Originally Posted by
Guisslapp
Someone that only has a superficial understanding of politics could fall for that argument, but the Democrats were defending more seats than the Republicans in the Senate and actually managed to outperform the partisan lean of their states in almost every race. All you have to do is look at a ruby red state like Texas where Beto ran a competitive race against a well known conservative, Ted Cruz.
Manchin outperformed his States Republican lean by 33 points.
Klobuchar outperformed the Democrat lean by 22 points.
Tester outperformed the Republican lean by 22 points.
Heitkamp outperformed the Republican lean by 22, which wasn’t enough to hold the seat (N Dakota has a +33 Republican lean).
Donnelly ran 12 points ahead of his state’s Republican lean. (Not enough to save him)
McCaskill ran 13 points ahead of her states’s Republican lean. (Not enough to save her).
Sinema’s 11 point advantage over the Republican lean led to a seat pickup.
Rosen outperformed the lean by 6 points.
Romney, on the other hand, actually outperformed his state’s lean by 1 point in a rare exception of a Republican doing better this cycle. Wonder why?
The other place where Republicans overperformed their lean was in Mississippi.
All in al 27 of the 33 Democrats outperformed their state’s partisan lean. That is a wave, it is just that these particular seats weren’t very well mapped to translate higher Democrat turnout into seat pickups.