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Thread: 14 Point Favorites

  1. #1
    Super Moderator PawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond repute PawDawg's Avatar
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    14 Point Favorites

    For the early afternoon red out TV game on Saturday. High 94, but only 37% humidity.

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    Re: 14 Point Favorites

    Here comes "cramp-a-clause."

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    Re: 14 Point Favorites

    Regarding "Vegas", over the years we have typically covered the spread, or out right won, when we were underdogs, but what are the facts on how we performed when we were favored?

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    Re: 14 Point Favorites

    Quote Originally Posted by ChipDog View Post
    Regarding "Vegas", over the years we have typically covered the spread, or out right won, when we were underdogs, but what are the facts on how we performed when we were favored?
    I'm sure there is a way to find it, but all I'm able to find is the over all record ATS...

    2-1 this year

    11-3 in 2014

    4-8 in 2013

    5-6-1 in 2012

    11-2 in 2011

    This site may allow filters to find that information.https://www.teamrankings.com/ncf/tre...ge=yearly_2011

  5. #5
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    Re: 14 Point Favorites

    My long range forecast shows highs in the mid to upper 80s...
    ''Don't be a bad dagh..."

  6. #6
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    Re: 14 Point Favorites

    Quote Originally Posted by Dwayne From Minden View Post
    My long range forecast shows highs in the mid to upper 80s...
    I like your forecast better- and if we can find someone with lower 80s that will even be better.

  7. #7
    Moderator & 2008 NFL Survivor Contest Champion sportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond repute sportdawg's Avatar
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    Re: 14 Point Favorites

    I just hope my son's football game in Shreveport starts on time (10:20) so we can get to Ruston for kickoff.

  8. #8
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    Re: 14 Point Favorites

    Quote Originally Posted by maddawg View Post
    I'm sure there is a way to find it, but all I'm able to find is the over all record ATS...

    2-1 this year

    11-3 in 2014

    4-8 in 2013

    5-6-1 in 2012

    11-2 in 2011

    This site may allow filters to find that information.https://www.teamrankings.com/ncf/tre...ge=yearly_2011
    Thanks. I'm going to work on it

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    Re: 14 Point Favorites

    According to Sagarin we should be favored in all of our 7 remaining conference games plus UL-Laf and lose at Miss St. So a 9-3 regular season finish is projected.

    http://www.usatoday.com/sports/ncaaf...15/conference/

  10. #10
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    Re: 14 Point Favorites

    watched the fox replay....if we can get out Oline healthy and Turner going full speed, we could be real good. If we can tighten up our secondary on pass coverage, we will be real good.




    Oh and the complete revamp of special teams................

    .....we looked like a P5 team on the replay.

  11. #11
    65's Top 10 Worthless Poster Blue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond repute
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    Re: 14 Point Favorites

    Below 50%.

    ATS Straight up
    W L % W L %
    Home 22 23 49% 38 7 84%
    Away 26 5 84% 26 6 81%
    Total 48 28 63% 64 13 83%

    since '88, considering only games with official lines where Tech was favored, to '13 (dataset didn't have '14 lines)

    Why would we have a harder time covering the spread at home? (if my calculations are correct)

    Incidentally, 2002 @ SMU was the only time we were favored to win on the road and lost. Astute readers of my analysis of Tech's close games will aptly guess (or remember) this as a 3-pt loss.

  12. #12
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    Re: 14 Point Favorites

    Quote Originally Posted by DogsWin View Post
    According to Sagarin we should be favored in all of our 7 remaining conference games plus UL-Laf and lose at Miss St.
    http://www.usatoday.com/sports/ncaaf...15/conference/
    Probably not a good thing.

  13. #13
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    Re: 14 Point Favorites

    Quote Originally Posted by Dwayne From Minden View Post
    My long range forecast shows highs in the mid to upper 80s...
    This morning's forecast now calls for a high of 87. Beats 95 - 97 coming and going. The tailgate for Southern was sweltering.

    Hopefully it will be even lower when Saturday gets here.

  14. #14
    Administrator Dwayne From Minden has a reputation beyond reputeDwayne From Minden has a reputation beyond reputeDwayne From Minden has a reputation beyond reputeDwayne From Minden has a reputation beyond reputeDwayne From Minden has a reputation beyond reputeDwayne From Minden has a reputation beyond reputeDwayne From Minden has a reputation beyond reputeDwayne From Minden has a reputation beyond reputeDwayne From Minden has a reputation beyond reputeDwayne From Minden has a reputation beyond reputeDwayne From Minden has a reputation beyond repute Dwayne From Minden's Avatar
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    Re: 14 Point Favorites

    1:30 pm home kicks mess with my Saturday golf game...
    ''Don't be a bad dagh..."

  15. #15
    Super Moderator PawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond repute PawDawg's Avatar
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    Re: 14 Point Favorites

    Quote Originally Posted by Woof! View Post
    Probably not a good thing.
    Please explain why being favored by the most respected ranking system in college sports is not a good thing.

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