AXNT20 KNHC 271706 2005270 1706
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT TUN SEP 27 2005
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHEASTERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 1645 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURE...
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 75W/76W S OF CUBA WITH A 1010 MB LOW ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 14N. OBSERVATIONS FROM BUOY 42058 SUGGEST THERE IS A WEAK LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE WITH WLY WINDS RECENTLY REPORTED...THOUGH THOSE WINDS ARE LIKELY ENHANCED BY DOWNDRAFTS AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. VISIBLE SATELLITE PICTURES SHOW BANDING FEATURES DEVELOPING ON THE N SIDE OF THE WAVE WITH SYMMETRIC OUTFLOW. THIS AREA HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. A SLOW MOVEMENT TO THE WNW IS LIKELY... PLACING THE SYSTEM IN THE W CARIBBEAN LATE WED/EARLY THU. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 13.5N-17.5N BETWEEN 74W-78W. HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE FOR JAMAICA LATER TODAY AND OVERNIGHT.