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Thread: Reality Check's Weekly Sagarin Predictor Thread...

  1. #121
    Champ MiloBumP has a reputation beyond reputeMiloBumP has a reputation beyond reputeMiloBumP has a reputation beyond reputeMiloBumP has a reputation beyond reputeMiloBumP has a reputation beyond reputeMiloBumP has a reputation beyond reputeMiloBumP has a reputation beyond reputeMiloBumP has a reputation beyond reputeMiloBumP has a reputation beyond reputeMiloBumP has a reputation beyond reputeMiloBumP has a reputation beyond repute
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    Re: Reality Check's Weekly Sagarin Predictor Thread...

    I love my DS65!!! He is a good man...glad Sportdawg couldn't correct that typo quick enough. That is classic.

  2. #122
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    Re: Reality Check's Weekly Sagarin Predictor Thread...

    Quote Originally Posted by Champ967 View Post
    labg
    Latin American Business Group??? (I didn't know he was Hispanic)
    Los Angeles County Brewer's Guild???? (I didn't know he drank)
    Looking @ Big Girls????? (To each there own)

    Help me out here.

  3. #123
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    Re: Reality Check's Weekly Sagarin Predictor Thread...

    Quote Originally Posted by tenacious_dog View Post
    Latin American Business Group??? (I didn't know he was Hispanic)
    Los Angeles County Brewer's Guild???? (I didn't know he drank)
    Looking @ Big Girls????? (To each there own)

    Help me out here.
    The B is for Bernice.

  4. #124
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    Re: Reality Check's Weekly Sagarin Predictor Thread...

    What are the conference rankings as of now?

  5. #125
    Moderator & 2008 NFL Survivor Contest Champion sportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond repute sportdawg's Avatar
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    Re: Reality Check's Weekly Sagarin Predictor Thread...

    Conference USA - East W-L PF PA W-L PF PA STRK
    Marshall 5-0 248 84 9-0 430 149 W9
    Middle Tennessee 4-1 186 177 5-4 295 282 L1
    UAB 3-3 195 196 5-5 335 312 L1
    Western Kentucky 2-4 235 274 4-5 364 374 W1
    Old Dominion 2-4 211 282 4-6 331 401 W1
    Florida International 2-4 150 160 3-7 224 253 L4
    Florida Atlantic 2-4 150 210 3-7 226 347 L3
    Conference USA - West W-L PF PA W-L PF PA STRK
    Louisiana Tech 6-0 254 98 7-3 362 241 W5
    Rice 4-1 172 113 6-3 268 234 W6
    UTEP 3-2 141 139 5-4 268 275 L1
    North Texas 1-4 114 179 3-6 265 275 W1
    UTSA 1-4 80 132 2-7 152 229 L3
    Southern Miss 1-5 135 227 3-7 194 368 L3

  6. #126
    Champ MiloBumP has a reputation beyond reputeMiloBumP has a reputation beyond reputeMiloBumP has a reputation beyond reputeMiloBumP has a reputation beyond reputeMiloBumP has a reputation beyond reputeMiloBumP has a reputation beyond reputeMiloBumP has a reputation beyond reputeMiloBumP has a reputation beyond reputeMiloBumP has a reputation beyond reputeMiloBumP has a reputation beyond reputeMiloBumP has a reputation beyond repute
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    Re: Reality Check's Weekly Sagarin Predictor Thread...

    Quote Originally Posted by Champ967 View Post
    The B is for Bernice.
    Looking At Berniece Girls

  7. #127
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    Re: Reality Check's Weekly Sagarin Predictor Thread...

    Quote Originally Posted by sportdawg View Post
    Conference USA - East W-L PF PA W-L PF PA STRK
    Marshall 5-0 248 84 9-0 430 149 W9
    Middle Tennessee 4-1 186 177 5-4 295 282 L1
    UAB 3-3 195 196 5-5 335 312 L1
    Western Kentucky 2-4 235 274 4-5 364 374 W1
    Old Dominion 2-4 211 282 4-6 331 401 W1
    Florida International 2-4 150 160 3-7 224 253 L4
    Florida Atlantic 2-4 150 210 3-7 226 347 L3
    Conference USA - West W-L PF PA W-L PF PA STRK
    Louisiana Tech 6-0 254 98 7-3 362 241 W5
    Rice 4-1 172 113 6-3 268 234 W6
    UTEP 3-2 141 139 5-4 268 275 L1
    North Texas 1-4 114 179 3-6 265 275 W1
    UTSA 1-4 80 132 2-7 152 229 L3
    Southern Miss 1-5 135 227 3-7 194 368 L3
    Thanks sport but I was curious about the G5 conferences MW,CUSA,ect..).

  8. #128
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    Re: Reality Check's Weekly Sagarin Predictor Thread...

    CFCC TEAM
    Change
    W-L
    BIL
    COL
    MAS
    SAG
    WOL
    GEO.MEAN
    22
    Marshall
    0
    9-0
    21
    17
    32
    34
    17
    23.1179
    24 Colorado State -1 9-1 24 14 36 49 14 24.1988
    32
    Boise State
    -1
    7-2
    39
    16
    39
    37
    22
    28.7988
    38
    Utah State
    7
    7-3
    34
    38
    43
    52
    38
    40.5605
    43
    Nevada
    -1
    6-3
    45
    39
    50
    54
    37
    44.5419


    44
    Memphis
    5
    6-3
    47
    41
    51
    43
    43
    44.8619
    50
    Louisiana Tech
    3
    7-3
    69
    37
    55
    56
    39
    49.8119
    51
    East Carolina
    -3
    6-2
    42
    48
    54
    55
    53
    50.1539
    52
    Air Force
    3
    7-2
    32
    40
    68
    86
    45
    50.7558
    55
    ULL
    3
    6-3
    50
    42
    72
    69
    47
    54.7142
    56
    Georgia Southern
    5
    8-2
    49
    45
    64
    70
    51
    55.0112

  9. #129
    Moderator & 2008 NFL Survivor Contest Champion sportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond repute sportdawg's Avatar
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    Re: Reality Check's Weekly Sagarin Predictor Thread...

    Remember, it's Highest Ranked Conference Champion
    Mountain West - West W-L PF PA W-L PF PA STRK
    Nevada 3-2 147 124 6-3 269 226 W3
    San Diego State 3-2 105 95 5-4 212 182 W1
    Fresno State 3-3 168 173 4-6 283 355 W1
    San Jose State 2-3 125 127 3-6 218 261 L3
    Hawaii 1-4 102 158 2-8 201 286 L4
    UNLV 1-5 126 207 2-8 200 372 L3
    Mountain West - Mountain W-L PF PA W-L PF PA STRK
    Colorado State 5-1 203 158 9-1 349 234 W8
    Boise State 4-1 199 174 7-2 339 269 W4
    Utah State 4-1 136 69 7-3 268 192 W3
    Air Force 3-2 140 117 7-2 285 198 W3
    Wyoming 2-4 144 160 4-6 209 295 L1
    New Mexico 1-4 149 182 3-6 255 315 L1


    Saturday, November 15
    Nevada at Air Force*
    San Diego State at Boise State*

    Hawai‘i at San José State*
    New Mexico at Utah State*
    UNLV at BYU

    Saturday, November 22
    Air Force at San Diego State*
    Boise State at Wyoming*
    New Mexico at Colorado State*
    Fresno State at Nevada*
    UNLV at Hawai‘i*
    San José State at Utah State*

    Saturday, November 29
    Colorado State at Air Force*
    Utah State at Boise State*

    Hawai‘i at Fresno State*
    Nevada at UNLV*
    Wyoming at New Mexico*
    San José State at San Diego State*

    Saturday, December 6
    MW Football Championship Game+


    American Athletic W-L PF PA W-L PF PA STRK
    Memphis 4-1 169 85 6-3 306 168 W3
    East Carolina 3-1 114 82 6-2 287 184 L1
    Cincinnati 3-1 127 75 5-3 278 238 W3
    UCF 3-1 100 76 5-3 206 171 L1
    Houston 3-2 122 85 5-4 248 159 L1
    Temple 3-3 128 125 5-4 248 163 L1
    South Florida 2-3 92 133 3-6 172 264 L2
    Tulsa 2-3 150 172 2-7 229 353 W1
    Tulane 2-3 101 123 3-6 176 259 W1
    Connecticut 1-4 85 125 2-7 156 249 L1
    SMU 0-4 65 172 0-8 77 374 L8





    From RealityCheck
    Projected conference champions or championship game matchups
    AAC--Memphis (projected 9-3, 7-1); 3 teams projected tied with 6-2 conference record
    C-USA--Marshall (projected 12-0, 8-0) vs Louisiana Tech (projected 9-3, 8-0)
    MAC—Bowling Green (projected 8-4, 6-2) vs Toledo (projected 9-3, 8-0)
    MWC--Boise State (projected 10-2, 7-1) vs Nevada (projected 9-3, 6-2)
    Sun Belt--Georgia Southern (projected 10-2, 8-0) and ULL (projected 9-3, 8-0) projected co-champions

  10. #130
    Moderator & 2008 NFL Survivor Contest Champion sportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond repute sportdawg's Avatar
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    Re: Reality Check's Weekly Sagarin Predictor Thread...

    American

    November 13 7:00 PM East Carolina Cincinnati Paul Brown Stadium • Cincinnati, OH ESPN2
    November 14 8:00 PM Tulsa UCF Bright House Networks Stadium • Orlando, FL ESPN2
    November 15 3:30 PM Memphis Tulane Yulman Stadium • New Orleans, LA ESPNU
    November 15 8:00 PM South Florida SMU Gerald J. Ford Stadium • Dallas, TX CBSSN
    November 15 TBA Temple Penn State Beaver StadiumUniversity Park, PA TBA
    November 22 TBA SMU UCF Bright House Networks Stadium • Orlando, FL TBA
    November 22 TBA Cincinnati Connecticut Rentschler Field • East Hartford, CT TBA
    November 22 TBA Tulane East Carolina Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium • Greenville, NC TBA
    November 22 TBA Tulsa Houston TDECU Stadium • Houston, TX TBA
    November 22 TBA South Florida Memphis Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium • Memphis, TN TBA

    November 28 TBA UCF South Florida Raymond James Stadium • Tampa, FL TBA
    November 28 TBA East Carolina Tulsa H. A. Chapman Stadium • Tulsa, OK TBA
    November 28 TBA Houston SMU Gerald J. Ford Stadium • Dallas, TX TBA
    November 29 TBA Cincinnati Temple Lincoln Financial Field • Philadelphia, PA TBA
    November 29 TBA Connecticut Memphis Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium • Memphis, TN TBA
    December 4 7:30 PM UCF East Carolina Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium • Greenville, NC ESPN
    December 6 TBA Houston Cincinnati Paul Brown Stadium • Cincinnati, OH TBA
    December 6 TBA SMU Connecticut Rentschler Field • East Hartford, CT TBA
    December 6 TBA Temple Tulane Yulman Stadium • New Orleans, LA TBA

  11. #131
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    Re: Reality Check's Weekly Sagarin Predictor Thread...

    Quote Originally Posted by HogDawg View Post
    Oh good lord.........
    . I agree with hogdawg

  12. #132
    Champ RealityCheck has a reputation beyond reputeRealityCheck has a reputation beyond reputeRealityCheck has a reputation beyond reputeRealityCheck has a reputation beyond reputeRealityCheck has a reputation beyond reputeRealityCheck has a reputation beyond reputeRealityCheck has a reputation beyond reputeRealityCheck has a reputation beyond reputeRealityCheck has a reputation beyond reputeRealityCheck has a reputation beyond reputeRealityCheck has a reputation beyond repute
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    Re: Reality Check's Weekly Sagarin Predictor Thread...

    Quote Originally Posted by T1 View Post
    I thought the predictor WAS the original Sagarin rating. Then he got all fancy when the BCS told them to throw out the scores of the games and came up with multiple ratings.
    It originally always a blended rating. Sagarin split out the Predictor (fully victory margin-based) and ELO (only result-based without victory margin not considered) when the BC$ required it.

    The Predictor is the most accurate (according to Sagarin) for predicting future results. The blended rating is the rating of record outside of the ELO use in the BC$.

    No time to do it now, but some time by next summer I am going to test Sagarin's results in all ranking forms to see which one was the most accurate for predicting 2014 game results.

  13. #133
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    Re: Reality Check's Weekly Sagarin Predictor Thread...

    Quote Originally Posted by Champ967 View Post
    labg
    . BUTT I meant analyzing -- no one can cause BBB of not having sense of humor

  14. #134
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    Re: Reality Check's Weekly Sagarin Predictor Thread...

    Does CUSA rank higher than the other conferences? There was a thread that showed how every conference ranked that was in Division 1. AAC,ACC, ect...

  15. #135
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    Re: Reality Check's Weekly Sagarin Predictor Thread...

    Quote Originally Posted by RealityCheck View Post
    It originally always a blended rating. Sagarin split out the Predictor (fully victory margin-based) and ELO (only result-based without victory margin not considered) when the BC$ required it.

    The Predictor is the most accurate (according to Sagarin) for predicting future results. The blended rating is the rating of record outside of the ELO use in the BC$.

    No time to do it now, but some time by next summer I am going to test Sagarin's results in all ranking forms to see which one was the most accurate for predicting 2014 game results.
    I don't see "blended rating" on his site. What does that mean? Is that the number to the far left? I thought the original Sagarin was based on scores (Predictor) and then he added the Elo, which takes the scores out. "Blended" is a combination of the Predictor and the Elo?

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