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Thread: Line vs. Middle

  1. #1
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    Mtsu Line vs. Middle

    No opening line posted yet. I guess Vegas waiting to hear about Dixon.

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    Re: Line vs. Middle

    Quote Originally Posted by maddawg View Post
    No opening line posted yet. I guess Vegas waiting to hear about Dixon.
    7.5 point favorites on Score app.

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    Re: Line vs. Middle

    Quote Originally Posted by TechFanno1 View Post
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    Scary.

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    Re: Line vs. Middle

    Scary because 5 to 7 points are for home field. So the betters believe we are the Muts. This is what happens when your D is screwed up.

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    Re: Line vs. Middle

    Actually not as bad as I thought. Sagarin ratings were closer than I realized.

    Not sure why people think 5-7 pts for home field. That's a myth.

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    Re: Line vs. Middle

    Quote Originally Posted by maddawg View Post
    Actually not as bad as I thought. Sagarin ratings were closer than I realized.

    Not sure why people think 5-7 pts for home field. That's a myth.
    Sagarin's home field advantage this week is 2.66 which equates to 5.62 more points from playing at home. It's subjective, in my own research I've found a slight bump of about 3% extra win probability.

  7. #7
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    Re: Line vs. Middle

    Sportsdawg--post the Cusa stats -- middle Tennessee has top 3 spots in almost every category. They have had a trial by jury schedule and will come in expecting to beat us. This is not a wimpy team....

  8. #8
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    Re: Line vs. Middle

    Quote Originally Posted by Dogsince65 View Post
    Sportsdawg--post the Cusa stats -- middle Tennessee has top 3 spots in almost every category. They have had a trial by jury schedule and will come in expecting to beat us. This is not a wimpy team....
    Stats are in "On to middle" thread - we are pretty even

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    Re: Line vs. Middle

    for what its worth ( more for casual fans) 4 losses : Alabama 37-10 Vandy 17-13 Illinois 27-25 and destroyed by WK 58-24. in their 3 wins they scored 70 -73 and 42 points against weak opponents. I am focusing on how they played against Vandy and Illinois-- Hopefully we can play like WK did against them. Would explain the line based on Vandy/Illinois

  10. #10
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    Re: Line vs. Middle

    Quote Originally Posted by maddawg View Post
    Actually not as bad as I thought. Sagarin ratings were closer than I realized.

    Not sure why people think 5-7 pts for home field. That's a myth.
    I've always heard that 3 points was the home field advantage. Who knows!

  11. #11
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    Re: Line vs. Middle

    Quote Originally Posted by Cory View Post
    I've always heard that 3 points was the home field advantage. Who knows!
    IDK. People hear the numbers for NFL games which are pretty constant. I think they lump them together.

    College games are not so easy. There is a huge advantage in many P5 venues, but not so much in most G5s. No way to put a number on it.

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