Originally Posted by
dawg80
If we want to make every election a referendum on Trump, he started 5-0 after his inauguration. Since then, such as the Alabama fill-in Senate seat, such elections have not gone Trump's way.
There's an old saying which holds plenty of water: all politics is local. So, how much of ANY election, win or lose, is because of the POTUS? That's up for debate.
That said, I do believe that Congressional races are closely tied to who the POTUS is. Maybe even some governorships. Usually, historically, the party "not in power" which is defined by who holds the WH, gains seats in mid-term elections. And the reason I said Texas is up first is because these elections today are not special elections to fill suddenly vacated seats. This is the real McCoy toward what Congress will look like come January, 2019.