+ Reply to Thread
Page 3 of 4 FirstFirst 1234 LastLast
Results 31 to 45 of 50

Thread: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2017

  1. #31
    Moderator & 2008 NFL Survivor Contest Champion sportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond repute sportdawg's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2002
    Location
    Shreveport, LA
    Posts
    16,909

    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2017

    I'm glad UTSA/USM are at home.

  2. #32
    Super Moderator PawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond repute PawDawg's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2002
    Posts
    44,807

    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2017

    Quote Originally Posted by sportdawg View Post
    I'm glad UTSA/USM are at home.
    I agree about UTSA.

    USM owns us so it won't matter.
    "eye fo an eye and toof fo a toof" - Idiot in Missouri

  3. #33
    Champ Houston Techsan has a brilliant futureHouston Techsan has a brilliant futureHouston Techsan has a brilliant futureHouston Techsan has a brilliant futureHouston Techsan has a brilliant futureHouston Techsan has a brilliant futureHouston Techsan has a brilliant futureHouston Techsan has a brilliant futureHouston Techsan has a brilliant futureHouston Techsan has a brilliant futureHouston Techsan has a brilliant future
    Join Date
    Dec 2008
    Location
    Houston, Texas
    Posts
    3,701

    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2017

    Quote Originally Posted by PawDawg View Post
    Time for things to start making sense in Sagarin. I guess it will take one more week. I guess our home loss to Miss St hurt us more than the WKU loss at Illinois. Seems like our road win at WKU would put us over the top. NSU losing to Grambling had to hurt us.
    It's all gobbly gook to me. Unless you're betting hard money it doesn't really matter. And it's good conversation, I guess.

  4. #34
    Big Dog BearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud of BearDawg137's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2014
    Location
    Alexandria, VA
    Posts
    572

    LaTech Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2017

    Quote Originally Posted by Blue Dawg View Post
    We rise to last week's spot, while WKU falls to just above us.
    Week3-2017.jpg
    Louisiana Tech University


    Flagship of the University of Louisiana System


  5. #35
    Big Dog BearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud of BearDawg137's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2014
    Location
    Alexandria, VA
    Posts
    572

    LaTech Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2017

    Here's an interesting way to look at things: we are middle of the pack for all the normal stats in CUSA, and MSST is the best overall for most items excluding passing. We have played an average SOS thus far (Sagarin's grades vs games played thus far). I've highlighted the top CUSA team in each category in green (MSST in categories where it has a better stat than CUSA I've used money green), and the worst in CUSA in red (UTEP and Rice are the winners of these, but they've both played top 3 SOS so far). I've kept the teams in the same order as the composite above
    Week3-stat-2017.jpg

    As for Tech's ranking is CUSA:
    Total O/G: 4th (413 yds/g)
    Rush O/G: 8th (165 yds/g)
    Pass O/G: 5th (248.3 yds/g)
    Points/G: 4th (32)
    Total D/G: 10th (408 yds/g)
    Rush D/G: 13th (203.7 yds/g)
    Pass D/G: 6th (204.7 yds/g)
    SOS: 5th (63 on Sagarin)
    Louisiana Tech University


    Flagship of the University of Louisiana System


  6. #36
    Champ Blue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond repute
    Join Date
    Mar 2010
    Location
    Fayetteville, AR
    Posts
    8,079

    Poll Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2017

    UTSA jumps to the front of the line. We're still favored but not by much. Straight up, we're still favored to win 10. Mathematically, those chances have dropped to about 8%. The most likely scenario is 8 wins (33%) so I suspect we drop USM and UTSA.

    Last Wk This Wk
    Sag Rk 79 82
    Sag Rat 64.29 65.01
    Pred W-L 10-2 10-2
    Pred W-L 0.833 0.833
    Home Adv 2.41 2.41
    OOC Rk 105 107
    Conf Rk 121 123
    Conf Opp Rk 119 121


    H/A Rk Team Sag Fav W/L +/- Act Quality W%

    228 NWSt
    28

    W 59.07

    25 MSU
    -36

    L 49.56
    @ 69 WKU
    1

    W 68.04
    @ 54 SC
    -1

    L 73.35

    120 SA 57.32 10.10 W 2.75

    0.75
    @ 153 UAB 49.92 12.68 W 0.16

    0.82

    88 USM 65.11 2.31 W 0.78

    0.56
    @ 156 Rice 48.88 13.72 W 2.65

    0.84

    121 UNT 56.99 10.43 W 1.55

    0.76

    111 FAU 60.07 7.35 W 1.05

    0.68
    @ 189 UTEP 42.22 20.38 W 3.04

    1.00

    78 UTSA 66.54 0.88 W -1.34

    0.52


    Rk C-USA
    78 UTSA
    79 Western Kentucky
    82 Louisiana Tech
    88 Southern Miss
    96 Marshall
    100 Middle Tennessee
    111 Florida Atlantic
    114 Old Dominion
    121 North Texas
    152 Fla. International
    153 UAB
    156 Rice
    189 UTEP
    201 Charlotte

  7. #37
    Big Dog BearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud of BearDawg137's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2014
    Location
    Alexandria, VA
    Posts
    572

    LaTech Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2017

    Quote Originally Posted by Blue Dawg View Post
    UTSA jumps to the front of the line. We're still favored but not by much. Straight up, we're still favored to win 10. Mathematically, those chances have dropped to about 8%. The most likely scenario is 8 wins (33%) so I suspect we drop USM and UTSA.

    Thanks to positive impressions from CFN and Paul Myerberg due to the USCar game, we barely maintain the top spot in the composite rankings (i.e. 1-7 remain the same). UNT & FIU improves in CUSA, and USL finally drops below NLULM. And yes, UNCC is across the board the worst team in FBS...

    Week4-2017-rank.jpg
    Louisiana Tech University


    Flagship of the University of Louisiana System


  8. #38
    Big Dog BearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud of BearDawg137's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2014
    Location
    Alexandria, VA
    Posts
    572

    LaTech Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2017

    Updated Stats. Tech's still in the middle for all of these, except that now Sagarin says Tech has played the best SOS. UTSA has the best overall stats; however, they have the 2nd worst SOS in CUSA. I'm also happy to see we've brought our run D below 200 YPG

    Week4-stat-2017.jpg

    As for Tech's ranking is CUSA:

    Total Offense: #5 (400
    YPG)
    Rush Offense: #8 (143.8
    YPG)
    Pass Offense: #5 (256.5 YPG)
    Total Defense: #10 (413 YPG)
    Rush Defense: #12 (186 YPG)
    Pass Defense: #6 (227.3 YPG)
    SOS: #1 (38)
    Louisiana Tech University


    Flagship of the University of Louisiana System


  9. #39
    Champ Blue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond repute
    Join Date
    Mar 2010
    Location
    Fayetteville, AR
    Posts
    8,079

    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2017

    Keep an eye on this page as well:

    https://www.footballstudyhall.com/pa...stical-profile

    We are rated very poorly in nearly every category. I haven't compared to the rest of CUSA. #91 overall.

  10. #40
    Big Dog BearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud of BearDawg137's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2014
    Location
    Alexandria, VA
    Posts
    572

    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2017

    Quote Originally Posted by Blue Dawg View Post
    Keep an eye on this page as well:

    https://www.footballstudyhall.com/pa...stical-profile

    We are rated very poorly in nearly every category. I haven't compared to the rest of CUSA. #91 overall.
    I find it interesting that he still has WKU has the top team in CUSA (67, UTSA 68, SoMiss 71, FAU 82, Tech 91). Any ranking that has FAU better than Tech is sketchy at best, and WKU's performances thus far don't deserve to be best ranked in CUSA.
    Louisiana Tech University


    Flagship of the University of Louisiana System


  11. #41
    Champ GermDawg has a reputation beyond reputeGermDawg has a reputation beyond reputeGermDawg has a reputation beyond reputeGermDawg has a reputation beyond reputeGermDawg has a reputation beyond reputeGermDawg has a reputation beyond reputeGermDawg has a reputation beyond reputeGermDawg has a reputation beyond reputeGermDawg has a reputation beyond reputeGermDawg has a reputation beyond reputeGermDawg has a reputation beyond repute GermDawg's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2002
    Location
    Lafayette
    Posts
    6,859

    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2017

    I don't understand the love fest with UTSA, Baylor is horrible this year.





    "We may not be the biggest, but wait till you taste our sausage!"
    Horndawgs Tailgating Krewe - Founding Member

    believe.

    If you fail out at Tech, you can always go teach at lsu

  12. #42
    Big Dog BearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud of BearDawg137's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2014
    Location
    Alexandria, VA
    Posts
    572

    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2017

    Quote Originally Posted by GermDawg View Post
    I don't understand the love fest with UTSA, Baylor is horrible this year.
    Only redeeming quality I see for them is the 41-47 loss they had with Oklahoma last week. Assuming Oklahoma is good (crushed Ohio State), that's a pretty good testament to UTSA's prowess
    Louisiana Tech University


    Flagship of the University of Louisiana System


  13. #43
    Champ Blue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond repute
    Join Date
    Mar 2010
    Location
    Fayetteville, AR
    Posts
    8,079

    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2017

    Quote Originally Posted by BearDawg137 View Post
    I find it interesting that he still has WKU has the top team in CUSA (67, UTSA 68, SoMiss 71, FAU 82, Tech 91). Any ranking that has FAU better than Tech is sketchy at best, and WKU's performances thus far don't deserve to be best ranked in CUSA.
    It's statistics. And they have some fairly unbiased stuff tbf.

  14. #44
    Big Dog BearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud of BearDawg137's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2014
    Location
    Alexandria, VA
    Posts
    572

    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2017

    Quote Originally Posted by Blue Dawg View Post
    It's statistics. And they have some fairly unbiased stuff tbf.
    Fairly unbiased maybe, but it has to have a good bias toward last year's results to have WKU that high.
    Louisiana Tech University


    Flagship of the University of Louisiana System


  15. #45
    Big Dog BearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud ofBearDawg137 has much to be proud of BearDawg137's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2014
    Location
    Alexandria, VA
    Posts
    572

    LaTech Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2017

    Tech maintains top place, Marshall jumps WKU for 3rd, and SoMiss drops from 2nd to 7th.

    The composite still has USA ranked 8pts higher than UAB, which hopefully means good things for us this weekend.

    Also, LSU warrents a new drop color, due to being the first team to drop more than 20 points in the composite. LSU is now worse than both MSST & USCa
    r

    Week5-2017-rank.jpg
    Louisiana Tech University


    Flagship of the University of Louisiana System


+ Reply to Thread

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts