Who will win?

[T1]

What's your gut telling you with less than 2 weeks to go?

Romney close
Obama close
Romney in landslide
Obama in landslide

[JuBru]

Obama close.

Like I said elsewhere, I have little faith in the average American voter. By every metric conceivable that is the correct path for the U.S., Romney should win. But flash is more important than substance, and Romney is not flashy.

Still voting Romney.

[Cal&Ken]

Romney. I think it will be fairly close, but with some surprising states going for Romney.

[TechAlum05]

It depends of what you define as a landslide.

I think Romney wins in a close race, but he has the potential to win in a landslide (330 EV to 208 EV).

Remember how big the electorate shifted toward the GOP in the 2010 Mid-term Elections. The shift was a result of the policies of Obama and the Democrats from 2009-2010. Since 2010, the economy's growth rate has slowed down since 2010, budget deficits haven't improved, and our foreign policy is a mess. I don't believe there are that many people in this country who would reelect a man with the track record of Barack Obama.

[techman05]

If everyone thinks like I do, that everything we need to have fixed hinges on economic growth, then Romney wins in a landslide. I don't know that everyone out there likes a strong independent economy though. I can't believe they don't, but look where their vote got us last time.

[LookingForResults]

Romney in a landslide. Positive.

[T1]

I think these polls are underestimating the enthusiasm to get Obama out of office. Plus they are over sampling Democrats.

I can see a shockingly large Romney win happening.

[T1]

Previous polls have usually erred on the side of the Democrats

1992: Clinton polled 6% too high
1996: Clinton polled 3% too high
2000: Gore polled 2% too low
2004: Bush polled 2% too low
2008: McCain polled 4% too low

In other words, the margin of error swings towards Republicans 80% of the time. If a poll is even, that usually means the Republican will win.

[johnnylightnin]

I don't know. We've dumbed down our society so much that any logical evaluation is useless in predicting their behavior (that is an entirely bipartisan statement). I guess Romney will win, but who knows?

[T1]

I don't know. We've dumbed down our society so much that any logical evaluation is useless in predicting their behavior (that is an entirely bipartisan statement). I guess Romney will win, but who knows?

We've still got a lot of older folks who remember American values (Tea partiers). The next generation will see full blown Communism though.... imo.

[TYLERTECHSAS]

Last week I would have said Romney but after Monday night I really don't know. Just a few real swings by Romney at those softballs thrown Monday would have sent Obama to Hawaii or Kenya. Liked his "looking Presidential and above the fray" strategy to a point but I think he went too far IMHO. If Romney wins that strategy will have worked and he wins by a landslide. If not he could still win but it will be by a nose and will be dragged out in court again by the 10,000+ lawyers Obama has on retainer.

[dawg80]

Heard that 106 counties nationwide will decide the outcome. Since 48 of the 50 states are winner take all in the EC, all a candidate needs to do is win the state, even if it's only by one vote. In the key swing states, such as Ohio, and the other 6 or 7 states, the race will be so close how some key counties go, so will go that state. There are what? over 4,000 counties (parishes) nationwide, and it'll come down to about 100 of those.

BTW, the local democraps have been caught engaging in voter fraud. Never put it passed them to cheat. Some 'crap campaign operative has been indicted in DeSoto Parish. Heard it affected a close school board race, as well as a state rep. race. And that in Louisiana where we have voter ID laws! Imagine the fraud in other states.

[PawDawg]

I don't know. We've dumbed down our society so much that any logical evaluation is useless in predicting their behavior (that is an entirely bipartisan statement). I guess Romney will win, but who knows?

You are correct, but try to find those young sheeple who wanted to be the cool BHO supporter in '08. Even the yellow dogs are keeping quiet.

[hoppinmad]

Romney in a landslide. Positive.

+2 by 3% ... I have to believe morons are not in the majority yet .... but they're working at it.

[saltydawg]

You are correct, but try to find those young sheeple who wanted to be the cool BHO supporter in '08. Even the yellow dogs are keeping quiet.

It will be close in the popular vote but think that Obama will win the EC. Nobody as even been elected POTUS without winning Ohio and Obama has a good size lead there thanks to his saving the US auto industry, something that Romney was against.

Could be that Romney wins the popular vote and loses.

Anyway, I've already voted in Nevada which is one of the swing states.