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Thread: Conference RPI as Dec.22, 2013

  1. #16
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    Re: Conference RPI as Dec.22, 2013

    Quote Originally Posted by Kiwi Techster View Post
    OK, so here are schedule predictions for the rest of the year according to Sagarin. The sum of the ratings is the approx. amount of points we are fave or underdog and the percentage is our approximate chances to win the game.

    @ Texas A&M (-83.77+69.00-4.14) = -18.91 = 5%
    Southern Miss (-72.71+69.00+4.14) = +0.43 = 50%
    Midd Tenn St (86.77+69.00+4.14) = -13.63 = 10%
    @ Rice (65.52+69.00-4.14) = -0.66 = 50%
    @ East Carolina (77.01-69.00-4.14) = -12.15 = 12%
    Florida Atlantic (72.57-69.00+4.14) = +0.57 = 50%
    @ Tulane (73.81-69.00-4.14) = -8.95 = 20%
    UTSA (68.96-69.00+4.14) = +4.18 = 60%
    @ UTEP (81.72-69.00-4.14) = -16.86 = 7%
    @ Marshall (58.69-69.00-4.14) = +6.17 = 70%
    Charlotte (73.31-69.00+4.14) = -0.17 = 50%
    UAB (73.93-69.00+4.14) = -0.79 = 48%
    @ Tulsa (63.73-69.00-4.14) = +1.13 = 53%
    Rice (65.52-69.00+4.14) = +7.62 = 75%
    @ Old Dominion (71.54-69.00-4.14) = -6.68 = 28%
    @ North Texas (68.05-69.00-4.14) = - 3.19 = 43%
    Florida Intl (69.80-69.00+4.14) = +3.34 = 57%

    Ignoring Texas A&M (which doesn't make much of a difference anyway) adding up our conference wins we get 0.5+0.1+0.5+0.12+0.5+0.2+0.6+0.07+0.7+0.5+0.48+0.5 3+0.75+0.28+0.43+0.57 = 6.83. So we are projected to go about 7-9 in conference play (luckily for us we get to play Rice twice and they are relatively weak) and 7-10 overall the rest of the way, finishing up the season at 12-17.
    As bad as 12 or 13 wins would be, I feel like that's a good expectation. I will not weep into my pillow any more than I already do if we win 12 games.

  2. #17
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    Re: Conference RPI as Dec.22, 2013

    I had predicted 11-18 before the season started, and then after being pummeled by Arkie State and losing at Nichols, revised it to 7-22.

    Oh, I know, DONidiot will now say "make a donation to LTAC," for daring to make such predictions. Yeah....that'll make Spoon a better coach .

  3. #18
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    Re: Conference RPI as Dec.22, 2013

    Conference Standings...!
    It's going to be all up hill, since we are at the bottom of the list for the moment!

    Conference USA
    UTEP 0-0 11-1

    East Carolina 0-0 11-1

    Southern Miss 0-0 10-2

    Middle Tenn. St. 0-0 10-3

    Florida Atlantic 0-0 9-3

    Tulane 0-0 9-3

    UTSA 0-0 8-4

    UAB 0-0 8-5

    Old Dominion 0-0 6-6

    Marshall 0-0 6-6

    Rice 0-0 6-6

    Tulsa 0-0 5-5

    North Texas 0-0 5-7

    Florida Intl. 0-0 5-7

    Charlotte 0-0 5-7

    Louisiana Tech 0-0 5-8

  4. #19
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    Re: Conference RPI as Dec.22, 2013

    C-USA RPIs after 1/1 games
    19 Middle Tennessee
    99 Southern Miss
    101 East carolina
    108 UTEP
    119 FAU
    139 Tulane
    144 Charlotte
    156 UAB
    172 UTSA
    202 Tulsa
    207 ODU
    224 Louisiana Tech
    226 Rice
    240 FIU
    253 North Texas
    333 Marshall

    Tech's predicted RPI on warrennolan.com is 252 with an 11-18 record (projects 6-10 C-USA).
    Last edited by RealityCheck; 01-02-2014 at 01:47 AM.

  5. #20
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    Re: Conference RPI as Dec.22, 2013

    we should know quickly just how this conference run will look after the first 2 games of the season!
    Knocking off SMU and Middle Tenn. at the TAC might give us hope!

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