With our worst defense ever (2012), we needed 42 or more points 5 times.
50 vs Houston
38 vs Rice
25 vs Illinois
39 vs UVA
32 vs UNLV
60 vs A&M
29 vs Idaho
15 vs NM State
28 vs UTSA
56 vs Texas St
42 vs Utah St
53 vs San Jose St
With our worst defense ever (2012), we needed 42 or more points 5 times.
50 vs Houston
38 vs Rice
25 vs Illinois
39 vs UVA
32 vs UNLV
60 vs A&M
29 vs Idaho
15 vs NM State
28 vs UTSA
56 vs Texas St
42 vs Utah St
53 vs San Jose St
If you add extra points to each of our wins, for all time, this is what happens to the win percentage:
We are currently at 54.8%, good for #48.
Scoring 1 point more per game puts us at 58.49%, good for #37 just ahead of Colorado.
Scoring 3 points more per game puts us at 62.36%, good for #20 WINNINGEST FBS PROGRAM, between Miami FL and Washington.
Scoring 7 points more per game puts us at 69.46%, good for #10 WINNINGEST FBS PROGRAM, between USC and Penn State!!!
Of course, a whole touchdown more for EVERY GAME is a bit much to ask of any program. But seeing the thin membrane between us and success would push any reasonable coach to TRY HARDER. We have been SO CLOSE to epic success throughout our history, but we're only a missed field goal away.
The jumps in the graph at 8 and 15 points are also interesting but are probably just artifacts of the scoring system.
Per the national FBS averages to be a Top 50 Offense we must score at least 35.3 ppg. We are scoring 38 ppg (#40 ranked nationally of 128 teams).
Per the national FBS averages to be a Top 50 Defense the opponent must score no more than 23 ppg. We are allowing 35.5 ppg (#110 ranked nationally of 128 teams).
Our Offense is consistently outperforming our Defense per the national averages of all FBS teams and it isn't even close.