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The White House has been scurrying to do preemptive damage control in preparation for the coming January 2022 jobs report. As RedState reported on Monday, Jen Psaki gave an incredibly odd and nonsensical commentary during her briefing. In it, she claimed that the jobs numbers were going to be skewed by people calling out sick due to Omicron.
Of course, people taking sick leave from work are not counted as job losses, and the entire thing came across as gaslighting meant to preempt a really terrible report. At the time, I speculated that we’d actually see negative jobs growth.
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That has now been essentially confirmed via ADP’s latest data. They found that the jobs numbers missed by 500,000, swinging from an expected gain of 200,000 jobs to 300,000 jobs being lost.
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To be clear, ADP’s survey is not the same as the BLS survey we will see released on Friday. The results between the two are normally similar, though. At the very least, the fact that ADP is showing a massive job loss figure is highly predictive that the BLS survey will show the same. The exact numbers may differ, but don’t expect the topline results to change.
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The only reason the total number of jobs gained has been so high the last year is that the government arbitrarily crushed the jobs market in the years prior. It’d be like the government blowing up your house, building you one half its size, and then demanding you praise them for it.
Clearly, the economy is faltering when it shouldn’t be, and the administration has no actual answer for its failures. Tweeting through it is not going to be any more persuasive than Psaki’s snark is.
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Regardless, the White House is in trouble and they know it. When it comes to a presidential administration, there are points of no return when it comes to public perception. Biden’s woes are really starting to feel baked in and permanent. The arrogant responses coming from his comms shop aren’t helping either. The deficit of leadership is real and harmful.