Originally Posted by
RealityCheck
No projection I have seen recently is for a 6 or 8 win season. But the GAMER projection on realtimeRPI.com does have Tech 10-19 heading to El Paso in March.
My breakdown the other day in the AAMU thread had Tech 12-17 if it plays to roughtly the same winning percentage as for the first 12 games in each RPI group of 100.
Looking at it another way, Tech's 5 wins have been over teams with an average RPI of 240.4 (best win UALR at 129). Tech's 7 losses are to teams with an average RPI of 130 (worst loss Nicholls State at 223). Tech has 7 games left with teams having better than a 130 RPI, 4 games left against teams worse than 240, and 6 games against teams between 130 and 240. If Tech wins all of the games against the 240+ teams and all of the home games against the 130-240 teams, that would be 7 more wins...still a 12-17 projection.
One thing is for certain...Tech is going to have to play significantly better than anything it has shown so far to have any shot of getting to El Paso with a winning record...10-6 C-USA is required presuming a loss in College Station Saturday.