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Election polling is accurate. This isn't like 2016. I am confident Biden will win.
Election polling is inaccurate. It is 2016 all over again. I am confident Trump will win.
The polling is accurate but I believe Trump has a real chance to win.
The polling is inaccurate but I believe Biden has a real chance to win.
I am just curious what folks think about the polls.
This poll works under the assumption that Biden is leading in national polls and in many of the swing states. Many projections have him in the 300 range for electoral votes. At this point, Trump is clearly playing catchup.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...eral/national/
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...tion-forecast/
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...roval-ratings/
Thread Tools DropdownOriginally Posted by weunice
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Polling said Trump had a real chance to win in 2016. He had a 30% chance...for comparison, the road team in the NFL wins about 30% of the time.
Time is your friend. Impulse is your enemy. -John Bogle
Trump voters don't answer polls. Not new news.
except this one
Most polls had Trump much less than 30% NYT poll day before election had Hillary at 93% chance of winning.
Check out FiverThirtyEight.com
Time is your friend. Impulse is your enemy. -John Bogle
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...tion-forecast/ -- They settled in at 71% in favor of Clinton. Right now they have it 78% in favor of Biden. They did adjust their methodology to account for some of the problems that 2016 brought with it. We will see.
I don’t believe any of those polls just like 2016 polls were a liberal wet dream hoax.
Trump will win in an electoral college landslide. California and New York will again skew the popular vote numbers because Republicans know its pointless to waste their time voting in those communist states.
Agreed.
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