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Thread: Midterms 2018

  1. #181
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    Re: Midterms 2018

    Quote Originally Posted by Guisslapp View Post
    Yep. Could only happen with a real ass-clown in the Oval Office. Not even W could come close.
    There's that non-partisan, non-tribal stupidity again....NOT.

    Gosh, you are your own hero...everyone else thinks YOU are the ass clown.

  2. #182
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    Re: Midterms 2018

    Quote Originally Posted by atobulldog View Post
    So with your logic, Obama and Clinton were bigger ass-clowns in the past 40 years since they had bigger "waves" against them?
    Slick Willy lost 52 seats, and obummer 63 seats, as I recall.

  3. #183
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    Re: Midterms 2018

    Quote Originally Posted by atobulldog View Post
    So with your logic, Obama and Clinton were bigger ass-clowns in the past 40 years since they had bigger "waves" against them?
    When I made my post, I did actually suspect that someone that doesn’t know much about politics would say exactly that!

    In case you have been living under a rock your whole life, Republicans have always had a turnout advantage in Midterms. Here are some past numbers. Democrats have to overcome this turnout advantage so their waves are usually smaller.

    https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...e-in-midterms/

  4. #184
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    Re: Midterms 2018

    Quote Originally Posted by Guisslapp View Post
    When I made my post, I did actually suspect that someone that doesn’t know much about politics would say exactly that!

    In case you have been living under a rock your whole life, Republicans have always had a turnout advantage in Midterms. Here are some past numbers. Democrats have to overcome this turnout advantage so their waves are usually smaller.

    https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...e-in-midterms/
    Republicans gained senate seats. There was no blue wave. You'll understand this much better once the next seated US senate confirms yet another conservative supreme court justice to replace Ginsburg once her failing health forces her to retire. With a 6-3 advantage on the supreme court, conservatives should have no problem undoing the damages caused by the rulings of liberal federal judges.

  5. #185
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    Re: Midterms 2018

    Quote Originally Posted by brtransplant View Post
    Republicans gained senate seats. There was no blue wave. You'll understand this much better once the next seated US senate confirms yet another conservative supreme court justice to replace Ginsburg once her failing health forces her to retire. With a 6-3 advantage on the supreme court, conservatives should have no problem undoing the damages caused by the rulings of liberal federal judges.
    Someone that only has a superficial understanding of politics could fall for that argument, but the Democrats were defending more seats than the Republicans in the Senate and actually managed to outperform the partisan lean of their states in almost every race. All you have to do is look at a ruby red state like Texas where Beto ran a competitive race against a well known conservative, Ted Cruz.

    Manchin outperformed his States Republican lean by 33 points.
    Klobuchar outperformed the Democrat lean by 22 points.
    Tester outperformed the Republican lean by 22 points.
    Heitkamp outperformed the Republican lean by 22, which wasn’t enough to hold the seat (N Dakota has a +33 Republican lean).
    Donnelly ran 12 points ahead of his state’s Republican lean. (Not enough to save him)
    McCaskill ran 13 points ahead of her states’s Republican lean. (Not enough to save her).
    Sinema’s 11 point advantage over the Republican lean led to a seat pickup.
    Rosen outperformed the lean by 6 points.
    Romney, on the other hand, actually outperformed his state’s lean by 1 point in a rare exception of a Republican doing better this cycle. Wonder why?
    The other place where Republicans overperformed their lean was in Mississippi.

    All in al 27 of the 33 Democrats outperformed their state’s partisan lean. That is a wave, it is just that these particular seats weren’t very well mapped to translate higher Democrat turnout into seat pickups.

  6. #186
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    Re: Midterms 2018

    Quote Originally Posted by Guisslapp View Post
    Someone that only has a superficial understanding of politics could fall for that argument, but the Democrats were defending more seats than the Republicans in the Senate and actually managed to outperform the partisan lean of their states in almost every race. All you have to do is look at a ruby red state like Texas where Beto ran a competitive race against a well known conservative, Ted Cruz.

    Manchin outperformed his States Republican lean by 33 points.
    Klobuchar outperformed the Democrat lean by 22 points.
    Tester outperformed the Republican lean by 22 points.
    Heitkamp outperformed the Republican lean by 22, which wasn’t enough to hold the seat (N Dakota has a +33 Republican lean).
    Donnelly ran 12 points ahead of his state’s Republican lean. (Not enough to save him)
    McCaskill ran 13 points ahead of her states’s Republican lean. (Not enough to save her).
    Sinema’s 11 point advantage over the Republican lean led to a seat pickup.
    Rosen outperformed the lean by 6 points.
    Romney, on the other hand, actually outperformed his state’s lean by 1 point in a rare exception of a Republican doing better this cycle. Wonder why?
    The other place where Republicans overperformed their lean was in Mississippi.

    All in al 27 of the 33 Democrats outperformed their state’s partisan lean. That is a wave, it is just that these particular seats weren’t very well mapped to translate higher Democrat turnout into seat pickups.
    Close only counts in horseshoes. Every Republican elected will be in office throughout President Trump's two terms. They'll all get to vote on at least one, perhaps more, SCOTU justices. You Gotta Love It!

  7. #187
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    Re: Midterms 2018

    Quote Originally Posted by brtransplant View Post
    Close only counts in horseshoes. Every Republican elected will be in office throughout President Trump's two terms. They'll all get to vote on at least one, perhaps more, SCOTU justices. You Gotta Love It!
    None of that changes the fact there was a blue wave - a Tsunami of people jumping on board with Democratic opposition. A loud message that Trumpism is not welcome in America. Outside of Mississippi the Republican brand is suffering under Trump.

  8. #188
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    Re: Midterms 2018

    Stop implying and say what you feel...all Trump supporters are racist

  9. #189
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    Re: Midterms 2018

    Quote Originally Posted by PawDawg View Post
    Stop implying and say what you feel...all Trump supporters are racist
    I have never said that. Some are just misinformed.

  10. #190
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    Re: Midterms 2018

    Quote Originally Posted by Guisslapp View Post
    I have never said that. Some are just misinformed.
    whatever

    Quote Originally Posted by Guisslapp View Post
    A loud message that Trumpism is not welcome in America. Outside of Mississippi the Republican brand is suffering under Trump.

  11. #191
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    Re: Midterms 2018

    Quote Originally Posted by PawDawg View Post
    whatever
    Uh. That was a plain reference to the fact that was the ONLY state where Democrats did not beat the lean of the state. And there were only a couple of other races outside of Mississippi - such as Romney’s - where Republicans outperformed their state’s lean.

  12. #192
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    Re: Midterms 2018

    Spin that blue ripple. All your socialist peers know it was a fail and not a wave.

  13. #193
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    Re: Midterms 2018

    Quote Originally Posted by Guisslapp View Post
    None of that changes the fact there was a blue wave - a Tsunami of people jumping on board with Democratic opposition. A loud message that Trumpism is not welcome in America. Outside of Mississippi the Republican brand is suffering under Trump.
    That is just insane spin from liberal blogs. Again, "if so many( 40+ GOP congressmen) hadn't decided to retire, Trump would still have the house and senate! THEY RETIRED/QUIT!!!

    As it is the GOP increased it's lead in the senate."

  14. #194
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    Re: Midterms 2018

    Quote Originally Posted by Guisslapp View Post
    None of that changes the fact there was a blue wave - a Tsunami of people jumping on board with Democratic opposition. A loud message that Trumpism is not welcome in America. Outside of Mississippi the Republican brand is suffering under Trump.
    You are not one of the morons trumpeting about the House or Senate national vote, are you?

    Quote Originally Posted by Guisslapp View Post
    When I made my post, I did actually suspect that someone that doesn’t know much about politics would say exactly that!

    In case you have been living under a rock your whole life, Republicans have always had a turnout advantage in Midterms. Here are some past numbers. Democrats have to overcome this turnout advantage so their waves are usually smaller.

    https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...e-in-midterms/
    So you knew some one was going to point out your low brow logic and hatred of Trump?

  15. #195
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    Re: Midterms 2018

    Ballot Harvesting leads to the commies, er, democraps, stealing 7 Congressional seats in California. An amazing 250,000 "votes" were "found" weeks after the election, 100% voting for the (D) candidate, and as a result of that 7 seats flipped.

    "Who votes does not count, what matters is who counts the votes." - Joseph Stalin

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