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Nov 17, 2018 | 2:30 PM
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  1. #1
    Champ Blue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond repute
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    Poll Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2018

    I'm back!

    Last Yr This Wk
    Sag Rk 79 88
    Sag Rat 64.13
    Pred W-L 9-3
    Pred W-L 0.750
    Home Adv 2.36
    OOC Rk 136
    Conf Rk 122
    Conf Opp Rk 103

    The SMU win was pretty good for us as it brought us up +30 spots, back to where we began the 2017 season.

    H/A Rk Team Sag Fav W/L +/- Act Quality W%
    @ 140 USA 52.83 8.94 W 0.72
    199 SU 39.76 26.73 W 1.00
    @ 24 LSU 81.64 -19.87 L 0.00
    @ 98 UNT 61.69 0.08 W 0.50
    106 UAB 59.66 6.83 W 0.67
    @ 134 UTSA 54.15 7.62 W 0.69
    173 UTEP 45.50 20.99 W 1.00
    @ 77 FAU 67.29 -5.52 L 0.36
    @ 12 MSU 86.01 -24.24 L 0.00
    160 Rice 48.20 18.29 W 0.96
    @ 120 USM 57.24 4.53 W 0.61
    121 WKU 57.02 9.47 W 0.74

    Once again, our terrible conference ensures that anything less than 9 wins will be a disappointment. I am curious to see how the UNT and FAU lines move as the season progresses. These will likely be our only chances to beat Top 100 teams (UAB might sneak in by the time we play them). Remember that early-season Sagarin ratings are a mix of stuff including previous seasons. If we've truly shaken off the rust, that'll be reflected in rankings from about Week 3 (I think).

    Rk C-USA
    77 Florida Atlantic
    85 Marshall
    88 Louisiana Tech
    98 North Texas
    102 Middle Tennessee
    106 UAB
    120 Southern Miss
    121 Western Kentucky
    130 Fla. International
    134 UTSA
    138 Old Dominion
    160 Rice
    173 UTEP
    175 Charlotte

  2. #2
    Hunter Lee's Hero HogDawg has a reputation beyond reputeHogDawg has a reputation beyond reputeHogDawg has a reputation beyond reputeHogDawg has a reputation beyond reputeHogDawg has a reputation beyond reputeHogDawg has a reputation beyond reputeHogDawg has a reputation beyond reputeHogDawg has a reputation beyond reputeHogDawg has a reputation beyond reputeHogDawg has a reputation beyond reputeHogDawg has a reputation beyond repute HogDawg's Avatar
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2018

    No surprises here. The predictor looks exactly as I have been predicting, ON PAPER. Now the question is, can Skip Holtz's team execute.

  3. #3
    Champ dawg80 has a reputation beyond reputedawg80 has a reputation beyond reputedawg80 has a reputation beyond reputedawg80 has a reputation beyond reputedawg80 has a reputation beyond reputedawg80 has a reputation beyond reputedawg80 has a reputation beyond reputedawg80 has a reputation beyond reputedawg80 has a reputation beyond reputedawg80 has a reputation beyond reputedawg80 has a reputation beyond repute dawg80's Avatar
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2018

    9-3 in the regular season, with those three road losses, would be....acceptable. No, I don't like "accepting" anything less than 14-0! but, the reality is it's pert near impossible to go unbeaten, UCF not withstanding. It happens rarely. So! you hope your team is the best it can be...and doesn't leave any Ws sitting on the table….like we did 4 times last year.

    GO DAWGS!

    (getting excited....football is about to start!)

  4. #4
    Champ Blue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond repute
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2018

    Quote Originally Posted by dawg80 View Post
    9-3 in the regular season, with those three road losses, would be....acceptable. No, I don't like "accepting" anything less than 14-0! but, the reality is it's pert near impossible to go unbeaten, UCF not withstanding. It happens rarely. So! you hope your team is the best it can be...and doesn't leave any Ws sitting on the table….like we did 4 times last year.

    GO DAWGS!

    (getting excited....football is about to start!)
    I know it might be a little pretentious to say, but I really do think, with this schedule and conference, anything less than 9-3 should cause us to seriously reconsider Skip's contract.

  5. #5
    2011 Pick 'Em Champion johnnylightnin has a reputation beyond reputejohnnylightnin has a reputation beyond reputejohnnylightnin has a reputation beyond reputejohnnylightnin has a reputation beyond reputejohnnylightnin has a reputation beyond reputejohnnylightnin has a reputation beyond reputejohnnylightnin has a reputation beyond reputejohnnylightnin has a reputation beyond reputejohnnylightnin has a reputation beyond reputejohnnylightnin has a reputation beyond reputejohnnylightnin has a reputation beyond repute johnnylightnin's Avatar
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2018

    Am I the only one who thinks MSU is going to be down this year? New coaches always seem to have hiccups.

  6. #6
    Varsity Bulldog tech70 is a glorious beacon of lighttech70 is a glorious beacon of lighttech70 is a glorious beacon of lighttech70 is a glorious beacon of lighttech70 is a glorious beacon of lighttech70 is a glorious beacon of lighttech70 is a glorious beacon of lighttech70 is a glorious beacon of lighttech70 is a glorious beacon of lighttech70 is a glorious beacon of lighttech70 is a glorious beacon of light
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2018

    I do and them trying to improve Nick at this point could be a disaster! Plus the team is being fed a ton of " rat poison ".

  7. #7
    Champ Blue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond repute
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2018

    Quote Originally Posted by johnnylightnin View Post
    Am I the only one who thinks MSU is going to be down this year? New coaches always seem to have hiccups.
    That's not the question. The question is whether that matters at all.

  8. #8
    Champ Champ967 has a reputation beyond reputeChamp967 has a reputation beyond reputeChamp967 has a reputation beyond reputeChamp967 has a reputation beyond reputeChamp967 has a reputation beyond reputeChamp967 has a reputation beyond reputeChamp967 has a reputation beyond reputeChamp967 has a reputation beyond reputeChamp967 has a reputation beyond reputeChamp967 has a reputation beyond reputeChamp967 has a reputation beyond repute Champ967's Avatar
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2018

    Quote Originally Posted by Blue Dawg View Post
    That's not the question. The question is whether that matters at all.


    That's deep bro ...

  9. #9
    Champ latech has a reputation beyond reputelatech has a reputation beyond reputelatech has a reputation beyond reputelatech has a reputation beyond reputelatech has a reputation beyond reputelatech has a reputation beyond reputelatech has a reputation beyond reputelatech has a reputation beyond reputelatech has a reputation beyond reputelatech has a reputation beyond reputelatech has a reputation beyond repute
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2018

    Quote Originally Posted by Champ967 View Post


    That's deep bro ...
    TWSS...

  10. #10
    2003 BB&B Basketball Pick 'Em Champion inudesu has a reputation beyond reputeinudesu has a reputation beyond reputeinudesu has a reputation beyond reputeinudesu has a reputation beyond reputeinudesu has a reputation beyond reputeinudesu has a reputation beyond reputeinudesu has a reputation beyond reputeinudesu has a reputation beyond reputeinudesu has a reputation beyond reputeinudesu has a reputation beyond reputeinudesu has a reputation beyond repute inudesu's Avatar
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2018

    Quote Originally Posted by johnnylightnin View Post
    Am I the only one who thinks MSU is going to be down this year? New coaches always seem to have hiccups.
    Everything I've heard is that it's probably the most talented team they've ever had (combined with lots of experience).

    I think they'll be really good.

  11. #11
    2011 Pick 'Em Champion johnnylightnin has a reputation beyond reputejohnnylightnin has a reputation beyond reputejohnnylightnin has a reputation beyond reputejohnnylightnin has a reputation beyond reputejohnnylightnin has a reputation beyond reputejohnnylightnin has a reputation beyond reputejohnnylightnin has a reputation beyond reputejohnnylightnin has a reputation beyond reputejohnnylightnin has a reputation beyond reputejohnnylightnin has a reputation beyond reputejohnnylightnin has a reputation beyond repute johnnylightnin's Avatar
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2018

    Quote Originally Posted by inudesu View Post
    Everything I've heard is that it's probably the most talented team they've ever had (combined with lots of experience).

    I think they'll be really good.
    They certainly are on paper...I just think the transition is ALWAYS an adjustment. Is Saban the last Big 10 coach that came to the SEC and performed really well (and he was an HC)?
    Time is your friend. Impulse is your enemy. -John Bogle

  12. #12
    Champ dawg80 has a reputation beyond reputedawg80 has a reputation beyond reputedawg80 has a reputation beyond reputedawg80 has a reputation beyond reputedawg80 has a reputation beyond reputedawg80 has a reputation beyond reputedawg80 has a reputation beyond reputedawg80 has a reputation beyond reputedawg80 has a reputation beyond reputedawg80 has a reputation beyond reputedawg80 has a reputation beyond repute dawg80's Avatar
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2018

    Was watching some preseason show on the SEC Network and Moo State is getting a lot of love. Some have them picked 2nd in the West, behind Bama, of course. And Kirk Herbstriet (I know, consider the source) was also singing Moo State's praises on the College Gameday preseason show. So! FWIW many pundits are expecting big things from those dogs. Think they have 18 returning starters...if I'm not thinking of someone else.

  13. #13
    2003 BB&B Basketball Pick 'Em Champion inudesu has a reputation beyond reputeinudesu has a reputation beyond reputeinudesu has a reputation beyond reputeinudesu has a reputation beyond reputeinudesu has a reputation beyond reputeinudesu has a reputation beyond reputeinudesu has a reputation beyond reputeinudesu has a reputation beyond reputeinudesu has a reputation beyond reputeinudesu has a reputation beyond reputeinudesu has a reputation beyond repute inudesu's Avatar
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2018

    Quote Originally Posted by johnnylightnin View Post
    They certainly are on paper...I just think the transition is ALWAYS an adjustment. Is Saban the last Big 10 coach that came to the SEC and performed really well (and he was an HC)?
    Well, it's all relative, right?

    They may not make the playoff because they still share a division with Auburn and Alabama (either of whom they might beat, but still not win the division). But they also share a division with Ole Miss, Arkansas, LSU, and A&M - so you've got lots of new coaches. Somebody has to win, unless they do what they usually do and just beat each other up with no clear order.

  14. #14
    Champ Blue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond repute
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2018

    Last Wk This Wk
    Sag Rk 88 89
    Sag Rat 64.13 62.99
    Pred W-L 9-3 8-4
    Pred W-L 0.750 0.667
    Home Adv 2.36 2.36
    OOC Rk 136 129
    Conf Rk 122 125
    Conf Opp Rk 103 105

    H/A Rk Team Sag Fav W/L +/- Act Quality W%
    @ 140 USA 52.83 8.94 W 61.77 0.72
    197 SU 39.35 27.14 W 0.41 1.00
    @ 13 LSU 85.06 -23.29 L -3.42 0.00
    @ 82 UNT 65.66 -3.89 L -3.97 0.40
    98 UAB 62.00 4.49 W -2.34 0.61
    @ 153 UTSA 49.74 12.03 W 4.41 0.80
    184 UTEP 42.55 23.94 W 2.95 1.00
    @ 86 FAU 63.85 -2.08 L 3.44 0.45
    @ 11 MSU 86.79 -25.02 L -0.78 0.00
    166 Rice 47.04 19.45 W 1.16 0.99
    @ 108 USM 58.93 2.84 W -1.69 0.57
    115 WKU 57.31 9.18 W -0.29 0.73

    Rk C-USA
    80 Marshall
    82 North Texas
    86 Florida Atlantic
    89 Louisiana Tech
    98 UAB
    108 Southern Miss
    115 Western Kentucky
    125 Middle Tennessee
    128 Fla. International
    153 UTSA
    161 Charlotte
    166 Rice
    177 Old Dominion
    184 UTEP

    There's about as much of a difference between us and Southern as there is between LSU and us. I guess we're just gonna have to accept that.

  15. #15
    Champ Built4Speed has a reputation beyond reputeBuilt4Speed has a reputation beyond reputeBuilt4Speed has a reputation beyond reputeBuilt4Speed has a reputation beyond reputeBuilt4Speed has a reputation beyond reputeBuilt4Speed has a reputation beyond reputeBuilt4Speed has a reputation beyond reputeBuilt4Speed has a reputation beyond reputeBuilt4Speed has a reputation beyond reputeBuilt4Speed has a reputation beyond reputeBuilt4Speed has a reputation beyond repute Built4Speed's Avatar
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Football Thread 2018

    Given what we saw in game 1, I'll take 8-4 and 6-2 in conference. Still, it's a bit of an ego hit to be an underdog to UNT. Goes to show what consistently good QB play can get you.

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