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Thread: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin MBB Thread 2021

  1. #31
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin MBB Thread 2021

    Quote Originally Posted by Blue Dawg View Post




    One bid, as usual.... We have the CHANCE to take this tournament, at least. I hope we FINALLY do it!

  2. #32
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin MBB Thread 2021

    We have a shot. Actually, make that a bunch of shots that have to fall for us. Not the least of which is from the FT line.

    There is no dominant team, but rather 5 good teams all about equal, and a couple that have a puncher's chance if they get hot and stay hot. Talking about MU and UTSA. They can definitely play spoiler knocking out a contender. In order, ranking: 1) WKU 2) Tech 3) UNT 4) ODU 5) UAB These are the 5 contenders.

    The tourney winner will have done two things 1) played very well every night, 2) got a little lucky

  3. #33
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin MBB Thread 2021

    haven’t seen any mention of this, but it has been a while since we were this high in this metric...

    https://www.cbssports.com/college-ba.../rankings/rpi/


  4. #34
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin MBB Thread 2021


  5. #35
    65's Top 10 Worthless Poster Blue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond repute
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin MBB Thread 2021

    Team Rankings gives us as 20% to win the conference championship.

    https://www.teamrankings.com/ncb/con...c-usa-bracket/

    UNT leads with 24% then WKU with 21%.

  6. #36
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin MBB Thread 2021

    Quote Originally Posted by Blue Dawg View Post
    Team Rankings gives us as 20% to win the conference championship.

    https://www.teamrankings.com/ncb/con...c-usa-bracket/

    UNT leads with 24% then WKU with 21%.
    hopefully, they will have to play each other before us

  7. #37
    2006 & 2011 BB&B Men's Bracket Champion (investigation underway) boxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond reputeboxerdog has a reputation beyond repute
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin MBB Thread 2021

    I think we're the only team that's played the best teams in the conference. And I think we're the best team in the conference. Of course, we could lose. But I wouldn't want to play us if I was the rest of them.
    Have you considered those Dogs?

  8. #38
    65's Top 10 Worthless Poster Blue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond repute
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin MBB Thread 2021








  9. #39
    Hunter Lee's Hero HogDawg has a reputation beyond reputeHogDawg has a reputation beyond reputeHogDawg has a reputation beyond reputeHogDawg has a reputation beyond reputeHogDawg has a reputation beyond reputeHogDawg has a reputation beyond reputeHogDawg has a reputation beyond reputeHogDawg has a reputation beyond reputeHogDawg has a reputation beyond reputeHogDawg has a reputation beyond reputeHogDawg has a reputation beyond repute HogDawg's Avatar
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin MBB Thread 2021

    Quote Originally Posted by Blue Dawg View Post






    Why is UNT (#121) ranked two spots behind LA Tech (#119) even though the Mean Green has a higher point average (75.91 vs Tech's 75.46) than Tech?

  10. #40
    65's Top 10 Worthless Poster Blue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond repute
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin MBB Thread 2021

    Quote Originally Posted by HogDawg View Post
    Why is UNT (#121) ranked two spots behind LA Tech (#119) even though the Mean Green has a higher point average (75.91 vs Tech's 75.46) than Tech?
    The number is the Pure Points Predictor, which is used to predict the outcome. The ranking salts this with things like preseason weighting, strength of schedule, and whether or not you are a blueblood (just kidding...I think)

    They are generally highly correlated but down in the weeds like this there can be some mismatch.

  11. #41
    65's Top 10 Worthless Poster Blue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond repute
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin MBB Thread 2021








  12. #42
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin MBB Thread 2021

    Quote Originally Posted by Blue Dawg View Post
    The number is the Pure Points Predictor, which is used to predict the outcome. The ranking salts this with things like preseason weighting, strength of schedule, and whether or not you are a blueblood (just kidding...I think)

    They are generally highly correlated but down in the weeds like this there can be some mismatch.
    The point is that Blended ranking numbers are being used with Predictor ratings. If the Predictor ratings are going to be used, the Predictor ranking numbers which are also provided should be used to list teams in order. Otherwise use the Blended ranking numbers and ratings. That way a team with a higher ranking number doesn't have a lower rating. The ranking systems are not designed to be mixed and matched.

    In FBS football this year, the Predictor ratings have been the most accurate of the four different Sagarin rating types in predicting winners by about 0.5% ahead of the Blended ratings.

  13. #43
    65's Top 10 Worthless Poster Blue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond repute
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin MBB Thread 2021

    Quote Originally Posted by FriscoDawg View Post
    The point is that Blended ranking numbers are being used with Predictor ratings. If the Predictor ratings are going to be used, the Predictor ranking numbers which are also provided should be used to list teams in order. Otherwise use the Blended ranking numbers and ratings. That way a team with a higher ranking number doesn't have a lower rating. The ranking systems are not designed to be mixed and matched.

    In FBS football this year, the Predictor ratings have been the most accurate of the four different Sagarin rating types in predicting winners by about 0.5% ahead of the Blended ratings.
    I'll use PPP going forward then. Thanks.

  14. #44
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin MBB Thread 2021

    Calculated before the TSU game.








  15. #45
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    Re: Blue Dawg's Weekly Sagarin MBB Thread 2021

    Sorry about Christmas delays








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