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  1. Thread: Covid - 19

    by detltu
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    16,277

    Re: Covid - 19

    The bolded part is incorrect. After digging into the CDC numbers some more. They only estimate "symptomatic cases". Almost all of the CDC numbers for the flu are estimates (including deaths). ...
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    Re: Covid - 19 - Louisiana Edition

    This is not entirely correct or at least not a correct response to Carteks statement. The hospitalization rates are adjusted based on the sensitivity of the test and the total number of cases are...
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    Re: Covid - 19 - Louisiana Edition

    In this case we are talking about the testing numbers though right. 14% of the people tested are testing positive. I'm not sure how that compares to the flu, but I'm not sure what point is being...
  4. Thread: Covid - 19

    by detltu
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    1,114
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    16,277

    Re: Covid - 19

    Fact. Trumps achievements are not on par with David, but his failures might be.
  5. Thread: Covid - 19

    by detltu
    Replies
    1,114
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    16,277

    Re: Covid - 19

    Sorry to bring up old stuff, but you know King David was a deeply flawed dude right? In addition to some of the wonderful things he did, he did some truly wretched things as well. Might want to...
  6. Thread: Covid - 19

    by detltu
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    1,114
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    16,277

    Re: Covid - 19

    Bidens response to the travel ban. This is from politifact who said the claim was mostly false:
    Biden said: "This is no time for Donald Trump's record of hysteria xenophobia, hysterical ...
  7. Thread: Covid - 19

    by detltu
    Replies
    1,114
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    16,277

    Re: Covid - 19

    It would be unusual for sure, but not out of the questions. Particularly when you factor in how differently the disease affects different people with different underlying conditions. The way this...
  8. Thread: Covid - 19

    by detltu
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    1,114
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    16,277

    Re: Covid - 19

    Yes, and yet 10 days is not necessarily the correct number. That was my point. 10 days will not make your number more correct than 0 days. Just worse. Basic data science principles indeed.
  9. Thread: Covid - 19

    by detltu
    Replies
    1,114
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    16,277

    Re: Covid - 19

    You don't have data to support #1. Your source says nothing of that not being included in the flue estimates. Granted the flu estimates do not specifically say they include asmptomatic cases (it...
  10. Thread: President Trump

    by detltu
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    120,757

    Re: President Trump

    Yeah, that's pretty hard to reconcile when we can say with relative certainty that he at least has committed adultery. I suspect in his business endeavors he probably has quite a few more sins to add...
  11. Thread: President Trump

    by detltu
    Replies
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    120,757

    Re: President Trump

    I certainly wouldn't model my faith after Trump and it's certainly not a humble answer to say you don't have much to ask forgiveness for. That said, I won't question his faith because I don't know...
  12. Thread: Covid - 19

    by detltu
    Replies
    1,114
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    16,277

    Re: Covid - 19

    https://www.cnn.com/2020/03/26/opinions/americans-like-trump-handling-crisis-opinion-jennings/index.html

    CNN, but it is a right wing opinion piece. Still I think there are some accurate accounts...
  13. Thread: Covid - 19

    by detltu
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    1,114
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    16,277

    Re: Covid - 19

    sounds like you have never worked anyplace especially government
  14. Thread: Covid - 19

    by detltu
    Replies
    1,114
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    16,277

    Re: Covid - 19

    This is a very fair assessment. I could basically say the same thing except I would make a slight modification to the twitter comment. I have no problem with his propensity for tweeting on it's...
  15. Thread: Covid - 19

    by detltu
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    Re: Covid - 19

    His spending is probably my biggest policy problem with Trump. He has certainly spent like a drunken sailor. I'm not sure what other actions you would like me to imagine. I can't even imagine...
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    Re: Covid - 19 - Louisiana Edition

    I think it is a cultural issue as well. New Orleans is very socially oriented. Bars, parties, socializing in general are big parts of life. If locals got it as far back as Mardis Gras they had...
  17. Thread: Covid - 19

    by detltu
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    1,114
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    16,277

    Re: Covid - 19

    Well maybe you don't suffer from TDS, or maybe it's bad enough you don't even realize it. Hard to tell. Maybe that is the difference. Trump is not at all who I feared he would be.
  18. Thread: Covid - 19

    by detltu
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    Re: Covid - 19

    BS no one is changing their minds anytime soon. Not to say he has handled this perfectly or even well enough to change peoples opinions of him, but it aint happening. Don't fool yourself.
  19. Thread: Covid - 19

    by detltu
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    1,114
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    16,277

    Re: Covid - 19

    And there is literally nothing he could ever do or say to get those with TDS to ever admit he did something right. It's the world we live in.
  20. Thread: President Trump

    by detltu
    Replies
    4,252
    Views
    120,757

    Re: President Trump

    You haven't learned much if you think no one is going to listen to him.
  21. Thread: Covid - 19

    by detltu
    Replies
    1,114
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    16,277

    Re: Covid - 19

    Agreed, I don't trust their numbers, but they actually do what many accuse Trump of doing. When they shut things down they are shut down. I read somewhere that south Korea is tracking peoples...
  22. Thread: President Trump

    by detltu
    Replies
    4,252
    Views
    120,757

    Re: President Trump

    I think he is wrong about it starting back up by Easter, but I do think it will start back up by the end of April. You're fighting a straw man about "it wasn't Trump that turned off the economy in...
  23. Thread: Covid - 19

    by detltu
    Replies
    1,114
    Views
    16,277

    Re: Covid - 19

    Where is your 50% number coming from for the flu. I think the safe assumption is that the numbers the CDC uses to estimate total cases includes those who are asymptomatic but still spread the...
  24. Thread: Covid - 19

    by detltu
    Replies
    1,114
    Views
    16,277

    Re: Covid - 19

    Flu count is based on estimates and not positive tests. It would be much worse if they only counted confirmed cases (edit: basically double so much worse is an overstatement). They have a good...
  25. Thread: Covid - 19

    by detltu
    Replies
    1,114
    Views
    16,277

    Re: Covid - 19

    Certainly arguable. If that is the biggest poison pill from the republicans the Dems would be on shaky ground. It sounds like the repubs poison pills aren't too hard to swallow as we may get a deal...
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