At the 11:30 mark Jeremy Alford from LaPolitics.com said that he has published 4 recent polls for his subscribers. Three polls show Caroline Fayard surging. Fleming, who is spending like a drunken sailer on TV, is surging as well. The fourth poll shows Campbell and Fleming tied for second. The three conclusions from the polls: Kennedy is going to make the runoff, while Boustany is lagging as his candidacy has not taken off. Everyone behind Kennedy is basically bunched up.
However, the panel talked about some other things to keep in mind: Kennedy has traditionally overpolled because of his name. In his past races he always underperforms the pre-election polling. Between Kennedy and Boustany they are holding 10% of the African-American vote in the polls. That's expected to fall off on Tuesday. The question is who does it go to - Campbell or Fayard or both? Who is going to have the better ground game? Campbell is apparently on the "community ballots" across the state, which are distributed as endorsements by various groups. How much of a difference will that make?
Alford added that Fleming, who has made his real money off of Subway and Fedex stores, would probably be polling a lot higher if it weren't for Maness and Duke.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d6vgamfLJXM[/QUOTE]
As someone who has been around Louisiana politics all my life I think this is going to be an incredibly interesting Senate vote.
I think Campbell's ground game is going to make a difference for him in making the runoff. That and the Governor's endorsement. At the same time, Fayard appears to be surging. She has been on African-American radio in New Orleans and Baton Rouge with ads for months along with TV in many parts of the state for the past two weeks. Her ad linking Campbell with David Duke is unfair and out of context, but it will have some impact. He is now attacking her with an ad. The irony is that for either of them to eventually win the seat they need each other in the runoff.
I can see why the Republicans did not want Rob Maness in the debates. A report I saw a few months ago showed Maness and his PAC with a combined warchest of over $500,000. With his impact he would have had a real chance if he could have gotten into the debates. At the same time, he still has a ground game and military support throughout the state.
It would not shock me at all if David Duke got 10% of the vote on Tuesday. A few months ago, one of the pollsters released a generic poll on Duke. 13% said they would consider voting for him - if nothing else as a way to cast a protest vote. Duke is now heavily on TV and radio with ads in markets around the state. He polled a few weeks ago in the Raycom poll at 5.1% statewide. If John Kennedy overpolls, David Duke may just be underpolling.
What I'm interested in seeing is just how much support will Duke and Maness along with the "Field" pull from the three high profile Republicans. Is it enough to put Campbell and Fayard into the runoff? Will Kennedy hold his support?
Retirement.
Fleming has a franchise of UPS Stores, not FedEx stores in NW Louisiana.
Campbell is on "community ballots" printed by Sen. Greg Tarver (State Senator from Shreveport area) and a minority voting group organization in Webster Parish.
If I had to guess right now, I still say Kennedy and Foster Campbell make the runoff. Kennedy, I'm almost certain about. The other slot will probably go to Foster, but Fayard, Boustany, and maybe Fleming have a shot, since everyone in that group is bunched up within the margin of error in most polls. Fleming is trying to tie himself with Donald Trump in his latest TV ad, which isn't a bad idea since Louisiana should go to Trump fairly easily on Tuesday.
Does he really have 500 employees?
Fleming owns some Subway stores too. Not sure how many.
Yes he has probably over 500 employees
Very few are full time, most are minimum wage (as it should be in the fast food business)
I don't know the exact count know but he probably owns over 40 stores and most of the franchise area along the I-20 corridor from state line to state line
''Don't be a bad dagh..."