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My bet is they expand to a point where they have to play 9-10 conference games and they won’t sacrifice schedule strength by playing the have nots. If Oklahoma plays Louisiana Tech and Ohio State plays Florida, then OSU will get to nod in a playoff scenario over Oklahoma if all else is equal.
An FBS conference has a two-year grace period to be maintained as an FBS conference if its qualifying membership falls below 8.Originally Posted by Dawgonit
PAC-12 will be harder to kill than the C-USA was.
They will cherry pick off the MWC
Fresno State, SDSU, Boise St, Air Force…
If the Big 12 poaches 4 (or 6), the Pac 12 rights renegotiation won't go very well for the remaining Pac 4 or Pac 6.
The death of our AAC hopes?
Not necessarily. Depends on who the Pac x replacements might be and what impact those moves have.
Watching this is like watching people in the water trying to climb into a lifeboat that’s already full.
While Tech tries to get back into the sinking ship
I want to laugh, but that’s too close to accurate.While Tech tries to get back into the sinking ship
Braden Keith
@Braden_Keith
SOURCE: North Carolina, Florida State, Clemson, and Virginia are all negotiating to join the SEC. ESPN is trying to void their TV deal with the ACC.
The question is not which conference will be the winner, but which network?
Say goodbye to Home and Home games with the likes of Mississippi State or similar. They will not except having an away game with a nonconference opponent in addition to having additional away games in conference.
So does ACC take reload (or merge with Pac 12). If B12 gets to 18, does it round up to 20?
I think AAC expanded to 14, because they assume Memphis & SMU will leave. But I don't think they expected ACC to get poached. Maybe USF, CLT (or ECU) to ACC. Do they stick at 12 or try for 16.
AAC
Alabama-Birmingham, Charlotte, East Carolina, Florida Atlantic, Memphis, Navy, North Texas, Rice, SMU, South Florida, Temple, Texas-San Antonio, Tulane, Tulsa
ACC
Boston College, Duke, Georgia Tech, Louisville, Miami, NC State, Pittsburgh, Syracuse, Virginia Tech, Wake Forest
Big 10
Indiana, Illinois, Iowa, Maryland, Michigan, Michigan State, Minnesota, Nebraska, Northwestern, Ohio State, Penn State, Purdue, Rutgers, UCLA, USC, Wisconsin
Big 12
Arizona, Arizona State, Baylor, BYU, Central Florida, Cincinnati, Colorado, Houston, Iowa State, Kansas, Kansas State, Oregon, Oklahoma State, TCU, Texas Tech, Utah, Washington, West Virginia
C-USA
Florida International, Jacksonville State, Liberty, Louisiana Tech, Middle Tennessee, New Mexico State, Sam Houston, UTEP, Western Kentucky
MAC
Akron, Ball State, Bowling Green, Buffalo, Central Michigan, Eastern Michigan, Kent State, Miami (Ohio), Northern Illinois, Ohio, Toledo, Western Michigan
MWC
Air Force, Boise State, Colorado State, Fresno State, Hawaii, Nevada, New Mexico, San Diego State, San Jose State, UNLV, Utah State, Wyoming
Pac 12
California, Oregon State, Stanford, Washington State
SBC
Appalachian State, Arkansas State, Coastal Carolina, Georgia Southern, Georgia State, James Madison, Louisiana, Louisiana-Monroe, Marshall, Old Dominion, South Alabama, Southern Miss, Texas State, Troy
SEC
Alabama, Arkansas, Auburn, Clemson, Florida, Florida State, Georgia, Kentucky, LSU, Mississippi State, Missouri, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Ole Miss, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Texas A&M, Vanderbilt, Virginia
Interesting to listen to national talk shows today on this subject. College Sports Saturday on Sirius XM had some good points.
-The idea of the ACC being raided at all is unrealistic. Start with the Grant of Rights. The idea of getting out of it - with some of the crazy legal theories put forward over the past week - is just not going to happen. But secondly, why would ESPN provide the SEC with any type of bump in money in order for the SEC to attempt to acquire a property ESPN already owns at a bargain price in another conference? And the Big 10 isn't going to upset their applecart with a protracted legal battle. The schools involved - outside of North Carolina - aren't worth it.
-It's clear ESPN is going to have to provide a somewhat lucrative deal to the Pac 12 in order to keep them together. The information that's come out about ESPN fearing a major loss of content if the Pac 12 is raided in a major way appears to be very real. The talk of ESPN being the intermediary between the Pac 12 and ACC on a scheduling agreement where the ACC Network would be rebranded and distributed nationally also appears to be real.
-The Big 10 not raiding the Pac 12 immediately for schools like Oregon was somewhat explained in the past few days by an interview from a Portland columnist with the former president of Fox Sports Networks Bob Thompson. Thompson indicated that Oregon's value in the media rights world was only $30 million per year to the Big 10. If they're invited to the Big 10 at some point in the future, it'll be because they're a tag along or to keep Phil Knight happy. It might also indicate that neither Washington, Cal nor Stanford would have $100 million or more in value that it might take to get to the Big 10, as well.
-Big 12 expansion with the Four Corners Pac 12 schools may happen, but it doesn't appear to be as inevitable as it seemed a week ago. If ESPN is able to put a model together that partners the Pac 12 and ACC, it might stave off the Big 12. In his interview, Thompson pointed to the fact the ACC had better markets than the Big 12. Could ESPN generate enough revenue to at least match what the Four Corners schools would get elsewhere? That might mean the Pac 12 expands by just 2, getting back into California with SDSU and Fresno State.
How can presidents and ADs suck up to ESPN who has shown HORRIBLE business decisions repeatedly?
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