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Thread: NCAA Predictions

  1. #61
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    D1 Baseball is listing the teams below on the Bubble as of this morning (if there are no bid stealers then 6 of the list would make the field)

    I've added a few notes to the basics for each school.

    -----------------------------------

    I think Alabama might have played their way into the field, while Ole Miss probably played their way out of the field.

    Iowa, Pitt, and ULL are long shots as at-large participants. Iowa lost this morning and their RPI tanked.

    Clemson needs a win over Va Tech tonight in the worst way.

    UTSA needs a win over USM in the worst way.

    Hard for Penn to get an at-large as Ivy League is the 17th rated conference, and Penn was swept in the championship series by Columbia.

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The D1 Bubble as of 5/26.
    • Rutgers 43 RPI, 41-14, 17-7 (T2nd) plays their first game today (losing record against Q1. Just 1-3)
    • Louisiana Tech 45 RPI, 39-18, 20-10 (2nd) – 1-0 in CUSA Tournament (winning record against Q1)
    • Alabama 41 RPI, 31-25, 12-17 (11th) – 2-0 in SEC Tournament (losing record against Q1; just 12-17 in conference but has 4 consecutive wins vs. Q1).
    • Old Dominion 46 RPI, 39-15, 19-11 (T3rd) – 1-0 in CUSA Tournament (winning record against Q1)
    • Ole Miss 39 RPI, 32-22, 14-16 (T8th) – 0-1 in SEC Tournament – Regular season complete (losing record against Q1. Just 8-13. Lost 3 of 4 to end season, including a home series to A&M).
    • Clemson 33 RPI, 35-22, 13-16 (T11th) – 0-1 in ACC Tournament (losing record against Q1; 5-5 in their last 10. Looked terrible against UNC last night)
    • UTSA 48 RPI, 35-19, 19-11 (T3rd) – beat FAU to open tourney (losing record against Q1; but beat USM 2 of 3 on road).
    • Iowa 58 RPI, 32-16, 17-7 (T2nd) – playing their first game now (RPI is now 65; they're gone)
    • San Diego 54 RPI, 33-18, 17-10 (3rd) – 1-0 in WCC Tournament (3rd place team in the 10th rated RPI conference. 7-6 record against Q1 but lost 2 of 3 to Gonzaga at home to end the regular season. Big game tonight against Portland, the 2nd place finisher.)
    • Penn 55 RPI, 17-4 (1st) – Swept in Ivy League Championship Series – Regular season complete (The Ivy league is the 17th rated conference. Losing record against Q1. But beat Texas A&M 2 of 3 in CS).
    • Pittsburgh 65 RPI, 29-26, 13-16 (T11th) – 2-0 in ACC Tournament (losing record against Q1; barely a winning record overall).
    • Louisiana 59 RPI, 33-21, 19-11 (4th) – Opens Sun Belt Tournament Friday (Cajuns just 4-10 against Q1; Sun Belt already has 3 solidly in the field).

  2. #62
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    Quote Originally Posted by The Historian View Post
    D1 Baseball is listing the teams below on the Bubble as of this morning (if there are no bid stealers then 6 of the list would make the field)

    I've added a few notes to the basics for each school.

    -----------------------------------

    I think Alabama might have played their way into the field, while Ole Miss probably played their way out of the field.

    Iowa, Pitt, and ULL are long shots as at-large participants. Iowa lost this morning and their RPI tanked.

    Clemson needs a win over Va Tech tonight in the worst way.

    UTSA needs a win over USM in the worst way.

    Hard for Penn to get an at-large as Ivy League is the 17th rated conference, and Penn was swept in the championship series by Columbia.

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The D1 Bubble as of 5/26.
    • Rutgers 43 RPI, 41-14, 17-7 (T2nd) plays their first game today (losing record against Q1. Just 1-3)
    • Louisiana Tech 45 RPI, 39-18, 20-10 (2nd) – 1-0 in CUSA Tournament (winning record against Q1)
    • Alabama 41 RPI, 31-25, 12-17 (11th) – 2-0 in SEC Tournament (losing record against Q1; just 12-17 in conference but has 4 consecutive wins vs. Q1).
    • Old Dominion 46 RPI, 39-15, 19-11 (T3rd) – 1-0 in CUSA Tournament (winning record against Q1)
    • Ole Miss 39 RPI, 32-22, 14-16 (T8th) – 0-1 in SEC Tournament – Regular season complete (losing record against Q1. Just 8-13. Lost 3 of 4 to end season, including a home series to A&M).
    • Clemson 33 RPI, 35-22, 13-16 (T11th) – 0-1 in ACC Tournament (losing record against Q1; 5-5 in their last 10. Looked terrible against UNC last night)
    • UTSA 48 RPI, 35-19, 19-11 (T3rd) – beat FAU to open tourney (losing record against Q1; but beat USM 2 of 3 on road).
    • Iowa 58 RPI, 32-16, 17-7 (T2nd) – playing their first game now (RPI is now 65; they're gone)
    • San Diego 54 RPI, 33-18, 17-10 (3rd) – 1-0 in WCC Tournament (3rd place team in the 10th rated RPI conference. 7-6 record against Q1 but lost 2 of 3 to Gonzaga at home to end the regular season. Big game tonight against Portland, the 2nd place finisher.)
    • Penn 55 RPI, 17-4 (1st) – Swept in Ivy League Championship Series – Regular season complete (The Ivy league is the 17th rated conference. Losing record against Q1. But beat Texas A&M 2 of 3 in CS).
    • Pittsburgh 65 RPI, 29-26, 13-16 (T11th) – 2-0 in ACC Tournament (losing record against Q1; barely a winning record overall).
    • Louisiana 59 RPI, 33-21, 19-11 (4th) – Opens Sun Belt Tournament Friday (Cajuns just 4-10 against Q1; Sun Belt already has 3 solidly in the field).
    Great I hope that is true about Ole Miss, but I feel like they will still get in. Just having that sec patch seems to make a world of difference.

  3. #63
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    Quote Originally Posted by sportdawg View Post
    I didn't think MTSU was even on the bubble.

    7) Southern Miss in

    45, 46, 47) Tech, ODU, UTSA

    If Tech/ODU/UTSA each get 2 wins in the tourney, then I think they should slide in to NCAAs.

    D1 previously had all 4 in, but UTSA slid out today (they didn't play and Bama slid in).
    MTSU could have played their way onto the bubble with a deep run. But allowing 83 runs in 6 games leaves absolutely no doubt.

  4. #64
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    Quote Originally Posted by FriscoDawg View Post
    MTSU could have played their way onto the bubble with a deep run. But allowing 83 runs in 6 games leaves absolutely no doubt.
    Outscored 40-7 in about 24 hours....makes me smile

  5. #65
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    Kendall Rogers says we’re a lock now.

  6. #66
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    Quote Originally Posted by THEarmada View Post
    Kendall Rogers says we’re a lock now.
    Would still like to be playing on Sunday for style points.

  7. #67
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    Update on the other 8 conferences with potential bids to be stolen if the top RPI team does not win the tournament.

    AAC--East Carolina (19 RPI) has advanced to the semifinals on Saturday.
    ASun--Liberty (35 RPI) plays EKU Friday in one semifinal. Kennesaw State (51 RPI) plays Lipscomb in the other semifinal. Championship game is Saturday.
    Big East--Connecticut (48 RPI) is in a winner's bracket game on Saturday.
    Big Ten--Maryland (4 RPI) and Rutgers (43 RPI) both won their first round-robin pool play games on Thursday.
    MVC--Dallas Baptist (11 RPI) won its first game on Thursday. Format is 6-team double elimination.
    Southern--Wofford (31 RPI) plays its first game Friday after Thursday's rainout.
    WCC--Gonzaga (26 RPI) won its first game Thursday.
    WAC--Grand Canyon (39 RPI) has advanced to the semifinals Friday night.

  8. #68
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    Saw a rumor on Twitter that ODU had their bats rejected before our game yesterday. Not that it mattered because our guys were throwing seeds!

  9. #69
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    Quote Originally Posted by techman05 View Post
    Saw a rumor on Twitter that ODU had their bats rejected before our game yesterday. Not that it mattered because our guys were throwing seeds!
    Heard the same from some a USM insider.

  10. #70
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    Quote Originally Posted by THEarmada View Post
    Heard the same from some a USM insider.
    I just can't see a coach jeopardizing his job and maybe being banned for life to cheat to win the C-USA tournament.

  11. #71
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    They’ve been cheating...

  12. #72
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    Quote Originally Posted by techman05 View Post
    Saw a rumor on Twitter that ODU had their bats rejected before our game yesterday. Not that it mattered because our guys were throwing seeds!
    I need someone to briefly explain what it is about the ODU bats or what they did to their bats that makes them illegal. How can officials or inspectors know? How do the bats get “tested”?

  13. #73
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    I don’t know the answers to that, but it sure seemed like that ball exploded off the bat on that late home run yesterday. Didn’t look like he swung very hard. I know Crigger throws in the 90’s but still…..

  14. #74
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    I’ve been saying all along since our tournament here last year that something is fishy with OD’s bats. They sound noticeably different than all other bats, the ball explodes off their bats and carries way too far for partial swings by guys who aren’t all that big. But what do I know I’ve only been playing and watching for 60+ years.

  15. #75
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    Quote Originally Posted by LEEDAWG View Post
    I need someone to briefly explain what it is about the ODU bats or what they did to their bats that makes them illegal. How can officials or inspectors know? How do the bats get “tested”?
    https://ncaaorg.s3.amazonaws.com/cha...ionTesting.pdf

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