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Nov 17, 2018 | 2:30 PM
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  1. #16
    Champ dawg80 has a reputation beyond reputedawg80 has a reputation beyond reputedawg80 has a reputation beyond reputedawg80 has a reputation beyond reputedawg80 has a reputation beyond reputedawg80 has a reputation beyond reputedawg80 has a reputation beyond reputedawg80 has a reputation beyond reputedawg80 has a reputation beyond reputedawg80 has a reputation beyond reputedawg80 has a reputation beyond repute dawg80's Avatar
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Elo Thread 2018

    How/why is UNT so far down?

    WKU is better than their 1-3 record.

  2. #17
    Champ Blue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond repute
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Elo Thread 2018

    Quote Originally Posted by dawg80 View Post
    How/why is UNT so far down?

    WKU is better than their 1-3 record.
    It takes a while for success or failure to register. Think of this more as a long-term view. It wasn't long ago that UNT was bad and WKU was good.

  3. #18
    Champ Blue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond repute
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Elo Thread 2018

    opp elo w%
    114 South Alabama 521 100%
    Southern U. 100%
    11 Louisiana St. 1637 0%
    85 North Texas 824 100%
    83 Alabama-Birmingham 863 91%
    95 Texas-San Antonio 752 86%
    130 Texas-El Paso 112 100%
    71 Florida Atlantic 921 69%
    30 Mississippi St. 1304 20%
    125 Rice (TX) 270 100%
    76 Southern Mississippi 884 74%
    51 Western Kentucky 1081 74%


    No substantial change. Our only chance for an Elo-upset will most likely be WKU. We will not beat MSU. FAU would have to work pretty hard to have more points than us come game time.

    43 Louisiana Tech 1164
    51 Western Kentucky 1081
    52 Marshall (WV) 1079
    71 Florida Atlantic 921
    76 Southern Mississippi 884
    81 Middle Tennessee St. 872
    83 Alabama-Birmingham 863
    85 North Texas 824
    95 Texas-San Antonio 752
    96 Florida International 744
    100 Old Dominion (VA) 729
    123 North Carolina-Charlotte 288
    125 Rice (TX) 270
    130 Texas-El Paso 112

  4. #19
    Big Dog Bulldog Tom is a splendid one to beholdBulldog Tom is a splendid one to beholdBulldog Tom is a splendid one to beholdBulldog Tom is a splendid one to beholdBulldog Tom is a splendid one to beholdBulldog Tom is a splendid one to beholdBulldog Tom is a splendid one to beholdBulldog Tom is a splendid one to beholdBulldog Tom is a splendid one to beholdBulldog Tom is a splendid one to beholdBulldog Tom is a splendid one to behold Bulldog Tom's Avatar
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Elo Thread 2018

    I wonder how many points Mississippi State will drop if they lose their next three games?

  5. #20
    Champ TYLERTECHSAS has a reputation beyond reputeTYLERTECHSAS has a reputation beyond reputeTYLERTECHSAS has a reputation beyond reputeTYLERTECHSAS has a reputation beyond reputeTYLERTECHSAS has a reputation beyond reputeTYLERTECHSAS has a reputation beyond reputeTYLERTECHSAS has a reputation beyond reputeTYLERTECHSAS has a reputation beyond reputeTYLERTECHSAS has a reputation beyond reputeTYLERTECHSAS has a reputation beyond reputeTYLERTECHSAS has a reputation beyond repute
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Elo Thread 2018

    Quote Originally Posted by Blue Dawg View Post
    We will not beat MSU.
    43 Louisiana Tech 1164
    51 Western Kentucky 1081
    52 Marshall (WV) 1079
    71 Florida Atlantic 921
    76 Southern Mississippi 884
    81 Middle Tennessee St. 872
    83 Alabama-Birmingham 863
    85 North Texas 824
    95 Texas-San Antonio 752
    96 Florida International 744
    100 Old Dominion (VA) 729
    123 North Carolina-Charlotte 288
    125 Rice (TX) 270
    130 Texas-El Paso 112
    Yes we will!

  6. #21
    Big Dog Bulldog Tom is a splendid one to beholdBulldog Tom is a splendid one to beholdBulldog Tom is a splendid one to beholdBulldog Tom is a splendid one to beholdBulldog Tom is a splendid one to beholdBulldog Tom is a splendid one to beholdBulldog Tom is a splendid one to beholdBulldog Tom is a splendid one to beholdBulldog Tom is a splendid one to beholdBulldog Tom is a splendid one to beholdBulldog Tom is a splendid one to behold Bulldog Tom's Avatar
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Elo Thread 2018

    Quote Originally Posted by TYLERTECHSAS View Post
    Yes we will!
    No doubt about it!

  7. #22
    Champ Blue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond repute
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Elo Thread 2018

    opp elo w%
    115 South Alabama 432 100%
    Southern U. 100%
    10 Louisiana St. 1646 0%
    76 North Texas 886 100%
    69 Alabama-Birmingham 957 0%
    97 Texas-San Antonio 698 100%
    130 Texas-El Paso 88 100%
    70 Florida Atlantic 954 63%
    29 Mississippi St. 1354 15%
    126 Rice (TX) 173 100%
    87 Southern Mississippi 812 79%
    68 Western Kentucky 975 83%

    I still have hope that FAU or WKU will be 1000+ by the time we play. They're unlikely to outrank us, though.

    45 Louisiana Tech 1147
    53 Marshall (WV) 1066
    68 Western Kentucky 975
    69 Alabama-Birmingham 957
    70 Florida Atlantic 954
    76 North Texas 886
    77 Middle Tennessee St. 879
    87 Southern Mississippi 812
    93 Florida International 759
    97 Texas-San Antonio 698
    104 Old Dominion (VA) 622
    124 North Carolina-Charlotte 211
    126 Rice (TX) 173
    130 Texas-El Paso 88

  8. #23
    Champ Blue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond repute
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Elo Thread 2018

    opp elo w%
    113 South Alabama 469 100%
    Southern U. 100%
    9 Louisiana St. 1689 0%
    83 North Texas 860 100%
    63 Alabama-Birmingham 1007 0%
    97 Texas-San Antonio 703 100%
    130 Texas-El Paso 72 100%
    77 Florida Atlantic 915 72%
    32 Mississippi St. 1313 20%
    126 Rice (TX) 142 100%
    81 Southern Mississippi 868 77%
    69 Western Kentucky 966 86%

    UTEP was historically bad. We'll have another chance for a record setting loss with Rice.

    44 Louisiana Tech 1177
    47 Marshall (WV) 1132
    63 Alabama-Birmingham 1007
    69 Western Kentucky 966
    75 Middle Tennessee St. 921
    77 Florida Atlantic 915
    81 Southern Mississippi 868
    83 North Texas 860
    89 Florida International 809
    97 Texas-San Antonio 703
    101 Old Dominion (VA) 666
    119 North Carolina-Charlotte 345
    126 Rice (TX) 142
    130 Texas-El Paso 72

  9. #24
    Champ Blue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond repute
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Elo Thread 2018

    Relative performance of Tech (blue) and FAU (red) since 2013:

  10. #25
    Champ Blue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond repute
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Elo Thread 2018

    opp elo w%
    114 South Alabama 430 100%
    Southern U. 100%
    10 Louisiana St. 1689 0%
    79 North Texas 901 100%
    61 Alabama-Birmingham 1042 0%
    99 Texas-San Antonio 703 100%
    130 Texas-El Paso 37 100%
    81 Florida Atlantic 882 100%
    31 Mississippi St. 1357 19%
    129 Rice (TX) 101 100%
    86 Southern Mississippi 838 83%
    77 Western Kentucky 910 91%

    40 Louisiana Tech 1210
    49 Marshall (WV) 1132
    61 Alabama-Birmingham 1042
    67 Middle Tennessee St. 975
    77 Western Kentucky 910
    79 North Texas 901
    81 Florida Atlantic 882
    83 Florida International 865
    86 Southern Mississippi 838
    99 Texas-San Antonio 703
    103 Old Dominion (VA) 612
    117 North Carolina-Charlotte 375
    129 Rice (TX) 101
    130 Texas-El Paso 37

  11. #26
    Champ Blue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond repute
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Elo Thread 2018

    We lost 59 points last night. Still not as bad as UAB (-60).

    opp elo w%
    115 South Alabama 389 100%
    Southern U. 100%
    12 Louisiana St. 1645 0%
    75 North Texas 901 100%
    57 Alabama-Birmingham 1099 0%
    101 Texas-San Antonio 646 100%
    129 Texas-El Paso 75 100%
    73 Florida Atlantic 942 100%
    22 Mississippi St. 1416 0%
    130 Rice (TX) 63 100%
    83 Southern Mississippi 859 75%
    82 Western Kentucky 861 90%

    Rice might be even worse than UTEP was at the time. Doesn't matter, we're bowl-bound!

    47 Louisiana Tech 1151
    54 Marshall (WV) 1111
    57 Alabama-Birmingham 1099
    63 Middle Tennessee St. 1024
    73 Florida Atlantic 942
    75 North Texas 901
    82 Western Kentucky 861
    83 Southern Mississippi 859
    88 Florida International 805
    101 Texas-San Antonio 646
    105 Old Dominion (VA) 612
    119 North Carolina-Charlotte 340
    129 Texas-El Paso 75
    130 Rice (TX) 63

  12. #27
    Champ Blue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond repute
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Elo Thread 2018

    We lost -13 points and are now down to #49.

    opp elo w%
    118 South Alabama 302 100%
    Southern U. 100%
    11 Louisiana St. 1703 0%
    76 North Texas 898 100%
    59 Alabama-Birmingham 1069 0%
    107 Texas-San Antonio 545 100%
    129 Texas-El Paso 2 100%
    67 Florida Atlantic 967 100%
    23 Mississippi St. 1428 0%
    130 Rice (TX) -2 100%
    84 Southern Mississippi 851 78%
    83 Western Kentucky 852 92%


    We have lost every game we've played against a 1000+ opponent (so anyone above average).

    As an additional result, we are no longer leading CUSA. Marshall has finally overtaken us.

    47 Marshall (WV) 1190
    49 Louisiana Tech 1169
    59 Alabama-Birmingham 1069
    64 Middle Tennessee St. 1014
    67 Florida Atlantic 967
    76 North Texas 898
    78 Florida International 891
    83 Western Kentucky 852
    84 Southern Mississippi 851
    101 Old Dominion (VA) 639
    107 Texas-San Antonio 545
    119 North Carolina-Charlotte 276
    129 Texas-El Paso 2
    130 Rice (TX) -2

  13. #28
    Champ Blue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond repute
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Elo Thread 2018

    Skip's all time Top 10 upsets are as follows:

    9/12/2013 Tulane (LA) +873
    11/4/2017 North Texas +691
    11/25/2016 Southern Mississippi +680
    9/21/2013 Kansas +594
    9/28/2013 Army (NY) +584
    11/28/2015 Southern Mississippi +561
    10/7/2017 Alabama-Birmingham +499
    11/11/2017 Florida Atlantic +441
    11/22/2014 Old Dominion (VA) +347
    11/17/2018 Southern Mississippi +344
    10/21/2017 Southern Mississippi +329

    His upsets remain the same:

    9/16/2017 Western Kentucky -245
    10/6/2016 Western Kentucky -195
    9/6/2014 Louisiana-Lafayette -175
    12/23/2016 Navy (MD) -75
    9/11/2014 North Texas -44
    12/19/2015 Arkansas St. -28

    I can tell you which list I'm more impressed with.

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