I'm glad UTSA/USM are at home.
I'm glad UTSA/USM are at home.
Here's an interesting way to look at things: we are middle of the pack for all the normal stats in CUSA, and MSST is the best overall for most items excluding passing. We have played an average SOS thus far (Sagarin's grades vs games played thus far). I've highlighted the top CUSA team in each category in green (MSST in categories where it has a better stat than CUSA I've used money green), and the worst in CUSA in red (UTEP and Rice are the winners of these, but they've both played top 3 SOS so far). I've kept the teams in the same order as the composite above
Week3-stat-2017.jpg
As for Tech's ranking is CUSA:
Total O/G: 4th (413 yds/g)
Rush O/G: 8th (165 yds/g)
Pass O/G: 5th (248.3 yds/g)
Points/G: 4th (32)
Total D/G: 10th (408 yds/g)
Rush D/G: 13th (203.7 yds/g)
Pass D/G: 6th (204.7 yds/g)
SOS: 5th (63 on Sagarin)
UTSA jumps to the front of the line. We're still favored but not by much. Straight up, we're still favored to win 10. Mathematically, those chances have dropped to about 8%. The most likely scenario is 8 wins (33%) so I suspect we drop USM and UTSA.
Last Wk This Wk Sag Rk 79 82 Sag Rat 64.29 65.01 Pred W-L 10-2 10-2 Pred W-L 0.833 0.833 Home Adv 2.41 2.41 OOC Rk 105 107 Conf Rk 121 123 Conf Opp Rk 119 121
H/A Rk Team Sag Fav W/L +/- Act Quality W%
228 NWSt
28
W 59.07
25 MSU
-36
L 49.56
@ 69 WKU
1
W 68.04
@ 54 SC
-1
L 73.35
120 SA 57.32 10.10 W 2.75
0.75 @ 153 UAB 49.92 12.68 W 0.16
0.82
88 USM 65.11 2.31 W 0.78
0.56 @ 156 Rice 48.88 13.72 W 2.65
0.84
121 UNT 56.99 10.43 W 1.55
0.76
111 FAU 60.07 7.35 W 1.05
0.68 @ 189 UTEP 42.22 20.38 W 3.04
1.00
78 UTSA 66.54 0.88 W -1.34
0.52
Rk C-USA 78 UTSA 79 Western Kentucky 82 Louisiana Tech 88 Southern Miss 96 Marshall 100 Middle Tennessee 111 Florida Atlantic 114 Old Dominion 121 North Texas 152 Fla. International 153 UAB 156 Rice 189 UTEP 201 Charlotte
Thanks to positive impressions from CFN and Paul Myerberg due to the USCar game, we barely maintain the top spot in the composite rankings (i.e. 1-7 remain the same). UNT & FIU improves in CUSA, and USL finally drops below NLULM. And yes, UNCC is across the board the worst team in FBS...
Week4-2017-rank.jpg
Updated Stats. Tech's still in the middle for all of these, except that now Sagarin says Tech has played the best SOS. UTSA has the best overall stats; however, they have the 2nd worst SOS in CUSA. I'm also happy to see we've brought our run D below 200 YPG
Week4-stat-2017.jpg
As for Tech's ranking is CUSA:
Total Offense: #5 (400 YPG)
Rush Offense: #8 (143.8 YPG)
Pass Offense: #5 (256.5 YPG)
Total Defense: #10 (413 YPG)
Rush Defense: #12 (186 YPG)
Pass Defense: #6 (227.3 YPG)
SOS: #1 (38)
Keep an eye on this page as well:
https://www.footballstudyhall.com/pa...stical-profile
We are rated very poorly in nearly every category. I haven't compared to the rest of CUSA. #91 overall.
I don't understand the love fest with UTSA, Baylor is horrible this year.
Tech maintains top place, Marshall jumps WKU for 3rd, and SoMiss drops from 2nd to 7th.
The composite still has USA ranked 8pts higher than UAB, which hopefully means good things for us this weekend.
Also, LSU warrents a new drop color, due to being the first team to drop more than 20 points in the composite. LSU is now worse than both MSST & USCar
Week5-2017-rank.jpg