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Thread: Covid - 19 - Louisiana Edition

  1. #781
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    Re: Covid - 19 - Louisiana Edition

    Louisiana is trending the wrong way. Good thing we have one of those (D) guvnors, eh!

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    Re: Covid - 19 - Louisiana Edition

    Quote Originally Posted by dawg80 View Post
    Louisiana is trending the wrong way. Good thing we have one of those (D) guvnors, eh!
    More test = trending?

    More hospitalizations maybe, but not cases.

    Did somebody say this was going away?

    Trump should have had a vaccine by now! He should have also had one for the common cold by now.

  3. #783
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    Re: Covid - 19 - Louisiana Edition

    Is everyone masking up and socially distancing in Louisiana?

    Taiwan still has things under control.

  4. #784
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    Re: Covid - 19 - Louisiana Edition

    I have two sets of small multiples below for 2 month time frames ...

    Top: State trends in cases / deaths from mid-Mar to mid-May
    Bottom: State trends in cases / deaths from early May - today

    A few obs ...
    1) Increases in deaths are delayed by a few weeks, which is obvious with the first spike in Louisiana
    2) Cases are not reported by test date ... this is frustrating to use
    3) A deaths spike should follow the ones in the bottom visual within the week IF they cases-deaths spike trend from earlier follows BUT I would have expected to see some increase by now
    4) Increases in hospitalizations give me some confidence that a subsequent deaths spike will happen
    5) I have read we are treating it better than before and more cases are young persons. It is possible, dare I say likely, that the spike in deaths will not be nearly as high as back in Mar-Apr



    I would be interested to know how seriously those 60 and older are taking staying at home and not getting out. The folks I know at highest risk are still not going into public. It may be that, given the relative youth of new cases, that older generations are simply being smarter about their risks. If this death trend stays like this I don't think anyone can see that as bad news.

    The cases and deaths trend for the US as a whole from 3/1 forward ...

  5. #785
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    Re: Covid - 19 - Louisiana Edition

    Quote Originally Posted by weunice View Post
    I have two sets of small multiples below for 2 month time frames ...

    Top: State trends in cases / deaths from mid-Mar to mid-May
    Bottom: State trends in cases / deaths from early May - today

    A few obs ...
    1) Increases in deaths are delayed by a few weeks, which is obvious with the first spike in Louisiana
    2) Cases are not reported by test date ... this is frustrating to use
    3) A deaths spike should follow the ones in the bottom visual within the week IF they cases-deaths spike trend from earlier follows BUT I would have expected to see some increase by now
    4) Increases in hospitalizations give me some confidence that a subsequent deaths spike will happen
    5) I have read we are treating it better than before and more cases are young persons. It is possible, dare I say likely, that the spike in deaths will not be nearly as high as back in Mar-Apr



    I would be interested to know how seriously those 60 and older are taking staying at home and not getting out. The folks I know at highest risk are still not going into public. It may be that, given the relative youth of new cases, that older generations are simply being smarter about their risks. If this death trend stays like this I don't think anyone can see that as bad news.

    The cases and deaths trend for the US as a whole from 3/1 forward ...
    This "death trend" is still made up of the sick and elderly. If we protect those people the outcome is obvious. We protect them by isolating them, not those who are healthy.

  6. #786
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    Re: Covid - 19 - Louisiana Edition

    You can’t isolate them. Was tried everywhere and failed.

  7. #787
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    Re: Covid - 19 - Louisiana Edition

    I also expect their to be a death spike and agree it is likely that it will not exactly be proportional because we have gotten better at treating COVID and the demographics aren’t quite the same. However, all bets are off if we exceed hospital capacities.

  8. #788
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    Re: Covid - 19 - Louisiana Edition

    Quote Originally Posted by Guisslapp View Post
    Wednesday - 6,904 hospitalized in TX.
    Thursday - 7,382 hospitalized in TX.

  9. #789
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    Re: Covid - 19 - Louisiana Edition

    Masks now mandatory in Texas.

  10. #790
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    Re: Covid - 19 - Louisiana Edition

    Quote Originally Posted by johnnylightnin View Post
    Masks now mandatory in Texas.
    Wonder what the excuse is for not doing it sooner.

  11. #791
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    Re: Covid - 19 - Louisiana Edition

    Quote Originally Posted by Guisslapp View Post
    Wonder what the excuse is for not doing it sooner.
    Not sure. I was in Frisco today and went into several businesses that required masks (signs posted on the doors). Here’s the thing though, still not many masks. Then, you’ve got low level employees trying to police the policy...recipe for disaster.

  12. #792
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    Re: Covid - 19 - Louisiana Edition

    If there is a death spike it will continue to be the elderly and those already sick. I know you are hoping for a spike among the young and healthy, but it’s not going to happen. Sorry, you’ll just have to be satisfied with the disproportionate killing of black babies

  13. #793
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    Re: Covid - 19 - Louisiana Edition

    Quote Originally Posted by PawDawg View Post
    If there is a death spike it will continue to be the elderly and those already sick. I know you are hoping for a spike among the young and healthy, but it’s not going to happen. Sorry, you’ll just have to be satisfied with the disproportionate killing of black babies
    If you’re talking to me, you’re bearing false witness.

  14. #794
    Super Moderator PawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond repute PawDawg's Avatar
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    Re: Covid - 19 - Louisiana Edition

    Quote Originally Posted by johnnylightnin View Post
    If you’re talking to me, you’re bearing false witness.
    Iwas talking to anybody who claims to care about blacks

  15. #795
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    Re: Covid - 19 - Louisiana Edition

    Quote Originally Posted by PawDawg View Post
    Iwas talking to anybody who claims to care about blacks
    Brazen.

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