July 17Originally Posted by dawg80
88,590 cases 3,399 deaths
1,413 in hosp 161 on vents
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July 17
88,590 cases 3,399 deaths
1,413 in hosp 161 on vents
Assuming the numbers are accurate (real) this is not good. I believe we are still in the First Wave of the outbreak, and things have worsened. There may not be a Second Wave in the Fall, as there is evidence the virus is mutating into a weaker strain. At least, that's what the "experts" are hoping. It could be weakening into a less lethal strain but a more contagious one, that is possible.
One of my former renters, now a happy home owner herself, has remained a Facebook connection. She is 24, a professional dancer and actress, an avid sports' enthusiast, runner, kayaker...and she has C-19. Just diagnosed and she posted on FB her symptoms and her doctor's orders. Says she experienced low-grade fever and generally felt yucky...at first she thought it was just the heat as she had been outside quite a bit, but then she developed a raspy cough. Anyway, about 3 days into her bout, she is feeling better already. She is in a 14-day quarentine period. Being young and very healthy, and athletic, we would expect people like her to handle it okay. She has also been one of those strong advocates...brow-beating!!...WEAR YOUR MASK!!! types. Every pic she has posted the past several months, she is wearing a mask. She even jokingly had her German Shepard in a mask in one pic.
If this is still the first wave and there is to be another...worse one...Yikes!
Young people are getting sick and getting well. That's all. Nothing to be concerned about unless you are a democrat.
https://www.ucsf.edu/news/2020/07/41...sf-study-shows
Time is your friend. Impulse is your enemy. -John Bogle
Alex Billioux is home grown. LDH - and the rest of us - is lucky to have him.
https://www.astho.org/Directory/Member-Bios/Louisiana/
Or on chemo.
Then stay home like my sister has been forced to do.
Hate to hear that, and I empathize.
It is something to be concerned about.
State Fire Marshals wrote a citation to the Chinese Food restaurant "Lucky Village" for some violation(s) at the buffet line. They have implemented protocols for customers, and employees too of course, which seem prudent to me. But, the marshals found something they didn't like. Maybe it was the food...
Then a local attorney person posted on her FB page about it, even showing a pic of the two offending marshals. Then, the funniest part of the whole thing, my neighbor, she of the wild parties, cramming 50 people under her carport, sharing chips from the same bowl, hugging, kissing, and who knows what else when they all get drunk, posted "Okay, I have had enough of this mess. No more abiding by the rules for me." Say what!???????????????? Obviously she is upset Lucky Village was cited. But, come on, woman! You have NEVER been concerned about abiding by any rules. LOL! Some people live in their own little worlds.
But then, not a single one of those party animals has contracted the China Virus. Maybe the secret is to have alcohol for blood!
Looking for the Texas numbers update. Surely we will see a big drop this week.
Each of those links show a reduction. Significant reduction in transmission rate (Rt from 1.16 to 1.02), Slightly below peak in hospitalizations (slightly more daily discharged COVIDs than intakes), and slightly lower daily hospitalizations.
All of these are significant because we were on an accelerating uptrend before the mask order and bar shutdown. Problem is that we are already at a very high number (an Rt of 1 when you have 15k people getting sick every day is still 15k new sick people every iteration). Maybe that is sustainable for hospitals but it doesn’t leave much margin of error.
Ideally we would be at a lower number of new cases and lower Rt before schools reopen, because that will increase both.
https://rt.live/us/TX Interesting that the shelter order started with the Rt was at .99 and ended at .97, with the most recent peak being around the 1st of June at 1.17. Looks like it was dropping rapidly from February all the way until half way through the shelter order, what would have caused that? This is a very interesting metric, I'd love to see how it correlates to the different actions taken as well as events that occurred over the same timeline.
July 20
94,892 cases 3,462 deaths
1,508 in hosp 192 on vents
Voluntary behavior changes and business-led work from home when people started to get concerned in the beginning of March and then local orders (Houston’s “work safe” lockdown was March 24) probably had something to do with it.
The "other conditions" chart adds up to about 200%, so it is obviously not tracking an assigned cause, else that would add to 100%. On that chart "hypertension" is shown at 60%, it has the highest single "score." But all the others combined are about 140%. So, I have no clue what the chart really means.
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