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Thread: Gustav

  1. #31
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    Re: Gustav

    We stayed in BR during Katrina and plan on staying throught this one. We got high winds, lots of rain, but nothing damaging other than our already crappy fence being blown down, and being without power for maybe one day. Not really worried about this one. I do hate it for family and friends in the New Orleans, Jefferson Parish and Saint Bernard parish. You never know what to expect and it sucks to have to pack the family up and worry about losing everything again.

  3. #33
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    Re: Gustav

    Quote Originally Posted by bulldawg03 View Post
    I fully expect a Morgan City landfall or more toward New Orleans. This thing will not hook west, only east. And they always hook at the last minute.

    When Jim Cantore shows up, I think that's my cue to leave...

    I was on the Mississippi Coast today and there was talk that The Weather Channel/Jim Cantore have hotel reservations at a casino in Biloxi for the weekend. Not sure how accurate that was, but it was on the radio down in Gulfport today. Still to early to make a call on it, but this thing is not looking good for whoever/wherever it hits.

  4. #34
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    Re: Gustav

    Quote Originally Posted by qng001 View Post
    I predict it'll hit Texas, Louisiana, or Mississippi
    You could be a weather man!

  5. #35
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    Re: Gustav

    Probably gonna rain some too.
    “Towie Barclay of the Glen, Happy to the maids, But never to the men.”

  6. #36
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    Re: Gustav

    With a little bit of wind...
    ''Don't be a bad dagh..."

  7. #37
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    Re: Gustav

    http://www.nola.com/hurricane/wide.s...143912W_sm.gif

    The latest *guess* at where it will make landfall, shows it hitting far enough west that there will not be any storm surge in N.O. So, unless something really crazy happens with the wind, the city should be fine.

    We still need to start working to rebuild the wetlands off the coast. That is a key to solving the real problem.

  8. #38
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    Re: Gustav

    I just hope this storm isn't another Katrina for all those concerned. I live 150 miles north of the coast, just north of Jackson, Ms. and Katrina kicked our butts too, not as bad as New Orleans and the MS. Gulf Coast, but still, it wasn't good. I'm hoping this thing gets out in the Gulf and decides to have all it's fun out there and then fizzles. People over my way, even this far north are already making the necessary preparations. One thing for sure, gas is about to go through the roof again. I got it for $3.19 just two days ago, it's up to $3.59 at the same gas station...and there's another storm out there now. Look for gas to go north of $4.00 in a hurry!

  9. #39
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    Re: Gustav

    how do gas stations get the word to raise/lower prices? they don't just do it on their own.

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    Re: Gustav

    Hopefully it won't pick up too much steam before it hits. It's currently just under Cat 1, which means not a hurricane atm. If it lands as a cat 1, that is "bad" but not "devastating"

  11. #41
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    Re: Gustav

    No I think it will definitely be higher than a Cat 1 before landfall. Most are predicting it will be a Cat 3 when it hits because of the warm waters in the Gulf.

  12. #42
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    Re: Gustav

    Everytime I see an update, it seems to move a little further west. You guys in BR and Lafayette might make plans to stay in Ruston an extra day or so.

    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphi...143912W_sm.gif

  13. #43
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    Re: Gustav

    Quote Originally Posted by StrayDawg View Post
    http://www.nola.com/hurricane/wide.s...143912W_sm.gif

    The latest *guess* at where it will make landfall, shows it hitting far enough west that there will not be any storm surge in N.O. So, unless something really crazy happens with the wind, the city should be fine.

    We still need to start working to rebuild the wetlands off the coast. That is a key to solving the real problem.
    If it comes in from east to west,(as currently drawn) and lands west of the mouth of the river, the storm surge into Borne and Pontch, could be much worse, because it will last longer. Remember, Katrina came in basically moving due north. Ask the MS coast how bad she was.

  14. #44
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    Re: Gustav

    Katrina five days before landfall. Probability predicted of landfall near New Orleans . . . 7%.

    Hurricane KATRINA
    ZCZC MIASPFAT2 ALL
    TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
    HURRICANE KATRINA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
    5 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2005

    PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
    PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

    AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR
    LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.9 WEST

    CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
    OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT SUN AUG 28 2005


    LOCATION A B C D E


    NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 7 7

    COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
    A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM FRI
    FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
    B FROM 2PM FRI TO 2AM SAT
    C FROM 2AM SAT TO 2PM SAT
    D FROM 2PM SAT TO 2PM SUN
    E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SUN
    X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

    FORECASTER STEWART


    $$
    NNNN
    It ticks me off that the forecasters scare the hell out of people and then play down the margin of error of a five day forecast is 300 freaking miles. The Weather Channel is almost giddy that it could hit New Orleans.

  15. #45
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    Re: Gustav

    Quote Originally Posted by RougeDawg View Post
    Katrina five days before landfall. Probability predicted of landfall near New Orleans . . . 7%.



    It ticks me off that the forecasters scare the hell out of people and then play down the margin of error of a five day forecast is 300 freaking miles. The Weather Channel is almost giddy that it could hit New Orleans.

    So are you called to Guard duty for this one? Or, does your new job call during this sort of time?

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