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Thread: C-USA Bowl Eligibility Outlook

  1. #16
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    Re: C-USA Bowl Eligibility Outlook

    Quote Originally Posted by HogDawg View Post
    After 9 wins in 4 of the last 5 seasons, I find it very difficult to get excited about a 7-5 finish. I might have to find something else to do during bowl season.
    Yep
    Good old Memorial Gym

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    Re: C-USA Bowl Eligibility Outlook

    Quote Originally Posted by HogDawg View Post
    After 9 wins in 4 of the last 5 seasons, I find it very difficult to get excited about a 7-5 finish. I might have to find something else to do during bowl season.
    I think we may need to be worried about getting to 7-5.

  3. #18
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    Re: C-USA Bowl Eligibility Outlook

    I'm gonna pump some sunshine!
    11 Eligible teams. C-USA championship - WKU @ Tech


    Needs 1 Win Remaining Schedule
    Marshall (6-6, 3-5) @MTSU, FIU, @FAU, WKU, @UTSA, USM
    Needs 2 Wins
    UNT (7-5, 5-3) @FAU, ODU, @Tech, UTEP, Army, @Rice
    UAB (7-5, 5-3 ) @Charlotte, @USM, Rice, @UTSA, @Florida, UTEP
    WKU (10-2, 7-1) @ODU, FAU, @Vandy, @Marshall, MTSU, @FIU
    FIU (6-6, 3-5) @Marshall, UTSA, ODU, @FAU, WKU, UMASS
    USM (9-3, 6-2) @Tech, UAB, @Tennessee, @Rice, Charlotte, @Marshall
    Needs 3 Wins
    LA Tech (9-3, 7-1) USM, @Rice, UNT, FAU, @UTEP, UTSA
    UTSA (7-4, 4,4) Rice, @UTEP, @FIU, UAB, Marshall, @Tech
    FAU (6-6, 5-3) UNT, @WKU, Marshall, @Tech, FIU, @Charlotte
    MTSU (7-5, 5-3) Marshall, UTEP, @Charlotte, @WKU, ODU
    Needs 4 Wins
    ODU (6-6, 4-4) WKU, @UNT, Charlotte, @FIU, Rice, @MTSU
    Eliminated
    Rice (1-11, 1-7) @UTSA, Tech, @UAB, USM, @ODU, UNT
    Charlotte
    UTEP

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    Re: C-USA Bowl Eligibility Outlook

    Quote Originally Posted by sportdawg View Post
    I'm gonna pump some sunshine!
    11 Eligible teams. C-USA championship - WKU @ Tech


    Needs 1 Win Remaining Schedule
    Marshall (6-6, 2-6) @MTSU, FIU, @FAU, WKU, @UTSA, USM
    Needs 2 Wins
    UNT (7-5, 5-3) @FAU, ODU, @Tech, UTEP, Army, @Rice
    UAB (7-5, 5-3 ) @Charlotte, @USM, Rice, @UTSA, @Florida, UTEP
    WKU (10-2, 7-1) @ODU, FAU, @Vandy, @Marshall, MTSU, @FIU
    FIU (6-6, 3-5) @Marshall, UTSA, ODU, @FAU, WKU, UMASS
    USM (9-3, 6-2) @Tech, UAB, @Tennessee, @Rice, Charlotte, @Marshall
    Needs 3 Wins
    LA Tech (9-3, 7-1) USM, @Rice, UNT, FAU, @UTEP, UTSA
    UTSA (7-4, 4,4) Rice, @UTEP, @FIU, UAB, Marshall, @Tech
    FAU (6-6, 5-3) UNT, @WKU, Marshall, @Tech, FIU, @Charlotte
    MTSU (7-5, 5-3) Marshall, UTEP, @Charlotte, @WKU, ODU
    Needs 4 Wins
    ODU (6-6, 4-4) WKU, @UNT, Charlotte, @FIU, Rice, @MTSU
    Eliminated
    Rice (1-11, 1-7) @UTSA, Tech, @UAB, USM, @ODU, UNT
    Charlotte
    UTEP
    If the prediction of 9-3 is correct, does CUSA use overall record or conference record for the CG location?

  5. #20
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    Re: C-USA Bowl Eligibility Outlook

    Quote Originally Posted by atobulldog View Post
    If the prediction of 9-3 is correct, does CUSA use overall record or conference record for the CG location?
    Conference Record 1st. Then Head to Head first (we be WKU).

  6. #21
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    Re: C-USA Bowl Eligibility Outlook

    Quote Originally Posted by atobulldog View Post
    If the prediction of 9-3 is correct, does CUSA use overall record or conference record for the CG location?
    Here is tiebreaker from 2015 - doubt anything has changed

    http://grfx.cstv.com/photos/schools/...reakers-15.pdf
    CONFERENCE USA


    FOOTBALL CHAMPIONSHIP GAME HOSTING CRITERIA
    The teams with the highest regular season winning percentage based on overall Conference USA play are regular-season division champions and meet for the Conference Championship at the site of the team with the best regular-season Conference record. The following tie-breaker formula is used for the Conference USA Football Championship game:


    Two-team tie to determine host
    1. Highest regular season winning percentage based on overall Conference USA play.
    2. If tied, head to head between tied teams.
    3. If still tied, team with the highest College Football Playoff (CFP) ranking going into final weekend of regular season and wins.
    4. If still tied, highest average computer ranking.


    Two-team or multiple team tie for divisional champion


    [Principle: If at any point the tie is broken in a multiple team tie, the remaining teams
    will begin the process again at #2.]


    1. Highest regular season winning percentage based on overall Conference USA play.


    2. If tied, head to head between tied teams.


    3. If still tied, highest winning percentage within division.


    4. If still tied, compare records against divisional opponents in descending order of finish.


    5. If still tied, compare records with common cross-divisional opponents.


    6. If still tied, compare records against cross-divisional opponents in descending order of finish.


    7. If still tied, team with highest CFP ranking.


    8. If still tied, the representative will be the team that has not participated in the championship game most recently.

  7. #22
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    Re: C-USA Bowl Eligibility Outlook

    Quote Originally Posted by atobulldog View Post
    If the prediction of 9-3 is correct, does CUSA use overall record or conference record for the CG location?
    If we are 9-3 we host if WKU were the opponent. If Marshall, itd depend on rankings if conference records end the same.

  8. #23
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    Re: C-USA Bowl Eligibility Outlook

    Quote Originally Posted by Tech52 View Post
    If we are 9-3 we host if WKU were the opponent. If Marshall, itd depend on rankings if conference records end the same.
    That's why my sunshine pumping post has WKU winning East.

    If Marshall is (10-2, 7-1) they would probably be ranked higher in CFP polls and/or computers than Tech (9-3, 7-1)

  9. #24
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    Re: C-USA Bowl Eligibility Outlook

    Quote Originally Posted by sportdawg View Post
    That's why my sunshine pumping post has WKU winning East.

    If Marshall is (10-2, 7-1) they would probably be ranked higher in CFP polls and/or computers than Tech (9-3, 7-1)
    Im think Marshall will drop one or more to WKU, USM, or FAU.

  10. #25
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    Re: C-USA Bowl Eligibility Outlook

    Current Sagarin Predictor projects C-USA this way:

    West
    Tech 9-3, 7-1
    UNT 7-5, 6-2
    UTSA 8-3, 5-3
    C-UAB 7-5, 5-3
    USM 7-5, 5-3
    Rice 1-11, 1-7
    UTEP 0-12, 0-8

    East
    Marshall 9-3, 6-2
    WKU 8-4, 6-2
    FAU 7-5, 6-2
    MT 6-6, 4-4
    FIU 6-6, 3-5
    ODU 4-8, 2-6
    Charlotte 0-12, 0-8

  11. #26
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    Re: C-USA Bowl Eligibility Outlook

    Quote Originally Posted by FriscoDawg View Post
    Current Sagarin Predictor projects C-USA this way:

    West
    Tech 9-3, 7-1
    UNT 7-5, 6-2
    UTSA 8-3, 5-3
    C-UAB 7-5, 5-3
    USM 7-5, 5-3
    Rice 1-11, 1-7
    UTEP 0-12, 0-8

    East
    Marshall 9-3, 6-2
    WKU 8-4, 6-2
    FAU 7-5, 6-2
    MT 6-6, 4-4
    FIU 6-6, 3-5
    ODU 4-8, 2-6
    Charlotte 0-12, 0-8
    I'll take that!

  12. #27
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    Re: C-USA Bowl Eligibility Outlook

    I just don't see what the predictor is seeing in Tech.

    If we were averaging 10 more points per game, I'd be a believer. But our offense just has not gotten enough traction to feel confident about any game.

  13. #28
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    Re: C-USA Bowl Eligibility Outlook

    Quote Originally Posted by LATechBanjo View Post
    I just don't see what the predictor is seeing in Tech.

    If we were averaging 10 more points per game, I'd be a believer. But our offense just has not gotten enough traction to feel confident about any game.
    Football Study Hall has updated to show 4 more losses and a 5-7 finish. I feel like that's closer to where this team will be, IF we can stop the bleeding. If we can't I don't know if we have a sure win left.

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    Re: C-USA Bowl Eligibility Outlook

    It starts with winning "1" game at a time, starting with the "1" this Sat. evening!

  15. #30
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    Re: C-USA Bowl Eligibility Outlook

    Quote Originally Posted by LATechBanjo View Post
    I just don't see what the predictor is seeing in Tech.

    If we were averaging 10 more points per game, I'd be a believer. But our offense just has not gotten enough traction to feel confident about any game.
    We are 2 routine plays from being 5-1.

    We get home field advantage for all 4 of our remaining “challenging” games.

    We are the only C-USA team that hasn’t played a single conference home game.

    And Sagarin doesn’t think the rest of our conference is as good as some of our fans think. It’s not that Sagarin thinks we are good. It’s that Sagarin thinks C-USA is weak.

    None of our C-USA opponents have had a single legit OOC win. Baylor is winless trash.

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