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Thread: Bracketology

  1. #1
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    Basketball Bracketology

    Important Dates
    Monday, March 14, 6:00pm CT, NCAA Tournament Selection Show (ESPN)
    Sunday, March 20, NCAA 1st Round (CenturyTel Center, Bossier City, Louisiana)
    Tuesday, March 22, NCAA 2nd Round (CenturyTel Center, Bossier City, Louisiana)
    March 26-29, NCAA Regionals (Dallas, Dayton, Philadelphia, Spokane)
    Sunday, April 3, NCAA Final Four (Conseco Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, Indiana)
    Tuesday, April 5, NCAA Championship (Conseco Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, Indiana)


    NCAA Tournament Field Projection
    -
    automatic bids in CAPS
    - 1st & 2nd round hosts in bold
    1 CONNECTICUT (Big East)
    1 STANFORD (Pac-10)
    1 BAYLOR (Big XII)
    1 TENNESSEE (SEC)
    2 DUKE (ACC)
    2 Texas A&M (1 at-large)
    2 XAVIER (A-10)
    2 California-Los Angeles (2 at-large)
    3 Notre Dame (3 at-large)
    3 DePaul (4 at-large)
    3 Miami
    (5 at-large)
    3 OHIO STATE (Big Ten)
    4 Michigan State (6 at-large)
    4 Florida State
    (7 at-large)
    4 Kentucky (8 at-large)
    4 WISCONSIN-GREEN BAY (Horizon)
    5 Georgetown (9 at-large)
    5 Georgia Tech (10 at-large)
    5 Maryland (11 at-large)
    5 North Carolina
    (12 at-large)
    6 Iowa
    (13 at-large)
    6 Marquette (14 at-large)
    6 Oklahoma (15 at-large)
    6 Penn State
    (16 at-large)
    7 Louisville
    (17 at-large)
    7 Temple (18 at-large)
    7 Rutgers (19 at-large)
    7 Georgia (20 at-large)
    8 Iowa State (21 at-large)
    8 Texas Tech
    (22 at-large)
    8 MARIST (MAAC)
    8 Purdue
    (23 at-large)

    9 Houston (24 at-large)
    9 Kansas State (25 at-large)
    9 West Virginia
    (26 at-large)
    9 Syracuse
    (27 at-large)
    10 Arizona State (28 at-large)
    10 GONZAGA (WCC)
    10 St. John's (29 at-large)
    10 Vanderbilt (30 at-large)
    11 Michigan (31 at-large)
    11 Louisiana State (32 at-large)
    11 Louisiana Tech (33 at-large)
    11 JAMES MADISON (CAA)
    12
    NORTHERN IOWA (MVC)

    12 BOWLING GREEN STATE (MAC)
    12 FRESNO STATE (WAC)
    12 ARKANSAS-LITTLE ROCK (Belt)

    13
    CENTRAL FLORIDA (C-USA)

    13 PRINCETON (Ivy)
    13 SAMFORD (SoCon)

    13 UTAH (MWC)

    14 SOUTH DAKOTA STATE (Summit)
    14 ST. FRANCIS-PENNSYLVANIA (NEC)
    14 HAMPTON (MEAC)
    14 MCNEESE STATE (SLC)
    15 GARDNER-WEBB (Big South)
    15 TENNESSEE-MARTIN (OVC)

    15 NAVY (Patriot)
    15 CALIFORNIA-DAVIS (BWC)
    16 MONTANA (Sky)
    16 HARTFORD (AEC)

    16 PRAIRIE VIEW A&M (SWAC)
    16 STETSON (A-Sun)
    OUT1 Dayton
    OUT2 Duquesne
    OUT3 Texas
    OUT4 Brigham Young
    OUT5 Middle Tennessee State
    OUT6 Southern California
    OUT7 Boston College
    OUT8 Arkansas

    Last Four In
    Michigan
    LSU
    Louisiana Tech
    Vanderbilt

    Lady Techsters Resume
    The Lady Techsters and Fresno State played three nail-biters this season, so Louisiana Tech was bound to lose one. Unfortunately, it came by buzzer-beater in the WAC championship game, leaving the Lady Techsters to sweat out Selection Monday.
    24-7 overall record
    15-1 WAC record
    13-1 at home
    9-4 on the road
    2-2 on neutral court
    WAC Regular Season Champions
    #27 AP Poll
    #27 Coaches Poll
    #28 RPI
    #69 Strength of Schedule
    Good wins: Georgia, Fresno State (x2)

    Bad losses: LSU, UALR, Nevada
    8-2 in last 10 games
    0-0 vs. RPI Top 25
    3-4 vs. RPI 26-50
    3-3 vs. RPI 51-100
    12-0 vs. RPI 101-200
    6-0 vs. RPI 201+

    Open Host Sites
    Virginia

    Auburn
    New Mexico
    Wichita State

    Selection Committee
    Marilyn McNeil, Monmouth University, chair
    Sybil Blalock, Mercer University
    Greg Christopher, Bowling Green State University
    Leslie Claybrook, Rice University
    Rich Ensor, Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference
    Heather Gores, Gonzaga University
    Dru Hancock, Big 12 Conference
    Carolayne Henry, Mountain West Conference
    Chris Massaro, Middle Tennessee State University
    Kathy Meehan, St. Johnís University (New York)


    Links
    Creme: Recapping Final Bracketology

    Charlie Creme Bracketology
    Lady Techsters Body of Work Deserves NCAA Bid
    Placement and Seeding Explanation
    ESPN.com Championship Week Central
    CollegeRPI.com
    Official NCAA RPI

    1st & 2nd Round Info for CenturyTel Center
    Last edited by Dawg06; 03-15-2011 at 07:36 AM.

  2. #2
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    Re: Bracketology

    I don't get it, how do we know for sure if we're selected that we will play in Bossier City? If we're something like a 7th-10th seed wouldn't there be a chance the regions don't work out and we just get tossed into whatever region needs filling up?

  3. #3
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    Re: Bracketology

    Quote Originally Posted by Kiwi Techster View Post
    I don't get it, how do we know for sure if we're selected that we will play in Bossier City? If we're something like a 7th-10th seed wouldn't there be a chance the regions don't work out and we just get tossed into whatever region needs filling up?
    Unlike the men's tournament, women's teams that host the first and second round not only can play at their host site, they are required to play there regardless of their seed.

  4. #4
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    Re: Bracketology

    Both Charlie Creme and Jerry Palm rank us as an 11 seed this week.

    Assuming that the 4 #1 seeds come from this group (Baylor, UConn, Tennessee, Stanford, Duke), it would be impossible for us to be an 8 or 9 seed because they are all first/second round hosts.

    I think we'll end up as a 10 seed with Texas A&M coming to Bossier as a 2 seed and McNeese or Oral Roberts as the 15 seed.

  5. #5
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    Re: Bracketology

    Quote Originally Posted by Dawg06 View Post
    Both Charlie Creme and Jerry Palm rank us as an 11 seed this week.

    Assuming that the 4 #1 seeds come from this group (Baylor, UConn, Tennessee, Stanford, Duke), it would be impossible for us to be an 8 or 9 seed because they are all first/second round hosts.

    I think we'll end up as a 10 seed with Texas A&M coming to Bossier as a 2 seed and McNeese or Oral Roberts as the 15 seed.

    That's just crazy. We are sitting around #30 nationally & we would be that low as far as seeding? Judging by RPI & wins & losses we should be a 7th or 8th seed. Of course, we still have work to do.

  6. #6
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    Re: Bracketology

    Quote Originally Posted by dawgs1 View Post
    That's just crazy. We are sitting around #30 nationally & we would be that low as far as seeding? Judging by RPI & wins & losses we should be a 7th or 8th seed. Of course, we still have work to do.
    We are 1-5 against tournament quality teams. For that reason and because no 8/9 seed will host, a 10 seed is probably as high as we can get.

  7. #7
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    Re: Bracketology

    More likely scenario is for Tech to be a #10 seed playing a #7. Texas A&M would likely be a #2 seed playing a #15 in the other game first round game in Bossier City.

  8. #8
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    Re: Bracketology

    Quote Originally Posted by RealityCheck View Post
    More likely scenario is for Tech to be a #10 seed playing a #7. Texas A&M would likely be a #2 seed playing a #15 in the other game first round game in Bossier City.
    Yep.

    Also, if Texas A&M comes to Bossier, we will NOT be in the Dallas regional. Baylor is now a lock for the Dallas regional, and therefore, no other Big 12 team can be seeded 2-4 in that region. So if we somehow make the Sweet 16, we won't get an easy trip to Dallas.

    But then I read this by Charlie Creme:
    "Texas A&M was forced to travel to where another team hosted (Gonzaga in Seattle) for a second-round game just last year. The committee tries extremely hard to avoid doing that to a team in consecutive seasons."

    That would make it seem likely that Texas A&M will be sent to The Pit in New Mexico.

    But other projected #2 seeds Duke and Xavier are also 1st round hosts leaving UCLA as the odd #2 seed to get sent to the CenturyTel Center.

    Ohio State will cause the same problem because they are currently projected as an 8 or 9 seed, and 8/9 cannot host, and 2 #2 seeds will likely host.

    I would not be surprised if the selection committee bumps Tech down to a #11 seed to make placement easier for them.

  9. #9
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    Re: Bracketology

    Fresno's sweeping the WAC only got them a 13th seed last year. But I guess losing the tournament didn't help their cause. What was their OOC schedule like?

  10. #10
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    Re: Bracketology

    Quote Originally Posted by Kiwi Techster View Post
    Fresno's sweeping the WAC only got them a 13th seed last year. But I guess losing the tournament didn't help their cause. What was their OOC schedule like?
    They had a high rpi, which matters more than anything. We have a low rpi. It will make a difference. BUT, if we lose in the tournament final, we will get a lower seed. I think we will still make it in, but we need to win out - including the tournament.
    Last edited by champion110; 02-15-2011 at 07:45 PM.

  11. #11
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    Re: Bracketology

    we need to win the tournament.....i doubt we get in without that title...

  12. #12
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    Re: Bracketology

    Quote Originally Posted by faninmonroe View Post
    we need to win the tournament.....i doubt we get in without that title...
    We do need to win the WAC tournament, but we should still get in if we sweep the WAC regular season. If our only loss is in the WAC Tournament, we should still have a top 40 RPI. No way they leave a top 40 RPI team sitting at home while they host a subregional.

    I think the only thing standing in our way right now is the Nevada/Utah State road trip. Our next 3 home games are against the bottom 3 teams in the WAC, and we won't lose on senior day going for win #1000.

  13. #13
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    Re: Bracketology

    Quote Originally Posted by Kiwi Techster View Post
    Fresno's sweeping the WAC only got them a 13th seed last year. But I guess losing the tournament didn't help their cause. What was their OOC schedule like?
    Fresno State went into Selection Monday with a 34 RPI and 97 SOS. 8-10 RPI positions higher and 20-30 SOS spots better should be worth at least 2-4 seed lines.

    11 seed would not bother me since it is the most favorable low seed in the normal at-large range for avoiding the 2s and 1s the longest.
    Last edited by RealityCheck; 02-15-2011 at 10:54 PM.

  14. #14
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    Re: Bracketology

    thanks for the updates everyone!!!!

  15. #15
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    Re: Bracketology

    Wasn't there a year where we were ranked in the top 25 and got a 12 seed? I'm not making that up in my sick fever-induced state am I?

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