Covid - 19 - Louisiana Edition

[dawg80]

October 8

170,621 cases 5,416 deaths

564 in hosp 79 on vents

October 9

170,878 cases 5,442 deaths

582 in hosp 78 on vents

[dawg80]

More or less landed on a plateau...but this past week has shown a slow, steady trending up in the numbers, Oct 1 thru Oct 9. I suppose it's the change in the weather, folks at gatherings like hunting camps, and a few festivals across the state. Just can't seem to get on an improving trend and ride this sucker down to -->

0 in hosp 0 on vents.

[PawDawg]

Just can't seem to get on an improving trend and ride this sucker down to -->

0 in hosp 0 on vents.

Not when the testing numbers are so inconsistent. False positives are still the norm.

[Guisslapp]

Not when the testing numbers are so inconsistent. False positives are still the norm.

No they aren’t. PCR tests are far more likely to be a false negative than a false positive.

[PawDawg]

No they aren’t. PCR tests are far more likely to be a false negative than a false positive.

Of course. That's why you hear so much about them...

[Guisslapp]

Of course. That's why you hear so much about them...

I have. You haven’t?

[PawDawg]

I have. You haven’t?

Heard lots of false positives from people I actually know. Not a single false negative from ANYBODY.

[dawg80]

Heard lots of false positives from people I actually know. Not a single false negative from ANYBODY.

I haven't either, but then, if someone got a negative result back they are most likely to accept that and just go on with their day. They would probably never, ever know they were actually positive. Unless they started exhibiting symptoms.

[Guisslapp]

Heard lots of false positives from people I actually know. Not a single false negative from ANYBODY.

Antibody tests or PCR?

I know plenty of false negatives. My wife deals with them weekly. People directly exposed (same household) as COVID positives, lose taste/smell and fever and test comes back negative. She still treats them as presumed positive for purposes of not coming back to work.

[Guisslapp]

Heard lots of false positives from people I actually know. Not a single false negative from ANYBODY.

Antibody tests are a whole different thing, but those tests are not really used for screening or diagnostic.

Are you sure you just don’t know plenty of asymptomatic Covids? How would you know they don’t have COVID?

[dawg80]

October 9

170,878 cases 5,442 deaths

582 in hosp 78 on vents

October 12

172,059 cases 5,462 deaths

563 in hosp 71 on vents

[dawg80]

October 12

172,059 cases 5,462 deaths

563 in hosp 71 on vents

October 13

172,801 cases 5,486 deaths

573 in hosp 68 on vents

[dawg80]

October 13

172,801 cases 5,486 deaths

573 in hosp 68 on vents

October 14

173,121 cases 5,495 deaths

582 in hosp 64 on vents

Recovery rate is 93.5%

[tech70]

Do you have age of the people who aren’t recovering?

[PawDawg]

Do you have age of the people who aren’t recovering?

Average age is approximately 75. Life expectancy in Louisiana is approximately 76. Almost all of those dying WITH china virus in Louisiana have underlying conditions.