
Originally Posted by
Guisslapp
I see the bubble/volatility going the other way. Btw, the markets are extremely volatile right now.
Essentially, bubbles happen because of overspeculation. Too much capital deployed in a specific sector that is overvalued based on real demand. I don’t see how taxing capital gains the same as ordinary income causes that to get worse.
As far as investors and unfortunate economic events happening early in retirement, well, that is why it is important to have a well diversified portfolio when you stop making active income and not be overexposed to stocks. You have to protect yourself against a collapse of any given asset class. Stocks have historically recovered but you need enough other investments that don’t positively correlate with stocks to make it through those periods. Real estate, bonds, treasuries, CDs usually have lower correlation. Fortunately, with the Fed raising rates, fixed income folks are starting to get some ultr-safe alternatives. Unfortunately, interest rates have been so low so long, doing that now is creating some jitters for fixed income investments that compete with CDs and even stocks in such a volatile bearish environment.