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Thread: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Thread Dunkin' Dawgs 2019-20

  1. #1
    65's Top 10 Worthless Poster Blue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond repute
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    Poll Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Thread Dunkin' Dawgs 2019-20

    Last Wk This Wk
    Sag Rk 122
    Sag Rat 70.73
    Pred W-L 16-11
    Pred W-L 0.593
    Home Adv 3.13
    OOC Rk (A) 129
    OOC Rk (H) 263
    Conf Rk 191
    Conf Opp Rk 186

    H/A Rk Team Sag Fav W/L +/- Q W%
    @ 293 TXCC 64.13 3.47 W 0.59
    WILE
    @ 55 CREI 81.92 -14.32 L 0.14
    350 MVST 53.53 20.33 W 1.00
    283 UNA 65.00 8.86 W 0.72
    @ 39 IND 84.03 -16.43 L 0.09
    189 SAM 70.76 3.10 W 0.58
    @ 48 MSST 82.46 -14.86 L 0.13
    @ 212 SHST 69.64 -2.04 L 0.45
    145 ULL 73.22 0.64 W 0.52
    275 UNCC 65.74 8.12 W 0.70
    335 SUNO 59.44 14.42 W 0.86
    @ 269 USM 66.28 1.32 W 0.53
    269 USM 66.28 7.58 W 0.69
    @ 135 UTSA 74.00 -6.40 L 0.34
    @ 174 UTEP 71.52 -3.92 L 0.40
    307 RICE 63.20 10.66 W 0.77
    176 UNT 71.44 2.42 W 0.56
    @ 172 MTSU 71.61 -4.01 L 0.40
    @ 154 UAB 72.91 -5.31 L 0.37
    264 CHAR 66.75 7.11 W 0.68
    133 ODU 74.26 -0.40 L 0.49
    @ 102 WKU 76.59 -8.99 L 0.28
    @ 202 MARS 70.08 -2.48 L 0.44
    187 FIU 70.73 3.13 W 0.58
    207 FAU 69.95 3.91 W 0.60

    Rk C-USA
    102 Western Kentucky
    122 Louisiana Tech
    133 Old Dominion
    135 UTSA
    154 UAB
    172 Middle Tennessee
    174 UTEP
    176 North Texas
    187 Fla. International
    202 Marshall
    207 Florida Atlantic
    264 Charlotte
    269 Southern Miss
    307 Rice

  2. #2
    65's Top 10 Worthless Poster Blue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond repute
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    Poll Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Thread Dunkin' Dawgs 2019-20

    Last Wk This Wk
    Sag Rk 122 101
    Sag Rat 70.73 77.29
    Pred W-L 15-11 22-4
    Pred W-L 0.577 0.846
    Home Adv 3.13 3.13
    OOC Rk (A) 129 124
    OOC Rk (H) 263 252
    Conf Rk 191 188
    Conf Opp Rk 186 175
    Average Q 84.53

    Quality (Q) is a measure of how well you "competed," to use a patented Tech phrase. 80+ is very good. So our actual record notwithstanding, we've played well so far.

    H/A Rk Team Sag Fav W/L +/- Q W%
    @ 293 TXCC 64.13 33.00 W 97.13 1.00
    WILE 46.00 1.00
    @ 55 CREI 81.92 -10.00 L 71.92 1.00
    353 MVST 48.65 31.77 W 1.00
    278 UNA 65.50 14.92 W 0.87
    @ 42 IND 84.05 -9.89 L 0.25
    221 SAM 68.93 11.49 W 0.79
    @ 43 MSST 82.99 -8.83 L 0.28
    @ 186 SHST 71.37 2.79 W 0.57
    155 ULL 72.09 8.33 W 0.71
    289 UNCC 64.43 15.99 W 0.90
    332 SUNO 60.07 20.35 W 1.00
    @ 275 USM 66.40 7.76 W 0.69
    275 USM 66.40 14.02 W 0.85
    @ 196 UTSA 70.03 4.13 W 0.60
    @ 113 UTEP 73.42 0.74 W 0.52
    224 RICE 67.39 13.03 W 0.83
    156 UNT 73.87 6.55 W 0.66
    @ 142 MTSU 72.31 1.85 W 0.55
    @ 205 UAB 69.41 4.75 W 0.62
    201 CHAR 69.53 10.89 W 0.77
    108 ODU 75.19 5.23 W 0.63
    @ 86 WKU 77.79 -3.63 L 0.41
    @ 236 MARS 67.40 6.76 W 0.67
    188 FIU 71.34 9.08 W 0.73
    222 FAU 68.66 11.76 W 0.79

    As usual, our weak schedule (some of which we can't help) means that the bar is pretty high and should be easy to clear.

    History dictates that we will not clear it but hope remains, ever dwindling.

    Rk C-USA
    86 Western Kentucky
    101 Louisiana Tech
    108 Old Dominion
    113 UTEP
    142 Middle Tennessee
    156 North Texas
    188 Fla. International
    196 UTSA
    201 Charlotte
    205 UAB
    222 Florida Atlantic
    224 Rice
    236 Marshall
    275 Southern Miss
    Last edited by Blue Dawg; 11-18-2019 at 01:11 PM. Reason: typos

  3. #3
    Moderator & 2008 NFL Survivor Contest Champion sportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond repute sportdawg's Avatar
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Thread Dunkin' Dawgs 2019-20

    We won!
    Quote Originally Posted by Blue Dawg View Post

    H/A Rk Team Sag Fav W/L +/- Q W%
    @ 55 CREI 81.92 10.00 W 91.92 1.00

  4. #4
    65's Top 10 Worthless Poster Blue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond repute
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Thread Dunkin' Dawgs 2019-20

    Quote Originally Posted by sportdawg View Post
    We won!
    I'll let the office know

  5. #5
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Thread Dunkin' Dawgs 2019-20

    Last Wk This Wk
    Sag Rk 101 106
    Sag Rat 77.29 76.65
    Pred W-L 22-4 21-5
    Pred W-L 0.846 0.808
    Home Adv 3.13 3.13
    OOC Rk (A) 124 123
    OOC Rk (H) 252 260
    Conf Opp Rk 188 205
    Conf Rk 175 184
    Average Q 84.53 85.87

    H/A Rk Team Sag Fav W/L +/- Q W%
    @ 293 TXCC 64.13 33.00 W 97.13 1.00
    WILE 46.00 1.00
    @ 55 CREI 81.92 -10.00 L 71.92 0.00
    353 MVST 48.65 33.00 W 84.78 1.00
    278 UNA 65.50 21.00 W 89.63 1.00
    @ 38 IND 84.27 -10.75 L -0.86 0.23
    207 SAM 69.49 10.29 W -1.20 0.76
    @ 36 MSST 83.89 -10.37 L -1.54 0.24
    @ 195 SHST 71.55 1.97 W -0.82 0.55
    201 ULL 60.15 19.63 W 11.30 0.99
    291 UNCC 64.80 14.98 W -1.01 0.87
    328 SUNO 60.74 19.04 W -1.31 0.98
    @ 279 USM 65.93 7.59 W -0.17 0.69
    279 USM 65.93 13.85 W -0.17 0.85
    @ 239 UTSA 69.24 4.28 W 0.15 0.61
    @ 115 UTEP 73.80 -0.28 L -1.02 0.49
    173 RICE 68.71 11.07 W -1.96 0.78
    166 UNT 73.50 6.28 W -0.27 0.66
    @ 257 MTSU 66.95 6.57 W 4.72 0.66
    @ 203 UAB 70.25 3.27 W -1.48 0.58
    190 CHAR 70.12 9.66 W -1.23 0.74
    114 ODU 74.93 4.85 W -0.38 0.62
    @ 78 WKU 78.80 -5.28 L -1.65 0.37
    @ 251 MARS 67.87 5.65 W -1.11 0.64
    152 FIU 74.18 5.60 W -3.48 0.64
    254 FAU 67.87 11.91 W 0.15 0.80

    Rk C-USA
    78 Western Kentucky
    106 Louisiana Tech
    114 Old Dominion
    115 UTEP
    152 Fla. International
    166 North Texas
    173 Rice
    190 Charlotte
    203 UAB
    239 UTSA
    251 Marshall
    254 Florida Atlantic
    257 Middle Tennessee
    279 Southern Miss

    The most likely scenario is for us to win 18 games not including pod play.

  6. #6
    65's Top 10 Worthless Poster Blue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond repute
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Thread Dunkin' Dawgs 2019-20

    Last Wk This Wk
    Sag Rk 106 106
    Sag Rat 76.65 77.25
    Pred W-L 21-5 21-5
    Pred W-L 0.808 0.808
    Home Adv 3.13 3.17
    OOC Rk (A) 123 120
    OOC Rk (H) 260 292
    Conf Opp Rk 205 219
    Conf Rk 184 193
    Average Q 85.87 84.73

    H/A Rk Team Sag Fav W/L +/- Q W%
    @ 293 TXCC 64.13 33.00 W 97.13 1.00
    WILE 46.00 1.00
    @ 55 CREI 81.92 -10.00 L 71.92 0.00
    353 MVST 48.65 33.00 W 84.78 1.00
    278 UNA 65.50 21.00 W 89.63 1.00
    @ 38 IND 84.27 -13.00 L 71.27 0.18
    207 SAM 69.49 21.00 W 93.62 1.00
    @ 40 MSST 83.21 -9.13 L 1.24 0.27
    @ 176 SHST 72.12 1.96 W -0.01 0.55
    330 ULL 61.05 19.37 W -0.26 0.98
    305 UNCC 63.28 17.14 W 2.16 0.93
    315 SUNO 60.32 20.10 W 1.06 1.00
    @ 276 USM 66.09 7.99 W 0.40 0.70
    276 USM 66.09 14.33 W 0.48 0.86
    @ 288 UTSA 65.93 8.15 W 3.87 0.70
    @ 108 UTEP 74.74 -0.66 L -0.38 0.48
    171 RICE 69.27 11.15 W 0.08 0.78
    195 UNT 72.06 8.36 W 2.08 0.71
    @ 271 MTSU 66.17 7.91 W 1.34 0.70
    @ 179 UAB 71.31 2.77 W -0.50 0.57
    158 CHAR 73.61 6.81 W -2.85 0.67
    196 ODU 72.18 8.24 W 3.39 0.71
    @ 97 WKU 76.45 -2.37 L 2.91 0.44
    @ 239 MARS 68.7 5.38 W -0.27 0.63
    164 FIU 72.93 7.49 W 1.89 0.69
    259 FAU 67.26 13.16 W 1.25 0.83

    Rk C-USA
    97 Western Kentucky
    106 Louisiana Tech
    108 UTEP
    158 Charlotte
    164 Fla. International
    171 Rice
    179 UAB
    195 North Texas
    196 Old Dominion
    239 Marshall
    259 Florida Atlantic
    271 Middle Tennessee
    276 Southern Miss
    288 UTSA

    Our most likely outcome not including pod play is 18 wins at 21%. (Pred W-L above uses the simple count of which games are straight up wins)

  7. #7
    Moderator & 2008 NFL Survivor Contest Champion sportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond reputesportdawg has a reputation beyond repute sportdawg's Avatar
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Thread Dunkin' Dawgs 2019-20

    It'll be interesting to see if we have a big jump in Sagarin next week. It had us a 9 point Dawg and we won by 7.
    We jumped to 66 at Team Rankings- I think we were around 81.

    I think we have a pretty good shot at being the 1 seed in the C-USA tournament.

    Toughest Remaining Games

    2/6 W Kentucky Away 42.6%
    1/11 TX El Paso Away 66.4%
    1/25 UAB Away 71.7%
    12/8 Sam Hous St Away 72.4%
    1/23 Middle Tenn Away 78.2%
    2/8 Marshall Away 78.6%
    1/9 TX-San Ant Away 82.5%
    1/18 North Texas Home 84.5%
    2/13 Florida Intl Home 84.9%
    12/30 S Mississippi Away 85.3%


    WKU Toughest Remaining Games
    12/7 Arkansas Home 40.3%
    12/21 Rhode Island Away 41.8%
    12/28 Belmont Home 57.0%
    2/6 LA Tech Home 57.4%
    2/1 Florida Intl Away 62.0%
    2/13 TX El Paso Away 62.1%
    1/9 UAB Away 67.6%
    1/11 Middle Tenn Away 74.6%
    1/22 Marshall Away 75.0%
    2/15 TX-San Ant Away 79.4%


  8. #8
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Thread Dunkin' Dawgs 2019-20

    Quote Originally Posted by sportdawg View Post
    It'll be interesting to see if we have a big jump in Sagarin next week. It had us a 9 point Dawg and we won by 7.
    We jumped to 66 at Team Rankings- I think we were around 81.

    I think we have a pretty good shot at being the 1 seed in the C-USA tournament.

    Toughest Remaining Games

    2/6 W Kentucky Away 42.6%
    1/11 TX El Paso Away 66.4%
    1/25 UAB Away 71.7%
    12/8 Sam Hous St Away 72.4%
    1/23 Middle Tenn Away 78.2%
    2/8 Marshall Away 78.6%
    1/9 TX-San Ant Away 82.5%
    1/18 North Texas Home 84.5%
    2/13 Florida Intl Home 84.9%
    12/30 S Mississippi Away 85.3%




    WKU Toughest Remaining Games
    12/7 Arkansas Home 40.3%
    12/21 Rhode Island Away 41.8%
    12/28 Belmont Home 57.0%
    2/6 LA Tech Home 57.4%
    2/1 Florida Intl Away 62.0%
    2/13 TX El Paso Away 62.1%
    1/9 UAB Away 67.6%
    1/11 Middle Tenn Away 74.6%
    1/22 Marshall Away 75.0%
    2/15 TX-San Ant Away 79.4%


    Oh no, the kiss of death, when we start getting hopeful. If we play like we did last night the rest of the season, there is certainly something to be hopeful for though. It was fun to hear the announcers last night- they kept wanting to say that MSt. was playing badly, but .... We did play well last night, and have some young players to look forward to seeing play. Hopefully it will be a fun year in basketball!

  9. #9
    65's Top 10 Worthless Poster Blue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond repute
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Thread Dunkin' Dawgs 2019-20

    I refuse to be hopeful but I will be cautiously optimistic. The conference championship is all that matters, but hopefully we are making some noise at that point anyway.

  10. #10
    Big Dog tech70 is a glorious beacon of lighttech70 is a glorious beacon of lighttech70 is a glorious beacon of lighttech70 is a glorious beacon of lighttech70 is a glorious beacon of lighttech70 is a glorious beacon of lighttech70 is a glorious beacon of lighttech70 is a glorious beacon of lighttech70 is a glorious beacon of lighttech70 is a glorious beacon of lighttech70 is a glorious beacon of light
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Thread Dunkin' Dawgs 2019-20

    Tournament right?

  11. #11
    65's Top 10 Worthless Poster Blue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond repute
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Thread Dunkin' Dawgs 2019-20

    Quote Originally Posted by tech70 View Post
    Tournament right?
    Gotta win to dance.

  12. #12
    65's Top 10 Worthless Poster Blue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond repute
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin Thread Dunkin' Dawgs 2019-20

    Last Wk This Wk
    Sag Rk 106 92
    Sag Rat 77.25 78.72
    Pred W-L 21-5 22-4
    Pred W-L 0.808 0.846
    Home Adv 3.17 3.17
    OOC Rk (A) 120 120
    OOC Rk (H) 292 263
    Conf Opp Rk 219 215
    Conf Rk 193 188
    Average Q 84.73 83.47



    H/A Rk Team Sag Fav W/L +/- Q W%
    @ 293 TXCC 64.13 33.00 W 97.13 1.00
    WILE 46.00 1.00
    @ 55 CREI 81.92 -10.00 L 71.92 0.00
    353 MVST 48.65 33.00 W 84.78 1.00
    278 UNA 65.50 21.00 W 89.67 1.00
    @ 38 IND 84.27 -13.00 L 71.27 0.00
    207 SAM 69.49 21.00 W 93.66 1.00
    @ 40 MSST 83.21 7.00 W 90.21 1.00
    @ 176 SHST 72.12 -3.00 L 69.12 0.00
    213 ULL 69.69 12.20 W -7.17 0.81
    316 UNCC 62.70 19.19 W 2.05 0.98
    321 SUNO 60.57 21.32 W 1.22 1.00
    @ 266 USM 66.76 8.79 W 0.80 0.72
    266 USM 66.76 15.13 W 0.80 0.88
    @ 206 UTSA 69.66 5.89 W -2.26 0.65
    @ 132 UTEP 73.08 2.47 W 3.13 0.56
    201 RICE 68.88 13.01 W 1.86 0.83
    129 UNT 74.66 7.23 W -1.13 0.68
    @ 277 MTSU 65.74 9.81 W 1.90 0.75
    @ 185 UAB 72.34 3.21 W 0.44 0.58
    174 CHAR 72.77 9.12 W 2.31 0.73
    209 ODU 71.47 10.42 W 2.18 0.76
    @ 81 WKU 78.2 -2.65 L -0.28 0.43
    @ 255 MARS 68.64 6.91 W 1.53 0.67
    177 FIU 71.4 10.49 W 3.00 0.76
    249 FAU 67.27 14.62 W 1.46 0.87



    Rk C-USA
    81 Western Kentucky
    92 Louisiana Tech
    129 North Texas
    132 UTEP
    174 Charlotte
    177 Fla. International
    185 UAB
    201 Rice
    206 UTSA
    209 Old Dominion
    249 Florida Atlantic
    255 Marshall
    266 Southern Miss
    277 Middle Tennessee



    We have a 55% chance to win 19+ games.

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