Starting a bit early this year to whet my whistle.



One of you stock geniuses tell me if we're trending up or down.

We finished 2018 with 1152 points (#49). If you recall, teams regress 25% towards 1000 after each season, leaving us with 1114 points (which is still within last years lower shadow).

opp elo w%
21 Texas 1317 18%
Grambling 100%
113 Bowling Green (OH) 557 95%
77 Florida International 926 87%
126 Rice (TX) 297 99%
120 Massachusetts 452 99%
79 Southern Mississippi 920 87%
130 Texas-El Paso 220 99%
82 North Texas 898 88%
45 Marshall (WV) 1155 36%
56 Alabama-Birmingham 1067 48%
106 Texas-San Antonio 644 97%

This gives us a projected record of 9.5-2.5.

Adding a sure loss to USM and the scheduled WTF game, we should be looking at a 7.5-5.5 record. And that's not even counting if FIU and UNT turn out to be trouble.