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Thread: 7 pt underdogs

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    7 pt underdogs

    against Nevada

    Thought it was interesting that Fresno is a 7 pt favorite on the island.

    lsu is a 9 pt dog at home, but that one is circled.

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    Re: 7 pt underdogs

    Whatever. 3 points for their field. 5 points because we play poor on the road.

    We will win this game. That electricity that we showed against Hawaii shows me that.

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    Re: 7 pt underdogs

    Quote Originally Posted by maddawg View Post
    against Nevada

    Thought it was interesting that Fresno is a 7 pt favorite on the island.
    Quote Originally Posted by littleshoe View Post
    Whatever. 3 points for their field. 5 points because we play poor on the road.
    We will win this game. That electricity that we showed against Hawaii shows me that.
    Can't wait to bring it to Nevada, before the start of te season, i'd have to say we couldn't win it, but i think we stand a very good chance at Nevada...
    As far as the Fresno-Hawaii game, i found myself rather unimpressed with them.

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    Re: 7 pt underdogs

    I hate to say it but the dogs would win this one in Ruston by at least 7... Reno is a different story but they are a running team and if we can just complete enough passes to help out our gound game and the D gets a few TO's we will win!

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    Re: 7 pt underdogs

    I think we have a good chance to steal this one.

    For Nevada, this is a must-win.

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    Re: 7 pt underdogs



    You degenerate gamblers!!!!!
    The spread vs Hawaii has already sunk to 9.5....
    Uh...Fresno St...after last Wednesday's performance?....dang....

    Nevada, on the otherhand, has always been overrated.
    Collin Kaepernick is a huge X-factor though.

    Good luck with your bets fellahs.

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    Re: 7 pt underdogs

    The Pack is far more talented than they've shown thus far this season. Some of you think we're "overrated", that's fine. But going into this week we'd played the 5th toughest schedule in the NCAA. The Pack has moved the ball on everybody, but has consistently shot themselves in the foot with turnovers and penalties. If they play like they did vs UNLV, the Pack will lose by 2 TDs to LTU. 4 fumbles and over 150yds in penalties is impossible to overcome vs a disciplined team like the Bulldogs.

    Still, there is more talent on this team at almost every position than last season- WR is the exception, but they too are coming around.

    LTU will not allow the Pack to run like they did vs UNLV, but you'll have to sell out to the pass a bit to keep it in check. So IMHO it comes down to Kaepernick's passing; especially on third downs. Teams have blitzed the Pack like crazy and it's greatly affected the passing game this season. we seem to have turned the corner on that, but we won't know until Friday.

    The Bulldogs have lost 4 straight to the Pack and have really struggled offensively at Mackay Stadium the last two times you were there. If the Pack finishes no worse than -1 in turnovers and keeps penalties down I think the Pack rolls to a comfortable victory. Enough to cover the spread and then some.

    Conversely, if they continue to play without discipline, drop the ball all over the field and commit a lot of stupid penalties the Pack will lose by more than a TD.

    You have a good D and an offense that doesn't kill itself trying to be what it's not. This should be a great game.

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    Re: 7 pt underdogs

    Quote Originally Posted by WolfInSeattle View Post
    The Pack is far more talented than they've shown thus far this season. Some of you think we're "overrated", that's fine. But going into this week we'd played the 5th toughest schedule in the NCAA. The Pack has moved the ball on everybody, but has consistently shot themselves in the foot with turnovers and penalties. If they play like they did vs UNLV, the Pack will lose by 2 TDs to LTU. 4 fumbles and over 150yds in penalties is impossible to overcome vs a disciplined team like the Bulldogs.

    Still, there is more talent on this team at almost every position than last season- WR is the exception, but they too are coming around.

    LTU will not allow the Pack to run like they did vs UNLV, but you'll have to sell out to the pass a bit to keep it in check. So IMHO it comes down to Kaepernick's passing; especially on third downs. Teams have blitzed the Pack like crazy and it's greatly affected the passing game this season. we seem to have turned the corner on that, but we won't know until Friday.

    The Bulldogs have lost 4 straight to the Pack and have really struggled offensively at Mackay Stadium the last two times you were there. If the Pack finishes no worse than -1 in turnovers and keeps penalties down I think the Pack rolls to a comfortable victory. Enough to cover the spread and then some.

    Conversely, if they continue to play without discipline, drop the ball all over the field and commit a lot of stupid penalties the Pack will lose by more than a TD.

    You have a good D and an offense that doesn't kill itself trying to be what it's not. This should be a great game.
    I'd say you called it just about the way it is.

  9. #9
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    Re: 7 pt underdogs

    Quote Originally Posted by WolfInSeattle View Post
    The Pack is far more talented than they've shown thus far this season. Some of you think we're "overrated", that's fine. But going into this week we'd played the 5th toughest schedule in the NCAA. The Pack has moved the ball on everybody, but has consistently shot themselves in the foot with turnovers and penalties. If they play like they did vs UNLV, the Pack will lose by 2 TDs to LTU. 4 fumbles and over 150yds in penalties is impossible to overcome vs a disciplined team like the Bulldogs.

    Still, there is more talent on this team at almost every position than last season- WR is the exception, but they too are coming around.

    LTU will not allow the Pack to run like they did vs UNLV, but you'll have to sell out to the pass a bit to keep it in check. So IMHO it comes down to Kaepernick's passing; especially on third downs. Teams have blitzed the Pack like crazy and it's greatly affected the passing game this season. we seem to have turned the corner on that, but we won't know until Friday.

    The Bulldogs have lost 4 straight to the Pack and have really struggled offensively at Mackay Stadium the last two times you were there. If the Pack finishes no worse than -1 in turnovers and keeps penalties down I think the Pack rolls to a comfortable victory. Enough to cover the spread and then some.

    Conversely, if they continue to play without discipline, drop the ball all over the field and commit a lot of stupid penalties the Pack will lose by more than a TD.

    You have a good D and an offense that doesn't kill itself trying to be what it's not. This should be a great game.
    A summary of your analysis:

    If nevada plays like $hit, then dogs win. otherwise, nevada "rolls."

  10. #10
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    Re: 7 pt underdogs

    Quote Originally Posted by WolfInSeattle View Post
    LTU will not allow the Pack to run like they did vs UNLV, but you'll have to sell out to the pass a bit to keep it in check. So IMHO it comes down to Kaepernick's passing; especially on third downs.
    This is what happened last year. We sold out to stop the run (and did), but Nevada got wise to it in the 4th quarter and started passing (effectively). 14 points in 3 quarters and 21 in the 4th. The question is if we will stick to this game plan and hope CK was just on fire last year, or if we will challenge the passing game more. It will be fun to watch it play out.

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    Re: 7 pt underdogs

    I'd stick with the same strategy. Their receivers aren't quite as good this year. Who knows, our secondary might even be better now.

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    Re: 7 pt underdogs

    If we win this one it will be a huge win for our program. We have been Nev's &itch lately. We need to prove it on the field that we are the better team, until then I will be skeptical that we can get a W in Reno. Good win for us last week, but in college football last week doesn't matter. You got to go out and prove it again. I hope our guys are focused and ready.

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    Re: 7 pt underdogs

    Quote Originally Posted by T_Won View Post
    This is what happened last year. We sold out to stop the run (and did), but Nevada got wise to it in the 4th quarter and started passing (effectively). 14 points in 3 quarters and 21 in the 4th. The question is if we will stick to this game plan and hope CK was just on fire last year, or if we will challenge the passing game more. It will be fun to watch it play out.
    it least we won't have to hear, "Marko Mitchell on the reception for Nevada." geesh, that guy killed us last year.

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    Re: 7 pt underdogs

    I believe our secondary play is light-years ahead of where we were at the tail end of last season. I think the Deon/Tank/Calais package will shut down the pass. Paige in at nickel, with the advancement of our DE's and LB's should be able to contain the run. I think OP hits hard enough and is quick/smart enough to play CK's bootleg (like Weldon did last year).

    And we have a pass rush, which we didn't have last year. I think the D as a whole is vastly improved. The stats don't show it overall, yet. When the offense keeps the D off the field for a respectable amount of time (hawaii), the D's numbers look pretty good.

    Spangler takes GATA into Reno, and Porter gashes the UNR defense. Gotta remember that we put up 185 rushing yards on them last year. I think their run D reflects the past 2 years reflects their schedule more than their play. Missouri, UNLV, Texas Tech, Notre Dame, for example. When they played run-heavy teams (or balanced teams), they almost always gave up 150+ rushing yards.

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    Re: 7 pt underdogs

    The Nevada QB better be looking out for #44!

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