Line moved 22.5
I understand the confusion, but I never use logic to help figure odds. We were favored on the road at Denton by 21. We come home to be favored by only 20 to an arguably worse team than UNT. Vegas had something in mind when they set it at 20. My guess is they set it low expecting money to go on Tech. Setting it near 30 would have driven the line too high. I'm assuming they want it around 25 or so on Saturday. I really don't know, but I've always loved to guess why.
UTSA beat UNT pretty convincingly. They also beat the dog out of USM and MT. That alone should put the line at about 6?
But they lost to UTEP and struggled mightily with Rice. That should put the line at about 30.
They probably just split the difference?
UTSA has a split personality!
UTSA is a different team on the road and at home. All of their wins have been at home except for Rice (14-13) and Middle Tennessee (MT lost their quarterback in first quarter). They lost to UTEP at home in overtime. Their play at home is substantially better than on the road. That may be your Jekyl and Hyde, is home and away.
Think UTSA may be a much better team than expected. They lead Arizona state 28-15 at half --gave Colorado state a solid game and destroyed S Miss (55-32) and Middle Tenn (45-25). Most of those games they were big underdogs ... we lost to MT and their schedule has been tough and gets tougher after us ( Texas AM) --- Beat us and they in position to win division....
I won't be surprised if LA Tech is TRAILING UTSA at the half (21-20?). Why? Because our players are 18-22 yr-old kids who probably think UTSA is just another cakewalk CUSA game.
Let's hope reality sets in --and our defense comes alive-- before it's too late, and LA Tech makes a big come back to win this game in the 2nd half by 2 TD's. My final score prediction is LA Tech 41, UTSA 28.