If that doomsday scenario were ever to come out then of course I'd want Tech to take it considering one reason I wanted in CUSA is because of Houston & SMU
If I'm wrong about that, or if the terms are so stiff that it's not workable, then yeah, we're looking at an 18-20 team Conference USA (any hope of UTEP leaving dissipated if UH and SMU come back). Conference USA won't pick-and-choose. Almost all of the leftover teams have more to offer than a majority of the teams presently within the conference. You don't leave that on the table.
Louisville is definitely going to play the role of the conference's Sour Sally. It's something that ECU and UCF gave us a lot of experience with in C*USA.
I think pride would overrule common sense in some decisions. Some schools would feel like they were being "demoted" by leaving the Big East and returning to C-USA or MWC. In reality, it's not a demotion. Things change. The Big East is not the same conference it was 12 months ago. Those of us not in one of the "big five" conferences should band together (belt/MAC not included) and work on elevating our product together toward those of the big five. There is power in numbers. I would argue that the MWC had been as strong as the Big East in football for several years. It was the glamour of preexisting BCS AQ status that tip the weight in Big East's favor. Now, that's gone, as is West Virginia, Pitt, and Syracuse. I'm just saying that if Louisville leaves, it is a further blow and I'm not sure there is enough quality points to get any in the top 4 playoffs.
In reality it was Case Keenum that got Houston on the BCS map recently and now that he's gone along with Sumlin, what's to say they won't suffer a drop off?
For the record, I admire all that Houston has accomplished over the years. That's why I want to be associated with ya'll. I just think UH would have more success in a regionally based conference (in all sports) than with the left over Big East. Not that the Big East is stronger in competition, but it will lack in creating fan/student enthusiasm. Until you experience a far flung league where (minus SMU) your conference rivals are 1000+ miles away, you will never know until you get there. Trust us.
(For the record, that's what I meant when I talked about C*USA being a better deal for y'all than for us. I was hoping it wouldn't be misinterpreted as "we're too good for it and you're not" when I am not thinking along those lines for you or for us.)
This very well could backfire. Our time in C*USA v1.0 was certainly less than pleasant, though for reasons not having a whole lot to do with geography. In any event, as I've said, if UCF and SMU didn't tip our hand (and ECU enthusiastic about going if we didn't), I would be more concerned about it. Our admin isn't looking back at all, though, so it doesn't matter much at all what I think .
parialex...great words and I have always respected your opinion. Don't always agree with you but you made civil conversation without forcing an agenda down our throats and hope you will always be a part of this board as part of the TECH family. With that said, I thinks that chasing the money to the Big Easy for UH is a big mistake as we found out playing in the WAC. Yes at the time it was the best option for us. But having to travel half way across the country through two different time zones and half way across the world to play Hawaii...that got old for everyone...even for our conference mates. As the economy went south, so did the resources to sustain that especially for the programs that aren't money makers. Yeah they liked us when it was convenient for them. but when it came down to finances, they wanted us out as much as we did in a more regional setting to alleviate the inconvenience for the athletes and fans. I just personaly feel that now that the whole AQ business is a thing of the past, UH would be better served back in CUSA where you belong. Just my thoughts!
If louisville and cincinatti to big XII then look for Notre Dame and UConn to ACC. Big east will crumble into a catholic school basketball league leaving new additions and rutgers high and dry.
The Big 12 will invite Louisville once they get Notre Dame to agree to join the conference. Arkansas would work, too. If these sound unlikely to you, it's because... they are. But that's the problem with the "Louisville to the Big 12" talk. There is no #12 and Louisville is not, I do not believe, worth going to 11 for. For reasons I simply do not understand, they don't seem to be taking Cincinnati seriously. Beyond that there is Rutgers, Air Force, and BYU. I think it's hard to get any consensus around Rutgers, Air Force appears uninterested, and they couldn't get on the same page as BYU. This, combined with the lucrative new deal that the Big 12 has already negotiated, is why Louisville hasn't been invited yet and why I think that there is a really good chance they won't be.
"It's a lot more fun working with people who make money for the company than it is to work with people trying to save money for the company". - HD