I'm gonna pump some sunshine!
11 Eligible teams. C-USA championship - WKU @ Tech
Needs 1 Win Remaining Schedule Marshall (6-6, 3-5) @MTSU, FIU, @FAU, WKU, @UTSA, USM Needs 2 Wins UNT (7-5, 5-3) @FAU, ODU, @Tech, UTEP, Army, @Rice UAB (7-5, 5-3 ) @Charlotte, @USM, Rice, @UTSA, @Florida, UTEP WKU (10-2, 7-1) @ODU, FAU, @Vandy, @Marshall, MTSU, @FIU FIU (6-6, 3-5) @Marshall, UTSA, ODU, @FAU, WKU, UMASS USM (9-3, 6-2) @Tech, UAB, @Tennessee, @Rice, Charlotte, @Marshall Needs 3 Wins LA Tech (9-3, 7-1) USM, @Rice, UNT, FAU, @UTEP, UTSA UTSA (7-4, 4,4) Rice, @UTEP, @FIU, UAB, Marshall, @Tech FAU (6-6, 5-3) UNT, @WKU, Marshall, @Tech, FIU, @Charlotte MTSU (7-5, 5-3) Marshall, UTEP, @Charlotte, @WKU, ODU Needs 4 Wins ODU (6-6, 4-4) WKU, @UNT, Charlotte, @FIU, Rice, @MTSU Eliminated Rice (1-11, 1-7) @UTSA, Tech, @UAB, USM, @ODU, UNT Charlotte UTEP
Here is tiebreaker from 2015 - doubt anything has changed
http://grfx.cstv.com/photos/schools/...reakers-15.pdf
CONFERENCE USA
FOOTBALL CHAMPIONSHIP GAME HOSTING CRITERIA
The teams with the highest regular season winning percentage based on overall Conference USA play are regular-season division champions and meet for the Conference Championship at the site of the team with the best regular-season Conference record. The following tie-breaker formula is used for the Conference USA Football Championship game:
Two-team tie to determine host
1. Highest regular season winning percentage based on overall Conference USA play.
2. If tied, head to head between tied teams.
3. If still tied, team with the highest College Football Playoff (CFP) ranking going into final weekend of regular season and wins.
4. If still tied, highest average computer ranking.
Two-team or multiple team tie for divisional champion
[Principle: If at any point the tie is broken in a multiple team tie, the remaining teams
will begin the process again at #2.]
1. Highest regular season winning percentage based on overall Conference USA play.
2. If tied, head to head between tied teams.
3. If still tied, highest winning percentage within division.
4. If still tied, compare records against divisional opponents in descending order of finish.
5. If still tied, compare records with common cross-divisional opponents.
6. If still tied, compare records against cross-divisional opponents in descending order of finish.
7. If still tied, team with highest CFP ranking.
8. If still tied, the representative will be the team that has not participated in the championship game most recently.
Current Sagarin Predictor projects C-USA this way:
West
Tech 9-3, 7-1
UNT 7-5, 6-2
UTSA 8-3, 5-3
C-UAB 7-5, 5-3
USM 7-5, 5-3
Rice 1-11, 1-7
UTEP 0-12, 0-8
East
Marshall 9-3, 6-2
WKU 8-4, 6-2
FAU 7-5, 6-2
MT 6-6, 4-4
FIU 6-6, 3-5
ODU 4-8, 2-6
Charlotte 0-12, 0-8
I just don't see what the predictor is seeing in Tech.
If we were averaging 10 more points per game, I'd be a believer. But our offense just has not gotten enough traction to feel confident about any game.
It starts with winning "1" game at a time, starting with the "1" this Sat. evening!
We are 2 routine plays from being 5-1.
We get home field advantage for all 4 of our remaining “challenging” games.
We are the only C-USA team that hasn’t played a single conference home game.
And Sagarin doesn’t think the rest of our conference is as good as some of our fans think. It’s not that Sagarin thinks we are good. It’s that Sagarin thinks C-USA is weak.
None of our C-USA opponents have had a single legit OOC win. Baylor is winless trash.