
Originally Posted by
Blue Dawg
I think it is a decent season on paper. Most people will look at a 5-3 record and think it's fine, middle of the pack. And if they believe that, I will not disillusion them.
It's difficult to actually watch the games and come away with the same impression. If we look at SP+ (updated 10/26), we are #76, our losses are mostly to teams below us: #82 KSU, #88 WKU. Our best win is #72 USM. Everyone else is 100+. ESPN gives us a #105 strength of schedule, so the average top 5 team would be expected to go 11-1 with our schedule.
Going by Elo (which I still maintain but haven't posted on in a while) we will probably not end the year with any wins over a team in the Top 100. 5-7 is, in my opinion, unacceptable with this schedule.
lsu was close, I wonder if in another life we could have pulled that off, but just looking at KSU and WKU, both were lost by bonehead calls and play that we have become accustomed to. Beating up the worst team in the nation still does not inspire confidence that those mistakes will be corrected if our schedule were to get harder, as I think we all desire.