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Thread: NCAA Predictions

  1. #31
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    RPI Needs Report looks rough for Tech, need to go 7-2 to finish top 45 and Im assuming that means sweeping wku as well.

    Louisiana Tech
    Remaining: 6 home, 3 road
    Current RPI: 37
    Top 45:
    4 home wins, 3 road wins
    5 home wins, 2 road wins
    6 home wins, 1 road wins
    Top 32:
    6 home wins, 3 road wins
    Top 16:
    No way to reach the threshold.
    Top 8:
    No way to reach the threshold.

  2. #32
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    IF we win the next 9 and IF we win a couple games in the CUSA Tournament would a #2 seed in a Regional be the ceiling?
    I personally like we go 7-2 in the next 9 games. Dropping one to FAU and one to Charlotte

  3. #33
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    Quote Originally Posted by LATECH87 View Post
    IF we win the next 9 and IF we win a couple games in the CUSA Tournament would a #2 seed in a Regional be the ceiling?
    I personally like we go 7-2 in the next 9 games. Dropping one to FAU and one to Charlotte
    Tech can run the table through winning the C-USA Tournament, and a high 2 seed (17-24 overall) would still be the ceiling without serious collapses from multiple teams currently in hosting positions. Too many Q3 and Q4 RPI losses (5 combined) is the bottom line.

  4. #34
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    Yeah agreed, no way we host

  5. #35
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    2 seed is almost completely off the table after this weekend.

    Two points of good news for C-USA are:

    1) C-USA is now clearly the #5 RPI conference behind the SEC, ACC, Big 12, and Pac 12. The next 5 are MVC, SBC, AAC, Big Ten, and WCC.

    2) All 8 teams currently in C-USA Tournament positions in the standings are in the top 93 of the RPI list--USM 15, ODU 41, Tech 50, MT 51, UTSA 54, Charlotte 83, UAB 86, and FAU 93. Only the SEC (13) and the ACC (12) have more top 93 RPI teams than C-USA (Pac 12 also has 8).

  6. #36
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    "Playoffs? Playoffs!?" - Jim Mora

  7. #37
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    Bad midweek set for the conference.

    USM loses at home to Ole Miss 4-1 last night.
    ODU loses two at home to VCU (8-2) and William and Mary (5-0).
    FAU loses at FGCU.
    Rice loses two at home to ULL including a 16-6 8-inning run-rule job last night.
    Marshall loses at Morehead State.

    Only Middle Tennessee got a win against Tennessee Tech.

    Current top 8 RPIs:
    USM 26, MT 51, Tech 52, ODU 56, UTSA 59, UAB 84, Charlotte 85, FAU 93

  8. #38
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    Charlotte just won 8-3 at South Carolina. 8-run 5th inning for the 49ers.

    Middle Tennessee lost at Vanderbilt 7-2.

    Rice beats Houston 5-4 in 12. Western Kentucky wins 10-2 over Bellarmine. Marshall loses again to Morehead State.

    RPIs have pretty much settled in for the night. Here are the C-USA Tournament qualifier RPIs as C-USA is a solid #5 in conference RPI--USM 19, UTSA 45, MT 48, ODU 51, Tech 54, Charlotte 69, UAB 93, FAU 98
    Last edited by FriscoDawg; 05-17-2022 at 10:32 PM.

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  10. #40
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    Never been to Stillwater
    HCSH cumulative point differential by quarter:

    231 522 654 -54

  11. #41
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    16 of the 31 conferences will not be getting any at-large bids with no top 50 RPI teams.
    America East, A10, Big South, CAA, Horizon, Ivy, MAAC, MEAC, MAC, MWC, NEC, OVC, Patriot, SLC, SWAC, Summit

    6 conferences are likely getting 3 or more bids as indicated in the story linked above unless at-large bids get stolen by the next group.
    ACC, Big 12, C-USA, Pac 12, SBC, SEC

    That leaves 9 conferences with at least one team in at-large bid range who could get in even without a conference tournament win and possibly allow an at-large bid to be stolen.
    AAC--East Carolina (25 RPI) with the next best RPI team at 83
    ASun--Liberty (40 RPI) and Kennesaw State (43 RPI) with the next best RPI team at 73. Won't get more than two bids, but still possible to get two not projected in the linked story.
    Big East--Connecticut (49 RPI) is on the edge with the next best RPI team at 63.
    Big Ten--Maryland (3 RPI) and Rutgers (42 RPI) with the next best RPI team at 58.
    Big West--UCSB (38 RPI) with the next best RPI team at 80.
    MVC--Dallas Baptist (13 RPI) with the next best RPI team at 75.
    Southern--Wofford (32 RPI) with the next best RPI team at 52.
    WCC--Gonzaga (27 RPI) with the next best RPI team at 56.
    WAC--Grand Canyon (44 PRI) with the next best RPI team at 102 (Sam Houston State).

  12. #42
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    Based on many of the above RPIs our number would be MUCH better with smart scheduling. We can’t afford to keep playing home and home games just because our coach does not care about RPI. He controls this and if we don’t get an at large it will be totally due to his schedule. This would not be a first for him at Tech.
    HCSH cumulative point differential by quarter:

    231 522 654 -54

  13. #43
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    Quote Originally Posted by PawDawg View Post
    Based on many of the above RPIs our number would be MUCH better with smart scheduling. We can’t afford to keep playing home and home games just because our coach does not care about RPI. He controls this and if we don’t get an at large it will be totally due to his schedule. This would not be a first for him at Tech.
    Have to fill 4 weekend non-conference series and 14 midweek non-conference games.

    The thing that was better this year was no SWAC schools. That must continue.

    ULL and ULM home-and-homes are a given. SLU home-and-home is fine too. We should either keep Tulane as a non-conference weekend or as a home-and-home. New Orleans would be a good pickup for a home-and-home. USM as a weekend or home-and-home should happen. If we could get those I could live with McNeese and NSU midweek home-and-homes. Don't need to burn an OOC weekend with McNeese though.

    If Tulane and USM are scheduled as weekends with the other six as home-and-homes, that would leave two weekends and just two other midweek games.

    Need to keep LSU on the schedule, but I don't know if a home-and-hone will happen any time soon again. We will probably see Nicholls because of Silva being head coach there, and one game only like this year would not be terrible. Little Rock should either be dropped or limited to one game.

  14. #44
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    I like seeing our inclusion in the field of 64, but I can't help but worry about "the other shoe falling." It always seems that way for Tech. Will a couple of wins this week cement our slot in the NCAAs?

  15. #45
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    Re: NCAA Predictions

    Quote Originally Posted by FriscoDawg View Post
    Have to fill 4 weekend non-conference series and 14 midweek non-conference games.

    The thing that was better this year was no SWAC schools. That must continue.

    ULL and ULM home-and-homes are a given. SLU home-and-home is fine too. We should either keep Tulane as a non-conference weekend or as a home-and-home. New Orleans would be a good pickup for a home-and-home. USM as a weekend or home-and-home should happen. If we could get those I could live with McNeese and NSU midweek home-and-homes. Don't need to burn an OOC weekend with McNeese though.

    If Tulane and USM are scheduled as weekends with the other six as home-and-homes, that would leave two weekends and just two other midweek games.

    We will probably see Nicholls because of Silva being head coach there, and one game only like this year would not be terrible. Little Rock should either be dropped or limited to one game.
    We played 19 games vs. in-state opponents (13-6), but avoided Grambling and Southern. Sometimes SU is a fairly decent team, but GSU never is, and while it would be neighborly to play them, just can't afford the RPI knock. YES!!!!!!! playing USM is a major no-brainer. We should play them at least twice every year, and 3 times would be better. Playing ULL, LSU, Tulane are also no-brainers, and a mix of other in-state schools, in the right proportions is okay too.

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