Louisiana Tech +21 LSU
Les Miles may not be in Baton Rouge anymore, but his spirit is alive and well in the bayou. While LSU is currently a top-ten team and has two very impressive wins, the offense is still as ugly as it ever was. Joe Burrow, a quarterback at an SEC school in 2018 has completed 46% of his passes. Those are Bobby Douglass numbers (without the running skills). His best performance, percentage wise, came against Southeastern Louisiana, when he completed half his passes. Maybe LSU can ride a good defense and an inconsistent at best passing game to an SEC West title, but I have serious doubts. The Tigers won't need Burrow to play well to beat Louisiana Tech at home, but they probably will need him to in order to cover. It's hard to justify backing a team with such limited offensive capabilities laying three touchdowns. Oh, and the Tigers happen to be coming off a huge conference road win. And they have another conference opponent on deck (Ole Miss). I think LSU, particularly the defense, will be looking ahead to next week's showdown with the Rebels and their dynamic receiving corps. Louisiana Tech has been solid as a road underdog since Skip Holtz came to town, posting a 10-6-1 ATS mark, including 9-3-1 since 2014. They have also done well against Power Five opponents, going 5-3-1 ATS, including near victories against Kansas State in 2015, Arkansas in 2016, and South Carolina last season. This also marks the fifth straight season they have traveled to an SEC venue, so they should not be intimidated. Louisiana Tech won't win, but I think there is a good chance while you're watching Stanford and Oregon, you'll notice this game is within ten points in the fourth quarter.
Game is sold out. First home sellout for LSU since 2016 Bama game, I think...
Now poosters are saying, well, the stadium will be less than half full by the middle of the 2nd qtr. I'll be surprised by that. I expect it to still be a competitive game into mid-3rd qtr, at least. I don't expect the Dawgs to put this one away until the 4th qtr. Then the stadium will empty for sure. But ya know, maybe these LSU fans know best when their pampered, spoiled fans will get disgusted and abandon the losing tiggers.
Jacob Hester was saying on BR radio last night that his father-in-law, former Tech player Pat Tilley, will be cheering for the tiggers this weekend. They all had a good laugh and we're amazed at how great their team is, able to convert even former players of other teams.
Looks like about 45-50% chance of thundershowers at kick-off time.