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Thread: Prophesy of Realignment Starting in 2023. FAANG is Coming

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    Prophesy of Realignment Starting in 2023. FAANG is Coming

    In my opinion, the following article probably tells us the future of realignment. Grant of rights start expiring in 2023. If this guy's right, what's coming is unlike anything we've seen before because the money could be bigger than we seen before. But not because of ABC/ESPN, FOX, CBS, NBC. Those guys are paupers compared to who's probably coming to the table.

    Basically, what's happened with internet broadcasting of football games doesn't hold a candle to what's coming. I'd heard some stuff about Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Netflix, Google (FAANG) and other wealthy, savvy internet media entities looking at college football, basketball and sports in general. But I hadn't really considered that today these guys are seriously more liquid and wealthy, with greater reach than the conventional media companies. Five years from now they're only going to be wealthier when the grant of rights start to expire and they're going to be looking for content.

    Again, if this guy's right, it's going to be a monumental money grab and conference affiliations for the P5 schools could be in jeopardy, with the aftermath rolling downhill to the G5 conferences and schools. To me, it looks like the author is on the right track. Read it closely and take the time to look at the comments. He is good about re-engaging commentators to discuss points and clarify. If nothing else, the comment thread is more intelligent than you find on most sports boards.

    https://247sports.com/college/oklahoma/Article/Conference-Re-alignment-future-football-Ohio-State-Texas-Oklahoma-Notre-Dame-Alabama-Michigan-SEC-Pac-12-Big-10-ACC--118642101

    (Thanks to SportsTalk 97.7 for posting the article on FB yesterday.)
    Graduate of Louisiana Tech University - Flagship of the University of Louisiana System, Lifetime Alumnus, LTAC, Season Tickets: 10 Football, 5 MBB, 5 Baseball. Go Dawgs!

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    Super Moderator PawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond repute PawDawg's Avatar
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    Re: Prophesy of Realignment Starting in 2023. FAANG is Coming

    Interesting and it makes sense. My opinion...

    Low, high majors will get the shaft unless they are MBB worthy (Wake Forest, Vandy, Purdue, Iowa State, etc.)

    High, mid majors will get better scraps than they get now.

    We may finally be rid so much WBB on TV.

    The actual market may drive what is available to watch, not huge population centers.
    "eye fo an eye and toof fo a toof" - Idiot in Missouri

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    Re: Prophesy of Realignment Starting in 2023. FAANG is Coming

    It is a shame that Louisiana Tech University has failed to partner with a FAANG company to pilot a quality athletic broadcast program. And you are right ,the traditional media guys really are paupers compared to the FAANG companies.

    There will be a some P5 schools that will have to do some serious soul searching....because it will be a free for all when the music stops playing.

    I am sure our administration has the gift baskets to the FAANG companies ready.....

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    Re: Prophesy of Realignment Starting in 2023. FAANG is Coming

    Let the continued growth of our national fanbase begin.
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    Re: Prophesy of Realignment Starting in 2023. FAANG is Coming

    Quote Originally Posted by PawDawg View Post
    Interesting and it makes sense. My opinion...

    Low, high majors will get the shaft unless they are MBB worthy (Wake Forest, Vandy, Purdue, Iowa State, etc.)

    High, mid majors will get better scraps than they get now.

    The actual market may drive what is available to watch, not huge population centers.
    I would agree with all of this, except I think all of those hanging on now will continue to hang on. There could easily be enough money involved to where splitting it by 12 to 15 more schools who are now at the bottom of the P5 won't be a problem for those at the top of the P5. It keeps some semblance of tradition and history alive.

    There was a long discussion about this topic on Fox's show on 97.7 in Ruston back in June. It's becoming more and more apparent that a shakeup in 2023 is highly likely. It's when the Grant of Rights for leagues like the Big 12 begin to expire and the next Tier One TV contracts for leagues like the SEC and Big 10 begin to come up for negotiation. That means the discussions will really begin in earnest on all this in 2020 or 2021.

    At a minimum I think the next Tier One deals for the SEC and Big 10 will be worth at least 2 to 3 times more than they are today, even if they stay with CBS and Fox, respectively. The jump in the deals from the BCS bowl games to the Access bowl games is good barometer. If Amazon, Facebook, Google, etc...get involved it could way, way higher. If you there is silly money at that level now, wait until that happens.

    I was convinced the Big 12 would either expand by July 1, 2016 or there would be a some type of shakeup that might involve the Big 10, as well. When it didn't happen I tried to find out why. And this was the answer. Oklahoma, Texas, and others want to wait to see what the landscape looks like from a money standpoint in 2023.

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    Re: Prophesy of Realignment Starting in 2023. FAANG is Coming

    If the money really does turn out to be bigger than we've seen, there could turn out to be more money for Tech. Not like what the premier schools will get, but a whole lot more than we've been seeing.

    The FAANG companies understand the importance of making people feel included, which grows your market. The guy who wrote the article didn't take this angle but I can see where FAANG media entities might buy into the idea of marrying P5 conferences with G5 conferences similar to how league play is done with soccer in Europe. The premier schools can't just play each other, they have to have other schools to play so maybe conventional conferences aren't totally dead. And marrying conferences with a league play format helps avoid potential legal problems from the non-premier schools.

    If fans at schools like Tech could see a path to moving into the Big 12 or SEC and taking an Iowa State or Kentucky's place I think it would increase the interest for G5 games tremendously. That makes those games more lucrative but with costs much lower than a premier game. Plus those fans get more of a vested interest in watching what happens in the P5 conference they are tied to. And of course, part of the marrying of conferences would be more funds for the G5 schools.

    No, the Iowa States and Kentuckys won't like it. But with the potential of even worse outcomes, that could result in them being not much different than a big G5 school in some/all sports, they might have to hold their noses and go with it. Besides, I'm not sure they will have much power to stop anything.

    Maybe something like this is what Tech, with or without CUSA, ought to be working on now.

    On second thought....it probably doesn't have a snowball's chance of happening. But it would be great for us if it could.
    Graduate of Louisiana Tech University - Flagship of the University of Louisiana System, Lifetime Alumnus, LTAC, Season Tickets: 10 Football, 5 MBB, 5 Baseball. Go Dawgs!

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    Re: Prophesy of Realignment Starting in 2023. FAANG is Coming

    For the 10 millionth time, FAANG is all about national reach and how many t-shirts do you sell around the country to get people interested in clicking on the play button on their computer. Not TVs on in Monroe-El Dorado-Shreveport-Bossier.

    Our little C-USA experiment with Facebook, Stadium, and other streaming may have already built us a better foundation.

    Oh, getting that added broadband width availability added in The Joe might not hurt.

    Streaming baby!

    Actually, our reach/familiarility nationwide compared to other G5s is better than many may think. For example, I watched Tech vs. aTm for the millionth time the other night on ESPNClassic. Thank you, Johnny Manziel.
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    Re: Prophesy of Realignment Starting in 2023. FAANG is Coming

    Quote Originally Posted by Dawgpix View Post
    For the 10 millionth time, FAANG is all about national reach and how many t-shirts do you sell around the country to get people interested in clicking on the play button on their computer. Not TVs on in Monroe-El Dorado-Shreveport-Bossier.

    Our little C-USA experiment with Facebook, Stadium, and other streaming may have already built us a better foundation.

    Oh, getting that added broadband width availability added in The Joe might not hurt.

    Streaming baby!

    Actually, our reach/familiarility nationwide compared to other G5s is better than many may think. For example, I watched Tech vs. aTm for the millionth time the other night on ESPNClassic. Thank you, Johnny Manziel.
    I guess you noticed that ESPNClassic didn't show us scoring our last two TDs with successful on side kick to get within two points - just our last unsuccessful on side kick. You Tube has all of Tech's scoring and separate ones on Manziel and aTm.

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    Re: Prophesy of Realignment Starting in 2023. FAANG is Coming

    Quote Originally Posted by Dawgpix View Post
    Thank you, Johnny Manziel.
    ahem … Cameron, Patton, & Dixon were nothing to sniff at.

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    Re: Prophesy of Realignment Starting in 2023. FAANG is Coming

    Quote Originally Posted by Champ967 View Post
    ahem … Cameron, Patton, & Dixon were nothing to sniff at.
    Well, duh.

    Tech's offense MADE it a Classic. . . but it's Manziel's performance/timeless news value that keeps bringing this back to TV so often.
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