“Immediate.” Meaning, low risk of getting it in the near term. We don’t think it is in our communities currently.
Ultimately, we expect we will see community spread in this country,” Messonnier said. “It’s not a question of if, but when, and how many people in this country will have severe illness.”
“The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) on Tuesday warned that it expects the novel coronavirus to begin spreading in the U.S. at the community level, and that “disruption to everyday life might be severe.”
Personally, if I were running a small business I would start preparing for what I would do in the event of disruption. A potential shut down of 2-3 weeks is what I would want to prepare for. Hopefully, it is a plan that you never have to use, but it is certainly a possibility if C19 hits your community.
Actually, both the CDC and NIH have said how it will spread over here. Essentially, now that is has spread to further countries, and the infectivity of this virus, further containment is essentially impossible. We have flights from Italy and South Korea coming to the US everyday. Ditto for all the other countries that are starting to report cases. We don’t have a way to screen the risk cases anymore like we did when we believed the virus was contained to China.
HD:
I understand the comparisons to influenza. But as I said earlier today in this thread, the way we will have to approach C19 is what separates the 2.
A thousand flu cases in the DFW metroplex means live goes on as usual. A few thousand cases of C19 in the DFW metroplex means live grinds to a halt.
There's also a very good chances that pockets of C19 cases will mean lockdowns of those areas. No one in or out.
So far over 700 people that were in the Diamond Princess (which holds 3700 people) have been diagnosed with C19. That is pretty damn infective.
Here is an interactive chart of where it is:
https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/a...23467b48e9ecf6