The Bubble this AM. Some changes from last night. There are 4, perhaps 5 spots up for grabs.
- Kentucky loses to Tennessee, which leaves the Wildcats on the bubble.
- GCU is on the bubble after losing back to back games to Abilene Christian and seeing its RPI drop to 51. The Committee is going to have a decision to make. Does it award an at large to a school outside the Q1 from a conference, the WAC, with the 19th rated RPI? GCU has a winning 7-5 record against the Q1, and their non-conference SOS is 9, both of which bolster their case.
- I've still left Iowa off the bubble. They've now won 3 games in the Big 10 tournament, but their RPI has barely moved. They're now at 58. They'll have to beat Michigan this morning and then Rutgers this afternoon to earn the Big 10's auto bid. In looking at their resume I don't see how they get in as an at large over some of their competition. The same might be true of Rutgers. They have just one Q1 win all season, but their RPI still puts them on the bubble.
- UCLA is not on the bubble. D1 Baseball has had UCLA in the tournament for weeks. They're not a bubble team. They're projected as a 2 seed with a Q1 record of 13-4.
- UL-Lafayette is also not on the bubble. Their Q1 record is 5-10, and the Belt has 3 teams solidly in the field. The Cajuns are going to have to beat Georgia Southern today to earn the Belt's auto bid. They're going to have to become a bid thief.
- West Virginia is on the bubble after a loss to Kansas State and an RPI drop of 15 spots to 50. The loss exposed their Q1 record of 6-11.
- D1 Baseball has Dallas Baptist on the bubble, given the Missouri Valley tournament performance and Liberty on the bubble given their tournament performance and losing Q1 record.
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- Alabama and Ole Miss are part of D1 Baseball's First 4 out.
The Bubble (given the stolen bids thus far there are perhaps 4 or 5 open spots)
- Rutgers 38 RPI, 43-14, 19-7 (T2nd) (losing record against Q1. Still just 1-3)
- Louisiana Tech 37 RPI, 41-19, 22-11 (2nd) – 1-0 in CUSA Tournament (winning record against Q1)
- Old Dominion 42 RPI, 41-18, 22-12 (T3rd) – 1-0 in CUSA Tournament (winning record against Q1)
- UTSA 35 RPI, 38-19, 21-11 (T3rd) – beat FAU to open tourney (even record against Q1; but beat USM 2 of 3 on road and swept USM in the CUSA tourney to reach the championship game. RPI now at 35).
- Kentucky 52 RPI (on the bubble after losing to Tennessee 12-2. But losing Q1 record and conference record of 12-18)
- West Virginia 50 RPI (lost to Kansas State and its RPI dropped 15 spots to 49. Record against Q1 is just 6-11).
- Grand Canyon 51 RPI (lost back to back games to Abilene Christian; RPI droped to 51. Does the committee award an at large to a school outside the Q1 from the 19th ranked conference. Winning Q1 record. Non-Conference SOS of 9).
- Dallas Baptist 22 RPI, 34-22 (13-9 Q1 record. On D1's bubble after losing to Evansville and SIU in the Missouri Valley Tournament.
- Liberty 33 RPI, 37-21 (7-11 Q1 Record. Lost to Kennesaw State in the ASUN Championship game).
- Alabama 47 RPI, 31-27 (losing Q1 Record and a 12-18 conference record)
- Ole Miss 40 RPI, 32-22 (8-13 losing Q1 Record)
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Originally Posted by FriscoDawg
