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Thread: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Techster Thread

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    Poll Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Techster Thread

    Sagarin didn't update the preseason rankings until after Week 1 started, so that's why the +/- values are so large. This season won't be easy but we should take some baby steps away from the bottom.


    Last Week This Week
    Sag Rank 172 167
    Sag Rating 66.94 66.56
    Pred W-L 17-12 19-10
    Home Adv 3.16 3.13

    Last Wk Rk This Wk Rk
    OOC avg 208 193
    Conf Opp avg 170 194
    Conf avg 198 193



    H/A Rk Team Sag Fav W/L +/- Act
    @ 58 LSU
    -4.00

    L

    291 Gram 54.13 15.56 W +3.0
    @ 234 Clem 59.39 4.04 W -0.0

    313 ULM 44.81 24.88 W -11.8
    @ 265 McSt 56.79 6.64 W +0.2

    190 SFA 67.62 2.07 W +10.6

    303 Nich 52.14 17.55 W -7.3
    @ 71 Aub 75.37 -11.94 L +26.5

    87 Memp 74.70 -5.01 L -5.3
    153 ULL 66.60 -3.17 L -7.9

    158 USM 67.38 2.31 W +0.1
    @ 258 UTEP 51.89 11.54 W -13.9

    261 UTSA 54.40 15.29 W -19.2

    90 CHAR 75.62 -5.93 L +14.2
    @ 230 ODU 59.73 3.70 W -11.4
    @ 222 Rice 58.83 4.60 W -9.1

    210 UNT 61.38 8.31 W -1.4

    99 UAB 74.32 -4.63 L +10.6
    @ 78 MTSU 76.23 -12.80 L +5.8
    @ 45 WKU 84.73 -21.30 L +7.4

    116 Mrsh 71.86 -2.17 L -5.1

    258 UTEP 51.89 17.80 W -17.3
    @ 261 UTSA 54.40 9.03 W -19.2
    @ 280 FAU 54.80 8.63 W -6.6

    306 FIU 48.13 21.56 W -14.8

    210 UNT 61.38 8.31 W +7.1
    @ 222 Rice 58.83 4.60 W -4.9
    @ 158 USM 67.38 -3.95 L +4.6





    Rk C-USA
    60 UAB
    100 Old Dominion
    115 Middle Tennessee
    145 Louisiana Tech
    146 Marshall
    164 Western Kentucky
    201 Charlotte
    202 UTEP
    236 Fla. International
    270 Rice
    283 North Texas
    293 Florida Atlantic
    299 Southern Miss
    338 UTSA



    The good WBB teams are higher up in the conference than their male counterparts...but the bad ones are somehow worse.

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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Techster Thread

    Quote Originally Posted by Blue Dawg View Post

    The good WBB teams are higher up in the conference than their male counterparts...but the bad ones are somehow worse.
    It is pretty interesting to see that the top MBB programs are generally also the top WBB programs. I guess it shows the feed off each other...

  3. #3
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Techster Thread

    Quote Originally Posted by Bearpaw View Post
    It is pretty interesting to see that the top MBB programs are generally also the top WBB programs. I guess it shows the feed off each other...
    That's not always been the case. We were pretty close to last the last couple of years.

    Generally success does tend to come from the same root though:

    - Money
    - Exposure
    - Being UAB and having the conference fall down at your feet to provide for your every want

    Remember a few years ago (2011?) UConn won both NCs.

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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Techster Thread

    Quote Originally Posted by Blue Dawg View Post
    That's not always been the case. We were pretty close to last the last couple of years.

    Generally success does tend to come from the same root though:

    - Money
    - Exposure
    - Being UAB and having the conference fall down at your feet to provide for your every want

    Remember a few years ago (2011?) UConn won both NCs.
    Yup, CUAB protects its own

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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Techster Thread


    Last Week This Week
    Sag Rank 167 161
    Sag Rating 66.56 66.97
    Pred W-L 19-10 18-11
    Home Adv 3.13 3.09

    Last Wk Rk This Wk Rk
    OOC avg 193 191
    Conf Opp avg 194 195
    Conf avg 204 182

    H/A Rk Team Sag Fav W/L +/- Act
    @ 58 LSU
    -4.00

    L

    291 Gram
    14.00

    W
    @ 198 Clem 64.24 -0.36 L -4.4

    328 ULM 44.18 25.88 W +1.0
    @ 289 McSt 57.17 6.71 W +0.1

    185 SFA 68.46 1.60 W -0.5

    301 Nich 55.91 14.15 W -3.4
    @ 44 Aub 83.35 -19.47 L -7.5

    116 Memp 70.40 -0.34 L +4.7
    137 ULL 66.84 -2.96 L +0.2

    157 USM 68.33 1.73 W -0.6
    @ 237 UTEP 52.13 11.75 W +0.2

    231 UTSA 60.35 9.71 W -5.6

    123 CHAR 69.31 0.75 W +6.7
    @ 207 ODU 59.94 3.94 W +0.2
    @ 179 Rice 66.13 -2.25 L -6.9

    276 UNT 54.81 15.25 W +6.9

    124 UAB 70.45 -0.39 L +4.2
    @ 99 MTSU 72.70 -8.82 L +4.0
    @ 57 WKU 81.23 -17.35 L +4.0

    147 Mrsh 67.40 2.66 W +4.8

    237 UTEP 52.13 17.93 W +0.1
    @ 231 UTSA 60.35 3.53 W -5.5
    @ 228 FAU 59.76 4.12 W -4.5

    325 FIU 45.22 24.84 W +3.3

    276 UNT 54.81 15.25 W +6.9
    @ 179 Rice 66.13 -2.25 L -6.9
    @ 157 USM 68.33 -4.45 L -0.5



    Rk C-USA
    57 Western Kentucky
    99 Middle Tennessee
    123 Charlotte
    124 UAB
    147 Marshall
    157 Southern Miss
    161 Louisiana Tech
    179 Rice
    207 Old Dominion
    228 Florida Atlantic
    231 Texas-San Ant.
    237 UTEP
    276 North Texas
    325 Florida Int'l.

    Very slim margin below Clemson this week. If we play hard we could very well come away with a big morale boost.

  6. #6
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Techster Thread


    Last Week This Week
    Sag Rank 161 168
    Sag Rating 66.97 66.40
    Pred W-L 18-11 19-10
    Pred W-L 0.621 0.655
    Home Adv 3.09 3.05
    OOC avg rk 191 198
    Conf opp avg rk 195 183
    Conf avg rk 182 176

    H/A Rk Team Sag Fav W/L +/- Act
    @ 58 LSU
    -4.00

    L

    291 Gram
    14.00

    W
    @ 198 Clem
    -11.00

    L

    331 ULM 44.72 24.73 W -1.2
    @ 322 McSt 55.48 7.87 W +1.2

    164 SFA 69.02 0.43 W -1.2

    304 Nich 55.20 14.25 W +0.1
    @ 48 Aub 81.13 -17.78 L +1.7

    160 Memp 65.03 4.42 W +4.8
    195 ULL 62.69 0.66 W +3.6

    112 USM 73.72 -4.27 L -6.0
    @ 246 UTEP 56.33 7.02 W -4.7

    224 UTSA 61.91 7.54 W -2.2

    136 CHAR 68.70 0.75 W +0.0
    @ 187 ODU 63.51 -0.16 L -4.1
    @ 144 Rice 70.61 -7.26 L -5.0

    197 UNT 63.62 5.83 W -9.4

    146 UAB 68.19 1.26 W +1.7
    @ 99 MTSU 71.85 -8.50 L +0.3
    @ 68 WKU 78.40 -15.05 L +2.3

    182 Mrsh 63.91 5.54 W +2.9

    246 UTEP 56.33 13.12 W -4.8
    @ 224 UTSA 61.91 1.44 W -2.1
    @ 248 FAU 58.65 4.70 W +0.6

    307 FIU 51.74 17.71 W -7.1

    197 UNT 63.62 5.83 W -9.4
    @ 144 Rice 70.61 -7.26 L -5.0
    @ 112 USM 73.72 -10.37 L -5.9



    Rk C-USA
    68 Western Kentucky
    99 Middle Tennessee
    112 Southern Miss
    136 Charlotte
    144 Rice
    146 UAB
    168 Louisiana Tech
    182 Marshall
    187 Old Dominion
    197 North Texas
    224 Texas-San Ant.
    246 UTEP
    248 Florida Atlantic
    307 Florida Int'l.

  7. #7
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Techster Thread

    I see the predicted W-L went +1. Were they predicting a loss to LSU-A?
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Techster Thread

    Quote Originally Posted by OLDBLUE View Post
    I see the predicted W-L went +1. Were they predicting a loss to LSU-A?
    Memphis and ULL went to W, and ODU went to L, for a net gain of +1.

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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Techster Thread

    Quote Originally Posted by Blue Dawg View Post

    Last Week This Week
    Sag Rank 161 168
    Sag Rating 66.97 66.40
    Pred W-L 18-11 19-10
    Pred W-L 0.621 0.655
    Home Adv 3.09 3.05
    OOC avg rk 191 198
    Conf opp avg rk 195 183
    Conf avg rk 182 176

    H/A Rk Team Sag Fav W/L +/- Act
    @ 58 LSU
    -4.00

    L

    291 Gram
    14.00

    W
    @ 198 Clem
    -11.00

    L

    331 ULM 44.72 24.73 W -1.2
    @ 322 McSt 55.48 7.87 W +1.2

    164 SFA 69.02 0.43 W -1.2

    304 Nich 55.20 14.25 W +0.1
    @ 48 Aub 81.13 -17.78 L +1.7

    160 Memp 65.03 4.42 W +4.8
    195 ULL 62.69 0.66 W +3.6

    112 USM 73.72 -4.27 L -6.0
    @ 246 UTEP 56.33 7.02 W -4.7

    224 UTSA 61.91 7.54 W -2.2

    136 CHAR 68.70 0.75 W +0.0
    @ 187 ODU 63.51 -0.16 L -4.1
    @ 144 Rice 70.61 -7.26 L -5.0

    197 UNT 63.62 5.83 W -9.4

    146 UAB 68.19 1.26 W +1.7
    @ 99 MTSU 71.85 -8.50 L +0.3
    @ 68 WKU 78.40 -15.05 L +2.3

    182 Mrsh 63.91 5.54 W +2.9

    246 UTEP 56.33 13.12 W -4.8
    @ 224 UTSA 61.91 1.44 W -2.1
    @ 248 FAU 58.65 4.70 W +0.6

    307 FIU 51.74 17.71 W -7.1

    197 UNT 63.62 5.83 W -9.4
    @ 144 Rice 70.61 -7.26 L -5.0
    @ 112 USM 73.72 -10.37 L -5.9



    Rk C-USA
    68 Western Kentucky
    99 Middle Tennessee
    112 Southern Miss
    136 Charlotte
    144 Rice
    146 UAB
    168 Louisiana Tech
    182 Marshall
    187 Old Dominion
    197 North Texas
    224 Texas-San Ant.
    246 UTEP
    248 Florida Atlantic
    307 Florida Int'l.
    we have some games to win!

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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Techster Thread

    Quote Originally Posted by BlindDog View Post
    we have some games to win!
    Agreed! There are a lot of games here that are just on the edge: if we can pull together as a team early in the season we will be in a good position to forget the last few years!

  11. #11
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Techster Thread

    Quote Originally Posted by Blue Dawg View Post
    That's not always been the case. We were pretty close to last the last couple of years.

    Generally success does tend to come from the same root though:

    - Money
    - Exposure
    - Being UAB and having the conference fall down at your feet to provide for your every want

    Remember a few years ago (2011?) UConn won both NCs.
    Fun fact:

    Dual Final 4s:

    1983: Georgia (both lost in semifinals)
    1999: Duke (both lost in finals)
    2002: Oklahoma (men lost in semi; women lost in final)
    2003: Texas (both lost in semifinals)
    2004: Connecticut (both teams won their championship)
    2005: Michigan State (men lost in semi; women lost in final)
    2006: LSU (both lost in semifinals)
    2009: Connecticut (men lost in semi; women won championship)
    2011: Connecticut (men won championship; women lost in semi)
    2013: Louisville (men won championship; women lost in final)
    2014: Connecticut (both teams won their championship)
    2016: Syracuse (men lost in semi; women lost in final)

  12. #12
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Techster Thread

    Quote Originally Posted by RhythmDawg View Post
    Fun fact:

    Dual Final 4s:

    1983: Georgia (both lost in semifinals)
    1999: Duke (both lost in finals)
    2002: Oklahoma (men lost in semi; women lost in final)
    2003: Texas (both lost in semifinals)
    2004: Connecticut (both teams won their championship)
    2005: Michigan State (men lost in semi; women lost in final)
    2006: LSU (both lost in semifinals)
    2009: Connecticut (men lost in semi; women won championship)
    2011: Connecticut (men won championship; women lost in semi)
    2013: Louisville (men won championship; women lost in final)
    2014: Connecticut (both teams won their championship)
    2016: Syracuse (men lost in semi; women lost in final)
    Interesting! That's more common than I would have guessed.

  13. #13
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Techster Thread

    Quote Originally Posted by Blue Dawg View Post
    Interesting! That's more common than I would have guessed.
    Since 2002, 10 out of 15 years. Something is odd about that.

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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Techster Thread


    Last Week This Week
    Sag Rank 168 161
    Sag Rating 66.40 67.28
    Pred W-L 16-13 19-10
    Pred W-L 0.552 0.621
    Home Adv 3.05 3.03
    OOC avg rk 198 197
    Conf opp avg rk 183 176
    Conf avg rk 176 170

    H/A Rk Team Sag Fav W/L +/- Act Q W

    58 LSU
    -4

    L 74.30

    291 Gram
    14

    W 65.00
    @ 198 Clem
    -11

    L 56.33
    @ 331 ULM
    20

    W 67.77
    @ 322 McSt
    10

    W 62.45
    @ 137 SFA 70.50 -6.25 L -0.6

    0.34

    287 Nich 56.63 13.68 W -0.6

    0.84

    45 Aub 81.46 -11.15 L +0.5

    0.22
    @ 180 Memp 64.06 0.19 W +1.9

    0.50
    @ 187 ULL 62.31 1.94 W +1.3

    0.55

    129 USM 71.61 -1.30 L +3.0

    0.47
    @ 241 UTEP 59.08 5.17 W -1.9

    0.63
    @ 186 UTSA 65.78 -1.53 L -3.0

    0.46

    121 CHAR 69.57 0.74 W -0.0

    0.52

    157 ODU 67.65 2.66 W -3.3

    0.57
    @ 152 Rice 69.19 -4.94 L +2.3

    0.38
    @ 199 UNT 63.06 1.19 W +1.5

    0.53

    133 UAB 69.97 0.34 W -0.9

    0.51

    108 MTSU 70.10 0.21 W +2.6

    0.51
    @ 77 WKU 77.80 -13.55 L +1.5

    0.16
    @ 175 Mrsh 65.76 -1.51 L -1.0

    0.46

    241 UTEP 59.08 11.23 W -1.9

    0.78

    186 UTSA 65.78 4.53 W -3.0

    0.61
    @ 236 FAU 59.78 4.47 W -0.2

    0.61
    @ 308 FIU 51.86 12.39 W +0.8

    0.81

    199 UNT 63.06 7.25 W +1.4

    0.68

    152 Rice 69.19 1.12 W +2.3

    0.53
    @ 129 USM 71.61 -7.36 L +3.0

    0.32

    Rk C-USA
    77 Western Kentucky
    108 Middle Tennessee
    121 Charlotte
    129 Southern Miss
    133 UAB
    152 Rice
    157 Old Dominion
    161 Louisiana Tech
    175 Marshall
    186 Texas-San Ant.
    199 North Texas
    236 Florida Atlantic
    241 UTEP
    308 Florida Int'l.

    This team stands upon a precipice. As things stand now, there are 11 games projected to be within 3 points...this team has a possibility of going 23-7 (0.02%)...but also a possibility of going 10-19 (1.2%), separated by less than 12 points. (Most likely scenario at this point is 15 wins, 18%)

  15. #15
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Techster Thread

    Looks like we're a home underdog to SFA. Brooke will have a game plan to beat them for sure. Up to the team to exucute.

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