Originally Posted by
Kiwi Techster
OK, so here are schedule predictions for the rest of the year according to Sagarin. The sum of the ratings is the approx. amount of points we are fave or underdog and the percentage is our approximate chances to win the game.
@ Texas A&M (-83.77+69.00-4.14) = -18.91 = 5%
Southern Miss (-72.71+69.00+4.14) = +0.43 = 50%
Midd Tenn St (86.77+69.00+4.14) = -13.63 = 10%
@ Rice (65.52+69.00-4.14) = -0.66 = 50%
@ East Carolina (77.01-69.00-4.14) = -12.15 = 12%
Florida Atlantic (72.57-69.00+4.14) = +0.57 = 50%
@ Tulane (73.81-69.00-4.14) = -8.95 = 20%
UTSA (68.96-69.00+4.14) = +4.18 = 60%
@ UTEP (81.72-69.00-4.14) = -16.86 = 7%
@ Marshall (58.69-69.00-4.14) = +6.17 = 70%
Charlotte (73.31-69.00+4.14) = -0.17 = 50%
UAB (73.93-69.00+4.14) = -0.79 = 48%
@ Tulsa (63.73-69.00-4.14) = +1.13 = 53%
Rice (65.52-69.00+4.14) = +7.62 = 75%
@ Old Dominion (71.54-69.00-4.14) = -6.68 = 28%
@ North Texas (68.05-69.00-4.14) = - 3.19 = 43%
Florida Intl (69.80-69.00+4.14) = +3.34 = 57%
Ignoring Texas A&M (which doesn't make much of a difference anyway) adding up our conference wins we get 0.5+0.1+0.5+0.12+0.5+0.2+0.6+0.07+0.7+0.5+0.48+0.5 3+0.75+0.28+0.43+0.57 = 6.83. So we are projected to go about 7-9 in conference play (luckily for us we get to play Rice twice and they are relatively weak) and 7-10 overall the rest of the way, finishing up the season at 12-17.