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Thread: 2016 Presidential Campaign

  1. #2881
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    Re: 2016 Presidential Campaign

    National Review: Trump 2016 Would’ve Beaten Obama 2012



    Was Donald Trump just good enough to beat a bad Democratic opponent on Tuesday, or does he deserve far more credit? Could he, for instance, have competed with the vaunted Obama machine?



    Analysis: Trump Would Have Beaten Obama in '12!



  2. #2882
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    Re: 2016 Presidential Campaign

    Quote Originally Posted by TYLERTECHSAS View Post
    National Review: Trump 2016 Would’ve Beaten Obama 2012



    Was Donald Trump just good enough to beat a bad Democratic opponent on Tuesday, or does he deserve far more credit? Could he, for instance, have competed with the vaunted Obama machine?



    Analysis: Trump Would Have Beaten Obama in '12!


    I just came here to post that! you beat me to it! I find that quite fascinating.

  3. #2883
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    Re: 2016 Presidential Campaign

    Yep, and the Never Trumpers who were saying any other (R) candidate WOULD have beaten Klinton, but Trump could never are also being proven wrong. Kasich is an interesting exception to that as some of what I've read gives him a good chance to have beaten her too. But, no others even come close. So, Frank Luntz's star has crashed, much like what happened to Dick Morris when he said 'Romney's got this in the bag.'

    Based on what I've read so far, Trump supporters fit into 3 broad categories:

    1. 40% - just Republican voters. These people would have voted for Jeb Bush had he been the nominee.
    2. 20% - Trump "likers." They are anti-democrapic, mostly independent types who often DON'T vote in presidential elections, but when they do, they are just as likely to vote 3rd party. Only, this year, they really hooked on to Trump. Some were fans of his from his TV show!
    3. 40% - anti-establishment voters. Some of these WOULD HAVE VOTED FOR BERNIE SANDERS if it had been, say a Sanders vs. Jeb Bush election.

    So, those who said Repub primary voters chose the worst possible candidate, the one candidate that the unpopular Killary could have beaten, were simply WRONG!!!

    The libtard side of the equation is more solidly in lock-step. While an (R) will always get the #1 group, that 40%, the (D) side is about 46% and there are more (D) voters in this country.

    Now, what would have happened in one of these scenarios?

    Sanders vs. Trump? Based on what I've read, Bernie Sanders would be the president-elect today. Eeeeeking out a very narrow EC win.
    Sanders vs. any other (R) candidate? With the exception of Kasich, Sanders beats any other fairly easily in the EC. Only Kasich would have put up some fight.

    So....it appears it was the demo primary voters who made the wrong choice!

    All of this is based on a summary of several pundits' blogs I have been following for over a year, with each giving their "what if" opinion now. Their analysis is rooted in stats, like polls, surveys, and the exit polls.

  4. #2884
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    Re: 2016 Presidential Campaign

    Based on that, the traditional Republican party of Reagan is over. Populism and Nationalism can beat Marxism/Socialism, but Conservatism is over in this country.... at least at a federal level. There are still conservative states.

  5. #2885
    65's Top 10 Worthless Poster Blue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond reputeBlue Dawg has a reputation beyond repute
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    Re: 2016 Presidential Campaign

    Quote Originally Posted by TYLERTECHSAS View Post
    National Review: Trump 2016 Would’ve Beaten Obama 2012



    Was Donald Trump just good enough to beat a bad Democratic opponent on Tuesday, or does he deserve far more credit? Could he, for instance, have competed with the vaunted Obama machine?



    Analysis: Trump Would Have Beaten Obama in '12!


    I've been wrong on every single count so far but:

    I think Trump was made possible largely by Obama's treatment of that voting block. Not that he necessarily would win or lose in 2012, but that a lot of his support was mobilized by what Obama did after 2012.

  6. #2886
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    Re: 2016 Presidential Campaign

    Quote Originally Posted by dawg80 View Post
    Yep, and the Never Trumpers who were saying any other (R) candidate WOULD have beaten Klinton, but Trump could never are also being proven wrong. Kasich is an interesting exception to that as some of what I've read gives him a good chance to have beaten her too. But, no others even come close. So, Frank Luntz's star has crashed, much like what happened to Dick Morris when he said 'Romney's got this in the bag.'

    Based on what I've read so far, Trump supporters fit into 3 broad categories:

    1. 40% - just Republican voters. These people would have voted for Jeb Bush had he been the nominee.
    2. 20% - Trump "likers." They are anti-democrapic, mostly independent types who often DON'T vote in presidential elections, but when they do, they are just as likely to vote 3rd party. Only, this year, they really hooked on to Trump. Some were fans of his from his TV show!
    3. 40% - anti-establishment voters. Some of these WOULD HAVE VOTED FOR BERNIE SANDERS if it had been, say a Sanders vs. Jeb Bush election.

    So, those who said Repub primary voters chose the worst possible candidate, the one candidate that the unpopular Killary could have beaten, were simply WRONG!!!

    The libtard side of the equation is more solidly in lock-step. While an (R) will always get the #1 group, that 40%, the (D) side is about 46% and there are more (D) voters in this country.

    Now, what would have happened in one of these scenarios?

    Sanders vs. Trump? Based on what I've read, Bernie Sanders would be the president-elect today. Eeeeeking out a very narrow EC win.
    Sanders vs. any other (R) candidate? With the exception of Kasich, Sanders beats any other fairly easily in the EC. Only Kasich would have put up some fight.

    So....it appears it was the demo primary voters who made the wrong choice!

    All of this is based on a summary of several pundits' blogs I have been following for over a year, with each giving their "what if" opinion now. Their analysis is rooted in stats, like polls, surveys, and the exit polls.
    If anything this election has taught us, is that stats, polls, and surveys are completely wrong. There was 1 poll that had Trump winning and it was the LA Times/ USC poll, All the rest had Hillary winning and most were above the margin of error

  7. #2887
    Champ longdawgview is a jewel in the roughlongdawgview is a jewel in the roughlongdawgview is a jewel in the roughlongdawgview is a jewel in the roughlongdawgview is a jewel in the roughlongdawgview is a jewel in the roughlongdawgview is a jewel in the roughlongdawgview is a jewel in the roughlongdawgview is a jewel in the roughlongdawgview is a jewel in the roughlongdawgview is a jewel in the rough
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    Re: 2016 Presidential Campaign

    Quote Originally Posted by TYLERTECHSAS View Post
    National Review: Trump 2016 Would’ve Beaten Obama 2012



    Was Donald Trump just good enough to beat a bad Democratic opponent on Tuesday, or does he deserve far more credit? Could he, for instance, have competed with the vaunted Obama machine?



    Analysis: Trump Would Have Beaten Obama in '12!


    He has updated his story, Obama would have still beaten Trump 2012. He used the wrong voting numbers

  8. #2888
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    Re: 2016 Presidential Campaign

    Quote Originally Posted by longdawgview View Post
    If anything this election has taught us, is that stats, polls, and surveys are completely wrong. There was 1 poll that had Trump winning and it was the LA Times/ USC poll, All the rest had Hillary winning and most were above the margin of error
    Hillary got almost 4 million votes less than Obama while Trump got essentially the same as Romney.

  9. #2889
    Super Moderator PawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond reputePawDawg has a reputation beyond repute PawDawg's Avatar
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    Re: 2016 Presidential Campaign

    Quote Originally Posted by Cool Hand Clyde View Post
    Hillary got almost 4 million votes less than Obama while Trump got essentially the same as Romney.

  10. #2890
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    Re: 2016 Presidential Campaign

    Quote Originally Posted by dawg80 View Post
    Yep, and the Never Trumpers who were saying any other (R) candidate WOULD have beaten Klinton, but Trump could never are also being proven wrong. Kasich is an interesting exception to that as some of what I've read gives him a good chance to have beaten her too. But, no others even come close. So, Frank Luntz's star has crashed, much like what happened to Dick Morris when he said 'Romney's got this in the bag.'

    Based on what I've read so far, Trump supporters fit into 3 broad categories:

    1. 40% - just Republican voters. These people would have voted for Jeb Bush had he been the nominee.
    2. 20% - Trump "likers." They are anti-democrapic, mostly independent types who often DON'T vote in presidential elections, but when they do, they are just as likely to vote 3rd party. Only, this year, they really hooked on to Trump. Some were fans of his from his TV show!
    3. 40% - anti-establishment voters. Some of these WOULD HAVE VOTED FOR BERNIE SANDERS if it had been, say a Sanders vs. Jeb Bush election.

    So, those who said Repub primary voters chose the worst possible candidate, the one candidate that the unpopular Killary could have beaten, were simply WRONG!!!

    The libtard side of the equation is more solidly in lock-step. While an (R) will always get the #1 group, that 40%, the (D) side is about 46% and there are more (D) voters in this country.

    Now, what would have happened in one of these scenarios?

    Sanders vs. Trump? Based on what I've read, Bernie Sanders would be the president-elect today. Eeeeeking out a very narrow EC win.
    Sanders vs. any other (R) candidate? With the exception of Kasich, Sanders beats any other fairly easily in the EC. Only Kasich would have put up some fight.

    So....it appears it was the demo primary voters who made the wrong choice!

    All of this is based on a summary of several pundits' blogs I have been following for over a year, with each giving their "what if" opinion now. Their analysis is rooted in stats, like polls, surveys, and the exit polls.
    Don't forget
    #4 The ABC (Anybody But Hillary)/I hate Hillary and the Clinton's voters. And many were Democrats.
    #5 I hate ObamaCare voters.

  11. #2891
    Champ TYLERTECHSAS has a reputation beyond reputeTYLERTECHSAS has a reputation beyond reputeTYLERTECHSAS has a reputation beyond reputeTYLERTECHSAS has a reputation beyond reputeTYLERTECHSAS has a reputation beyond reputeTYLERTECHSAS has a reputation beyond reputeTYLERTECHSAS has a reputation beyond reputeTYLERTECHSAS has a reputation beyond reputeTYLERTECHSAS has a reputation beyond reputeTYLERTECHSAS has a reputation beyond reputeTYLERTECHSAS has a reputation beyond repute
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    Re: 2016 Presidential Campaign

    Quote Originally Posted by JuBru View Post
    The two most important things about Melania to the left: 1) born Soviet (their dream); 2) posed nude.
    Trump should have had her and her story on the trail and on TV much more.

  12. #2892
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    Re: 2016 Presidential Campaign

    Quote Originally Posted by skilldawg View Post
    Where is woof?
    We popped his balloon so he doesn't want to play now.

  13. #2893
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    Re: 2016 Presidential Campaign

    Quote Originally Posted by TYLERTECHSAS View Post
    Trump should have had her and her story on the trail and on TV much more.
    And those photos of her and that other girl......WOW!!!

  14. #2894
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    Re: 2016 Presidential Campaign

    To all those crybaby Democrats that are marching and crying....EMBRACE THE SUCK!!!!! That is what I had to do in 2008 and 2012 when Obozo won! Now IT IS YOUR TURN!!!

  15. #2895
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    Re: 2016 Presidential Campaign

    The Dems had better get their smit together and gain some morals and quick pointing at Trump.

    TUG-O-WAR: Tensions at DNC could preview bitter leadership fight



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