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Thread: Help me analyze this regional....

  1. #226
    Champ techman05 has a reputation beyond reputetechman05 has a reputation beyond reputetechman05 has a reputation beyond reputetechman05 has a reputation beyond reputetechman05 has a reputation beyond reputetechman05 has a reputation beyond reputetechman05 has a reputation beyond reputetechman05 has a reputation beyond reputetechman05 has a reputation beyond reputetechman05 has a reputation beyond reputetechman05 has a reputation beyond repute
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    Re: Help me analyze this regional....

    Throw the guy who is ready. Don't save anything for tomorrow. Worry about it when we get there.

  2. #227
    2006 & 2011 BB&B Men's Bracket Champion (investigation underway) boxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond repute
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    Re: Help me analyze this regional....

    I understand the idea you have to win game 2 to get to game 3. That said, from what we've seen of Cal State and Miss State--there is a slight chance of beating either of their 3rd starters without pitching Sutton. Seems like the likelihood of beating SEMO without Sutton is much greater. I suppose it would be nice to win at least one game in the tournament. But I'd roll the dice for better odds of winning more than one.
    Have you considered those Dogs?

  3. #228
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    Re: Help me analyze this regional....

    Quote Originally Posted by glm47 View Post
    I think I would roll the dice and save Sutton for game 3. I would be counting on our bats waking up and getting us through this game.
    Quote Originally Posted by boxerdog View Post
    Uh oh! I was thinking the EXACT same thing.
    I would agree.

  4. #229
    Super Moderator PawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond repute PawDawg's Avatar
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    Re: Help me analyze this regional....

    The football guys have spoken.

  5. #230
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    Re: Help me analyze this regional....

    Quote Originally Posted by boxerdog View Post
    I understand the idea you have to win game 2 to get to game 3. That said, from what we've seen of Cal State and Miss State--there is a slight chance of beating either of their 3rd starters without pitching Sutton. Seems like the likelihood of beating SEMO without Sutton is much greater. I suppose it would be nice to win at least one game in the tournament. But I'd roll the dice for better odds of winning more than one.
    Exactly, since we've already lost one game I'm looking for what strategy can take us the furthest. Not much difference to me in losing game 2 or 3.

  6. #231
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    Re: Help me analyze this regional....

    Quote Originally Posted by glm47 View Post
    Exactly, since we've already lost one game I'm looking for what strategy can take us the furthest. Not much difference to me in losing game 2 or 3.
    The difference is if you don't win game two there is no game three. Nobody ever won a game They didn't play in

  7. #232
    2006 & 2011 BB&B Men's Bracket Champion (investigation underway) boxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond repute
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    Re: Help me analyze this regional....

    Quote Originally Posted by maddawg View Post
    The difference is if you don't win game two there is no game three. Nobody ever won a game They didn't play in
    What's the probability of winning game 3 without Sutton? <.10
    What's the probability of winning game 2 without Sutton? >.50
    What's the probability of winning game 3 with Sutton? >.50
    What's the probability of winning game 2 with Sutton? >.66
    Have you considered those Dogs?

  8. #233
    Champ glm47 has a reputation beyond reputeglm47 has a reputation beyond reputeglm47 has a reputation beyond reputeglm47 has a reputation beyond reputeglm47 has a reputation beyond reputeglm47 has a reputation beyond reputeglm47 has a reputation beyond reputeglm47 has a reputation beyond reputeglm47 has a reputation beyond reputeglm47 has a reputation beyond reputeglm47 has a reputation beyond repute
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    Re: Help me analyze this regional....

    Quote Originally Posted by maddawg View Post
    The difference is if you don't win game two there is no game three. Nobody ever won a game They didn't play in
    Normally I would agree, but like I said, we've already lost a game so what have I got to lose. Saving Sutton gives us a better chance to go further IF we beat SEMO. I admit I'm gambling, thus my reference to rolling the dice.��

  9. #234
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    Re: Help me analyze this regional....

    I'll be pulling for Cal State tonight to win in a 20 inning game.

  10. #235
    Moderator & 2008 NFL Survivor Contest Champion sportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond repute sportdawg's Avatar
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    Re: Help me analyze this regional....

    Quote Originally Posted by SicemDawgz View Post
    I'll be pulling for Cal State tonight to win in a 20 inning game.
    Yes please , that's delayed twice and finished tomorrow

  11. #236
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    Re: Help me analyze this regional....

    Quote Originally Posted by SicemDawgz View Post
    I'll be pulling for Cal State tonight to win in a 20 inning game.
    Yes! I like a few rain delays thrown in as well.

  12. #237
    2006 & 2011 BB&B Men's Bracket Champion (investigation underway) boxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond repute
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    Re: Help me analyze this regional....

    Am I wrong for hoping it rains for a week straight?
    Have you considered those Dogs?

  13. #238
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    Re: Help me analyze this regional....

    It is looking like it may rain across the south for a good while....enough that it will effect available pitchers in the super regionals next weekend possibly.

  14. #239
    Champ techman05 has a reputation beyond reputetechman05 has a reputation beyond reputetechman05 has a reputation beyond reputetechman05 has a reputation beyond reputetechman05 has a reputation beyond reputetechman05 has a reputation beyond reputetechman05 has a reputation beyond reputetechman05 has a reputation beyond reputetechman05 has a reputation beyond reputetechman05 has a reputation beyond reputetechman05 has a reputation beyond repute
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    Re: Help me analyze this regional....

    Glad we threw Sutton. He calmed down after the home run and really pitched well.

  15. #240
    Hunter Lee's Hero HogDawg has a reputation beyond reputeHogDawg has a reputation beyond reputeHogDawg has a reputation beyond reputeHogDawg has a reputation beyond reputeHogDawg has a reputation beyond reputeHogDawg has a reputation beyond reputeHogDawg has a reputation beyond reputeHogDawg has a reputation beyond reputeHogDawg has a reputation beyond reputeHogDawg has a reputation beyond reputeHogDawg has a reputation beyond repute HogDawg's Avatar
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    Re: Help me analyze this regional....

    Quote Originally Posted by techman05 View Post
    Glad we threw Sutton. He calmed down after the home run and really pitched well.
    Sure did. He threw 122 pitches today, which is outstanding. That took a lot of pressure off the bullpen, and gave most of our pitching staff an extra day of rest.

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