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Thread: NCAA Predictions

  1. #76
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    Quote Originally Posted by techman05 View Post
    I don’t know the answers to that, but it sure seemed like that ball exploded off the bat on that late home run yesterday. Didn’t look like he swung very hard. I know Crigger throws in the 90’s but still…..
    Noticed that too. It looked like an "excuse me" swing and he didn't finish the swing with both hands on the bat. Looked "not quite right" to me. But I just chalked it up to Crigger throwing a strike, the smart thing to do in that situation, and maybe left one too fat out over the plate.

  2. #77
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    He definitely piped that pitch.

  3. #78
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    Quote Originally Posted by techman05 View Post
    Saw a rumor on Twitter that ODU had their bats rejected before our game yesterday. Not that it mattered because our guys were throwing seeds!
    Bats are only checked at the start of the tournament, not before every game. Middle Tennessee would disagree with that rumor.

  4. #79
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    Update on the other 8 conferences with potential bids to be stolen if the top RPI team does not win the tournament.

    AAC--East Carolina (17 RPI) has advanced to the semifinals on Saturday.
    ASun--Liberty (32 RPI) plays Kennesaw State (48 RPI) in the championship game Saturday. Potential bid-steal if Kennesaw State wins.
    Big East--Connecticut (51 RPI) is in a winner's bracket game on Saturday.
    Big Ten--Maryland (5 RPI) lost to Michigan late Friday and must win an elimination game over Indiana to reach the semifinals. Rutgers (38 RPI) has advanced to the semifinals on Saturday.
    MVC--Dallas Baptist (18 RPI) lost to Evansville 21-2 Friday. DBU plays an elimination game Saturday. Potential bid-steal.
    Southern--Wofford (31 RPI) advanced to Saturday's semifinals.
    WCC--Gonzaga (26 RPI) lost to San Diego (49 RPI) but won Friday night to stay alive. Gonzaga must beat San Diego twice to win the tournament. Potential bid-steal if San Diego wins.
    WAC--Grand Canyon (42 RPI) must beat Abilene Christian Saturday to advance to meet New Mexico State in Saturday's championship game. Potential bid-steal.
    Last edited by FriscoDawg; 05-28-2022 at 02:39 AM.

  5. #80
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    Thank you. I guess goes to how how bad MTSU pitching was and how good ours was vs ODU.

  6. #81
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    Kennesaw State wins the ASUN championship game to steal a bid.
    Last edited by The Historian; 05-28-2022 at 03:02 PM.

  7. #82
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    But while 1 bid was stolen...

    Alabama and West Virginia, two of D1 Baseball's last 4 in, both lose and their RPIs both tank. Alabama at 47. West Virginia at 48.

  8. #83
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    Quote Originally Posted by The Historian View Post
    But while 1 bid was stolen...

    Alabama and West Virginia, two of D1 Baseball's last 4 in, both lose and their RPIs both tank. Alabama at 47. West Virginia at 48.
    Kentucky may have just stolen a bid by beating LSU. That may be the nail in Alabama's coffin. Kentucky's RPI is now 50 with a game against Tennessee to come.
    Last edited by FriscoDawg; 05-28-2022 at 05:12 PM.

  9. #84
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    Update on the other 8 conferences with potential bids to be stolen if the top RPI team does not win the tournament.

    AAC--East Carolina (15 RPI) vs Houston (79 RPI) in the championship game Sunday.
    ASun--Kennesaw State gets the automatic bid by beating Liberty 10-6 in the ASun championship game. Bid stolen. Liberty is at 33 RPI with that loss and still likely gets an at-large.
    Big East--Connecticut (48 RPI) plays Xavier (61 RPI) in the championship round. Connecticut needs just one win while Xavier needs two wins. Big East probably now only gets the auto-bid winner.
    Big Ten--Maryland (9 RPI) has been eliminated. Rutgers (38 RPI) must win one of two from Indiana (101 RPI) to reach the championship game. Iowa (58 RPI) and Michigan (69 RPI) also alive.
    MVC--Bid will be stolen. Dallas Baptist (22 RPI) has been eliminated. Southern Illinois (65 RPI) must win one of two over Missouri State (102 RPI) to win the championship.
    Southern--Wofford (30 RPI) only needs one win in the championship round Sunday.
    WCC--San Diego gets the automatic bid. Bid stolen. Gonzaga (27 RPI) lost to San Diego (46 RPI).
    WAC--Bid will be stolen if GCU can hang on for an at-large (no guarantee). Grand Canyon (51 RPI) lost to Abilene Christian and is eliminated. New Mexico State (229 RPI) won the auto-bid over Abilene Christian.

    Additions to the list:

    SBC--ULL (54 RPI) must beat Georgia Southern (8 RPI) to steal a bid. Texas State (26 RPI) and Coastal Carolina (31 RPI) should also be in.
    Last edited by FriscoDawg; 05-29-2022 at 04:42 AM.

  10. #85
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    Because of stolen bids there are just 4 (maybe 5 because of West Virginia's loss) open spots with several more potential stolen bids in the next 24 hours. But what does the bubble probably look like at the moment?

    D1 Baseball believes Clemson and Ole Miss played their way out of the tournament. Alabama also appears to be gone after they lost and their RPI went down to 47. They had West Virginia in the last 4 in this morning, having them now on the bubble, but WVU lost earlier today and their RPI fell 14 spots to 48. Their other metrics don't look good at all.

    After a loss and 2 wins in the Big 10 tournament, Iowa's RPI is still sitting at 60. Pitt is losing to NC State 6-2 in the 4th. With the shrinking bubble the only chance the Cajuns have is to win the Belt tourney.

    Using the teams D1 baseball listed on 5/26 and given what's transpired so far, the bubble probably looks like this:

    • Rutgers 39 RPI, 43-14, 19-7 (T2nd) (losing record against Q1. Still just 1-3)
    • Louisiana Tech 43 RPI, 40-19, 21-11 (2nd) – 1-0 in CUSA Tournament (winning record against Q1)
    • Old Dominion 40 RPI, 41-16, 21-11 (T3rd) – 1-0 in CUSA Tournament (winning record against Q1)
    • UTSA 35 RPI, 38-19, 21-11 (T3rd) – beat FAU to open tourney (even record against Q1; but beat USM 2 of 3 on road and swept USM in the CUSA tourney to reach the championship game. RPI now at 35).
    • San Diego 52 RPI, 35-18, 17-10 (3rd) – (3rd place team in the 10th rated RPI conference. 8-6 record against Q1. Wins over Portland and Gonzaga in the WCC tournament).
    • Pittsburgh 62 RPI, 29-26, 13-16 (T11th) – 2-0 in ACC Tournament (losing record against Q1; barely a winning record overall. Must beat NC State to have any shot).
    • Kentucky 50 RPI (could play their way in with a win over Tennessee. But losing Q1 record and conference record of 12-18)
    • West Virginia 48 RPI (lost to Kansas State and its RPI dropped 14 spots to 49. Record against Q1 is just 6-11).
    Last edited by The Historian; 05-28-2022 at 06:33 PM.

  11. #86
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    I predict we make it.

    Going out on a limb. LOL

  12. #87
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    Updating the bubble. Removing Pitt and San Diego and adding Grand Canyon.

    GCU loses back to back games to Abilene Christian and its RPI drops to 51. The Committee is going to have a decision to make. Does it award an at large to a school outside the Q1 from a conference with the 19th rated RPI, the WAC?

    San Diego wins the WCC with a win a second win over Gonzaga.

    Pitt loses to NC State 8-3.

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The Bubble (given the stolen bids thus far there are perhaps 4 or 5 open spots)
    • Rutgers 39 RPI, 43-14, 19-7 (T2nd) (losing record against Q1. Still just 1-3)
    • Louisiana Tech 37 RPI, 41-19, 22-11 (2nd) – 1-0 in CUSA Tournament (winning record against Q1)
    • Old Dominion 42 RPI, 41-18, 22-12 (T3rd) – 1-0 in CUSA Tournament (winning record against Q1)
    • UTSA 35 RPI, 38-19, 21-11 (T3rd) – beat FAU to open tourney (even record against Q1; but beat USM 2 of 3 on road and swept USM in the CUSA tourney to reach the championship game. RPI now at 35).
    • Kentucky 50 RPI (could play their way in with a win over Tennessee. But losing Q1 record and conference record of 12-18)
    • West Virginia 48 RPI (lost to Kansas State and its RPI dropped 14 spots to 49. Record against Q1 is just 6-11).
    • Grand Canyon 51 RPI (lost back to back games to Abilene Christian; RPI droped to 51. Does the committee award an at large to a school outside the Q1 from the 19th ranked conference).

  13. #88
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    ULL just eliminated ranked Texas State and will now play Ga. Southern tomorrow for the autobid. It appears Ga. Southern is already a lock for a berth, as is Texas State. So, the only way there will be a bid-stealer is if ULL wins.

  14. #89
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    Quote Originally Posted by dawg80 View Post
    ULL just eliminated ranked Texas State and will now play Ga. Southern tomorrow for the autobid. It appears Ga. Southern is already a lock for a berth, as is Texas State. So, the only way there will be a bid-stealer is if ULL wins.
    Cajun pitcher threw 142 pitches.

  15. #90
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    Quote Originally Posted by The Historian View Post
    Cajun pitcher threw 142 pitches.
    I watched the last few innings. He went 9 innings and threw all those pitches. I have watched Texas State play several games and I just don't see why they deserve a ranking. They are very mediocre.

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