Starting a bit early this year to whet my whistle.
One of you stock geniuses tell me if we're trending up or down.
We finished 2018 with 1152 points (#49). If you recall, teams regress 25% towards 1000 after each season, leaving us with 1114 points (which is still within last years lower shadow).
opp elo w% 21 Texas 1317 18% Grambling 100% 113 Bowling Green (OH) 557 95% 77 Florida International 926 87% 126 Rice (TX) 297 99% 120 Massachusetts 452 99% 79 Southern Mississippi 920 87% 130 Texas-El Paso 220 99% 82 North Texas 898 88% 45 Marshall (WV) 1155 36% 56 Alabama-Birmingham 1067 48% 106 Texas-San Antonio 644 97%
This gives us a projected record of 9.5-2.5.
Adding a sure loss to USM and the scheduled WTF game, we should be looking at a 7.5-5.5 record. And that's not even counting if FIU and UNT turn out to be trouble.