Quote Originally Posted by counselingdawg View Post
Saw one of those college football shows on ESPN a couple of days ago where a pundit said that the Big 12 itself is in big trouble because several teams headed by Texas want to move. To Big 10 or PAC 12. Pundit believes it could lose its power 5 status.
The Big 12 is fine until sometime around 2024, when the Grant of Rights runs out. One of the concerns among Houston fans is that additions will be brought in only to see the conference dissolve them. But there is talk that this expansion will come with an extension of the GOR.

Texas likes the Big 12, because it's the only conference that lets them have the LHN. If the Big 12 were to dissolve, they'd either lose their network or would have the headaches of independence.

The bigger threat is OU, which could get on SEC, Big Ten, or maybe the Pac-12. And if OU leaves, that creates a problem for Texas. On the other hand, OU will have a hard time blowing up the conference without Oklahoma State having a nice landing place. While OU could get into a better conference, they are not such a commodity that they can demand OSU come along. This was the problem with the "OU/KU to Big Ten" talk. Oklahoma State and K-State.

Things are not great in the Pac-12 either. The solution to this might be some sort of merger between the Pac-12 and Big 12 into a couple of conferences. Basically an upper conference with the best teams, and a lower conference with the rest. That's pure speculation on my part.

If there is not any sort of extension of the Grant of Rights, I'm expecting things to blow up around 2024, which is when the GOR of both the Pac-12 and Big 12 end.