSU is going to be down this year? New coaches always seem to have hiccups.
Everything I've heard is that it's probably the most talented team they've ever had (combined with lots of experience).
I think they'll be really good.
Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2018
Quote:
Originally Posted by
inudesu
Everything I've heard is that it's probably the most talented team they've ever had (combined with lots of experience).
I think they'll be really good.
They certainly are on paper...I just think the transition is ALWAYS an adjustment. Is Saban the last Big 10 coach that came to the SEC and performed really well (and he was an HC)?
Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2018
Was watching some preseason show on the SEC Network and Moo State is getting a lot of love. Some have them picked 2nd in the West, behind Bama, of course. And Kirk Herbstriet (I know, consider the source) was also singing Moo State's praises on the College Gameday preseason show. So! FWIW many pundits are expecting big things from those dogs. Think they have 18 returning starters...if I'm not thinking of someone else.
Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2018
Quote:
Originally Posted by
johnnylightnin
They certainly are on paper...I just think the transition is ALWAYS an adjustment. Is Saban the last Big 10 coach that came to the SEC and performed really well (and he was an HC)?
Well, it's all relative, right?
They may not make the playoff because they still share a division with Auburn and Alabama (either of whom they might beat, but still not win the division). But they also share a division with Ole Miss, Arkansas, LSU, and A&M - so you've got lots of new coaches. Somebody has to win, unless they do what they usually do and just beat each other up with no clear order.
Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2018
|
Last Wk |
This Wk |
Sag Rk |
88 |
89 |
Sag Rat |
64.13 |
62.99 |
Pred W-L |
9-3 |
8-4 |
Pred W-L |
0.750 |
0.667 |
Home Adv |
2.36 |
2.36 |
OOC Rk |
136 |
129 |
Conf Rk |
122 |
125 |
Conf Opp Rk |
103 |
105 |
H/A |
Rk |
Team |
Sag |
Fav |
W/L |
+/- |
Act |
Quality |
W% |
@ |
140 |
USA |
52.83 |
8.94 |
W |
|
|
61.77 |
0.72 |
|
197 |
SU |
39.35 |
27.14 |
W |
0.41 |
|
|
1.00 |
@ |
13 |
LSU |
85.06 |
-23.29 |
L |
-3.42 |
|
|
0.00 |
@ |
82 |
UNT |
65.66 |
-3.89 |
L |
-3.97 |
|
|
0.40 |
|
98 |
UAB |
62.00 |
4.49 |
W |
-2.34 |
|
|
0.61 |
@ |
153 |
UTSA |
49.74 |
12.03 |
W |
4.41 |
|
|
0.80 |
|
184 |
UTEP |
42.55 |
23.94 |
W |
2.95 |
|
|
1.00 |
@ |
86 |
FAU |
63.85 |
-2.08 |
L |
3.44 |
|
|
0.45 |
@ |
11 |
MSU |
86.79 |
-25.02 |
L |
-0.78 |
|
|
0.00 |
|
166 |
Rice |
47.04 |
19.45 |
W |
1.16 |
|
|
0.99 |
@ |
108 |
USM |
58.93 |
2.84 |
W |
-1.69 |
|
|
0.57 |
|
115 |
WKU |
57.31 |
9.18 |
W |
-0.29 |
|
|
0.73 |
Rk |
C-USA |
80 |
Marshall |
82 |
North Texas |
86 |
Florida Atlantic |
89 |
Louisiana Tech |
98 |
UAB |
108 |
Southern Miss |
115 |
Western Kentucky |
125 |
Middle Tennessee |
128 |
Fla. International |
153 |
UTSA |
161 |
Charlotte |
166 |
Rice |
177 |
Old Dominion |
184 |
UTEP |
There's about as much of a difference between us and Southern as there is between LSU and us. I guess we're just gonna have to accept that.
Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2018
Given what we saw in game 1, I'll take 8-4 and 6-2 in conference. Still, it's a bit of an ego hit to be an underdog to UNT. Goes to show what consistently good QB play can get you.